BEVs and PHEVs sales breakdown in Europe and China over 9 months 2020
- 说明
BEVs and PHEVs sales breakdown in Europe and China over 9 months 2020
- Out of 1,784,293 battery electric vehicles (BEV) and plug-in hybrid (PHEV) sold worldwide over the first nine months of 2020, 772,340 units were sold in Europe and 695,131 units in China. If we differentiate the BEVs, we observe that Europe registered 416,389 BEVs over the period (+64.5% compared to the first nine months of 2019) while China registered 511,303 over the same period ( -19.5% compared to the first nine months of 2019).
- For PHEVs, Europe registered 355,951 vehicles (+180.4% compared to the first nine months of 2019) and China 151,217 (-14.1% compared to the first nine months of 2019).
- The top European markets for BEVs are Germany (98,610 units), France (70,587 units), Great Britain (66,611 units) and Norway (48,175 units). It should be noted that six European markets (those mentioned plus the Netherlands and Italy) account for 80% of BEVs sales in Europe. The top European markets for PHEV are Germany (105,882 units), Great Britain (42,277 units), France (40,287 units) and Sweden (40,264 units).
- Non-plug-in hybrid cars (HEV) were sold at 980,345 units in Europe over the period (+42.6% compared to the first nine months of 2019), especially in Germany and Great Britain. In China, they reached 168,924 units over the period (+22.4% compared to 2019). They are now ahead of PHEV sales in this market.
- The market share of these three electrified engines therefore now reaches 20.9% in Europe, or 11.7% for HEVs, 5.0% for BEVs and 4.2% for PHEVs. In China, it reached 6.2%, including 1.3% for HEVs, 3.8% for BEVs and 1.1% for PHEVs.
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The evolution of carmakers worldwide sales over 9 months 2020
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The evolution of carmakers worldwide sales over 9 months 2020
- Over the first nine months of 2020, the results of the various carmakers present in a strong declining global market (-20.6%) are mostly negative. Among the thirty largest carmakers, only Tesla (+31%), FAW (+26%) and Changan(+20%) achieve positive scores, and two of them Chinese.
- In percentage of sales, the largest decreases are recorded by Mahindra (-40%), PSA (-34%), Tata Motors (-30%), BAIC (-29%), Renault-Nissan (-28%), Suzuki (-27% ), FCA (-23%), Isuzu (-22%), Ford (-21%) and BYD (-21%). These carmakers are losing market share in 2020 as they shrink more than the global market as a whole.
- The carmakers which are declining as much as the global market and therefore keep their market share are Volkswagen (-20%), Honda (-20%), Subaru (-20%) and Mazda (-20%).
- Finally, the carmakers who fall less than the global market and therefore gain market share are GM (-19%), Toyota (-18%), Daimler (-18%), BMW (-15%), Chery (- 15%), GAC (-15%), Hyundai-Kia (-14%) and especially Geely (-9%), JAC (-7%), Great Wall (-5%), SAIC (-5%), Brilliance (-5%) and Dongfeng (-3%).
- In terms of volumes, the Volkswagen and Toyota groups are neck and neck for the first place, ahead of Renault-Nissan, GM, Hyundai-Kia, Honda, Ford, FCA and PSA. These figures shows that the future Stellantisgroup is not sure whether it will be the fourth largest carmaker in the world in 2021, as in 2020 GM sales are now higher than PSA + FCA sales combined.
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Volkswagen postpones the construction of its assembly plant in Turkey
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Volkswagen postpones the construction of its assembly plant in Turkey
- The Volkswagen Group had initially planned to shift production of the Passat from the German factory in Emden to a factory in Turkey that the carmaker was planning to build. The German carmaker recently announced that it has decided to postpone the construction of the assembly plant to a later (unspecified) date. No reason given, but we can assume that the unstable local situation and the political conflict that seems to be playing out between Turkey and Europe as well as the risk of economic sanctions should have impacted VW decision. But other reasons linked to the expected volumes of the future Passat (which sales are continuously declining) may also explain why this future plant is no longer a priority and a necessary project.
