What is the share of PHEVs in models sold in Europe?
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What is the share of PHEVs in models sold in Europe?
- In the European automotive market in 2021, plug-in hybrid models (PHEVs) are split into two categories. Those which are sold exclusively in plug-in hybrid version and those which are also available in thermal version, in hybrid version (HEV) or in battery electric version (BEV). There are very few models sold exclusively in PHEV version in Europe, as we counted four in the European market. Models sold both in PHEV and thermal, hybrid or electric are more numerous, with more than seventy, and it is interesting to know the share the PHEV version in the total sales of each of these models in Europe.
- The models that are sold in Europe mainly with PHEV engines (ie between 35% and 90% in PHEV) are around twenty. There are the Mitsubishi Outlander (89%), the Porsche Panamera (70%), the Porsche Cayenne (69%), the Volvo XC90 (61%), the Kia Niro (51%), the BMW X5 (50%) among the best-selling models in PHEV version, apart from those sold exclusively in PHEV version.
- By body type, it is interesting to note that most of the PHEV versions sold in Europe are SUVs (around fifty models available) which confirms the fact that the PHEVs target vehicles which are motorized mainly in diesel version, therefore mainly medium and large SUVs. We note that the models concerned are often Premium brands, such as Mercedes, BMW, Audi, Volvo, Land-Rover, and therefore the most expensive brands. These Premium models concern around forty of the seventy PHEV models, meaning the majority.
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The Volkswagen Plan for 2030
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The Volkswagen Plan for 2030
The Volkswagen group has announced its Plan for 2030, entitled “New Auto”. Three points can be highlilted from this plan:
1. The VW group is restructured into three poles:
• Volume: Volkswagen, Skoda, Seat and Cupra.
• Premium: Audi, Bentley and Lamborghini.
• Sport: Porsche. We note the disappearance of Bugatti, which has just been sold to the Rimac company. There is also a certain inconsistency regarding the Sport division, which does not integrate Cupraand Lamborghini, even if they are sports brands.
2. The SSP platform family, which will be launched in 2025, will allow an optimization of modules and batteries on all of the group's future models from that date, regardless of brand and segment. This future platform family will allow to reduce the number of parts and systems between the group's models (for example, reduction in the number of different battery packs). It will be featured in Audi’s Artemis and Apollon and Volkswagen’s Trinity projects scheduled for 2025 and 2026.
3. The carmaker wants to become one of the main producers of battery cells in Europe, either on its own or in association with Northvolt. The carmaker will therefore build six factories in Europe with a capacity of 40 GWh each, or 240 GWh in total.
This capacity represents a volume of around 4,000,000 electric cars in 2030 (if we take an average capacity of a vehicle of 60 kWh), or 50% of the group's worldwide sales in 2020. In ten years, the cumulative sales of The group's electric cars must reach 26 million units.
This capacity represents a volume of around 4,000,000 electric cars in 2030 (if we take an average capacity of a vehicle of 60 kWh), or 50% of the group's worldwide sales in 2020. In ten years, the cumulative sales of The group's electric cars must reach 26 million units.
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The Stellantis Plan for 2030
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The Stellantis Plan for 2030
The Stellantis group has announced its Plan for 2030.
1. The group, made up of 14 brands, is targeting 70% of sales of light vehicles (Passenger cars + Light commercial vehicles) with electric batteries (BEV) and plug-in hybrids (PHEV) in 2030 in Europe and 40% in the United States. Each brand will have its own schedule: Abarth will switch to BEV from 2024, Opel in 2028 and Fiat in 2030. Alfa-Romeo, DS and Lancia will also switch to BEV before 2030. Other brands like Peugeot, Citroen, Jeep, Chrysler, Dodge and Ram, the switch will come after 2030. Three electric propulsion modules will eventually be offered ( EDM1 = 70kW, EDM2 = 125 / 180kW, EDM3 = 150 / 330kW).
2. Stellantis intends to lower the price of its batteries by 40% over the decade, by standardizing the components and producing them in its own factories. Three Giga factories will be built (Douvrin, Kaiserslautern, Termoli) for a total capacity of 130 GWh in 2025 and 260 GWh in 2030, representing a volume of 2,600,000 electric cars in 2025 and 5,200,000 in 2030.