- The future Volkswagen Passat, which should be launched in 2022, will therefore be produced at the group's plant in Bratislava, Slovakia, which today assembles the Volkswagen Touareg, Audi Q7, Audi Q8 and Porsche Cayenne E-segment SUVs, as well as small A-segment sedans, Volkswagen Up, Seat Mii and Skoda Citigo.
- From 2022, the Bratislava plant will produce the Volkswagen Passat as well as the next generation Skoda Superb scheduled for 2023.
It means that the small A-segment sedans (converted to electric powertrains) will be produced at another plant, probably in Emden. Volkswagen management has announced that this plant will undergo a transformation by 2022 as the Zwickau plant had experienced before the arrival of ID3 and ID4 in 2020.
It means that the small A-segment sedans (converted to electric powertrains) will be produced at another plant, probably in Emden. Volkswagen management has announced that this plant will undergo a transformation by 2022 as the Zwickau plant had experienced before the arrival of ID3 and ID4 in 2020.
- Therefore, we can foresee a production of battery electric models in Emden, which can only be the future ID1 and ID2. As for the new generations of E-segment SUVs, they will be transferred from Bratislava to the German plant in Hanover, which will also produce the future electric Kombi (known today as ID Buzz).
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Inovev forecasts 20,000 units per year of the new BMW iX
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Inovev forecasts 20,000 units per year of the new BMW iX
- BMW has unveiled its new battery electric vehicle, an SUV based on the i-Next concept presented in November 2018. It is simply called iX, which could create confusion with the existing iX3. It might have been smarter to call it iX5 or iX7, or even i-Next.
- The BMW iX is in fact in the form of a large SUV (E segment), 4.90 m long and 1.80 m high, or dimensions close to that of an X5 or an X6.
- Obviously, the new model will be in terms of price at the top of the hierarchy of SUVs of the Bavarian brand, above 100,000 euros (an iX3 is already priced 70,000 euros).
- At this price, do not expect a large sales volume, probably around 20,000 units per year. It's not as good as an Audi E-Tron but better than a Mercedes EQC.
- On the technical side, the BMW iX adopts a new platform and engine. Two electric motors offer a combined power of more than 500 hp and the 100 kWh battery provides a range of 600 km, more than that of the Audi E-Tron (445 km) or the Tesla Model X (560 km), its main competitors. Note also the reintroduction of carbon fiber elements in the materials used on the body structure, which has not been seen in BMW since the 7 Series.
- The BMW iX will be on sale from autumn 2021 and will be produced at the German Dingolfingplant, alongside the 5 Series, 6 Series, 7 Series and 8 Series.
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Evolution of the European market by type of engine in 2020
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Evolution of the European market by type of engine in 2020
- The share of diesel continues to decline sharply on the European market, as today this share has fallen to 27% of all passenger car registrations in 2020, while it was still 32% in 2019, 36 % in 2018, 45% in 2017, 50% in 2016 and 55% in 2012.
- Diesel has therefore lost 28 points in eight years, which have not been offset by the increase in alternative engines (hybrids, plug-in hybrids, 100% electric) since these now represent only 21% of registrations, despite strong growth recorded over the past two or three years.
- Among this 21%, hybrid powertrains (HEV) represent 12% of sales in 2020, mainly made by Toyota, Lexus, Hyundai and Kia. Plug-in hybrid powertrains (PHEV) represent 4% of sales in 2020, mainly made by Premium brands. Finally, the 100% electric engine (BEV) represents 5% of sales in 2020, produced mainly by Renault and Tesla, but many competitors are starting to ramp up (Volkswagen, Hyundai, Peugeot, Opel, etc.).
- The crucial question is how far the decline in diesel will go. Some foresee the end of diesel in 2030 in passenger car registrations but is this a possible scenario? And will diesel remain in the utility vehicle categories? The future of Diesel remains very uncertain in Europe, not necessarily because of city policies because very few large European cities have announced the ban on diesel in their cities, but rather future anti-pollution standards (EURO VII) which could impose carmakers to no longer produce pure thermal vehicles.
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