3. In order to reduce costs and achieve vast economies of scale, Stellantis is also counting on the launch of 4 platforms (STLA Small, STLA Medium, STLA Large and STLA Frame) corresponding to all the ranges offered by the group's 14 brands. Today, the carmaker has 15 different platforms.
4. Stellantis will launch two new battery chemistries from 2024, one allowing high energy density (nickel-manganese), the other without using nickel and cobalt (iron-manganese).
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The Skoda Plan for 2030
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The Skoda Plan for 2030
Skoda (Czech subsidiary of the Volkswagen group) has announced its Plan for 2030:
1. Becoming one of the top five brands sold in Europe in terms of sales volume. Today, the Skoda brand is at the seventh rank behind Volkswagen, Peugeot, Toyota, Renault, BMW and Mercedes. The Czech brand must therefore overtake the two Premium carmakers to become fifth. 20,000 units now separate the fifth from the seventh. There is therefore no spectacular progress to be made to achieve this result. Skoda sold 643,000 passenger cars in 2020 in Europe, compared to 738,000 Mercedes and 675,000 BMWs. In a scenario where the market returns to a volume of 17 million units in 2030 (preferential scenario for Inovev), Skoda would have to sell at least more than 830,000 cars to hope to be the fifth European carmaker.
2. Become the leading European generalist carmaker in India, Russia and North Africa, which means 1.5 million sales worldwide by 2030. In fact, the VW group wants to use Skoda as its entry brand for emerging countries. Today, Skoda sells a million vehicles worldwide but few in emerging countries: 11,000 in India and 95,000 in Russia in 2020 for example. The objective would therefore be to multiply this sales volume by 5 by 2030 (i.e. 500,000 sales in total), in emerging countries, which seems difficult because, even if these emerging markets have interesting potential, their growth remain uncertain for the next ten years.
3. Launch at least three additional battery electric models before 2025, with the share of BEVs expected to rise to over 50% by 2030, or more than 500,000 electric cars sold worldwide by this time. The brand already markets the Enyaq (D-segment SUV) in Europe. It could offer a rebranded versions of the VW ID1 / ID2 in the B segment, and of the VW ID3 in the C segment and another model to be defined, perhaps an SUV smaller than the Enyaq (B or C segment). The 50% target is similar to the Volkswagen group one.
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The Renault Plan for 2030
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The Renault Plan for 2030
The Renault group has announced its Plan for 2030. Along with Nissan, Renault was one of the pioneers in the field of mass-market battery electric vehicles (BEV). However, the carmaker did not take advantage of its lead as competitors woke up and offer many models. The new Plan for 2030 announced ten years after the launch of the first Zoé therefore confirms the implementation of a second step much more important than the first (2011-2021).
1. Unlike other brands, Renault is not targeting 100% sales of BEV in 2030, but 90% of electrified vehicles (xEVs), through 65% full hybrid vehicles (FHEV) and plug-in electrics (PHEV + BEV) in 2025. Ten new electrified vehicles will be launched by 2025: three under Alpine brand and seven with Renault. Among these, the battery electric Mégane E-Tech (officialised at the Munich Motor Show), the electric R5 and an electric R4. These three models will be produced at the Douai plant, which will have a capacity in 2030 of 400,000 units per year dedicated solely to battery electric vehicles. No new electric model planned at Dacia which will have to be rely on the Spring, nor at Lada.
2. Renault wants to reduce the cost of its batteries by 60% between 2021 and 2030. To achieve this, Renault is counting on the unification and standardization of cells, with two chemistries, one for the R4 and R5, the other for the segment C and Alpine. Two giga factories are planned in France: one in 2024 and the other in 2026.
3. Two platforms will be used for this new range of electric cars, the CMF-EV for the C/D segments with a world objective in 2030 of 700,000 units per year and the CMF-BEV derived from the CMF-B for the B segment with an objective world in 2030
of 900,000 units per year.
of 900,000 units per year.
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