The global light vehicle market (PC+LUV) increased by 9.8% in the first quarter of 2023
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The global light vehicle market (PC+LUV) increased by 9.8% in the first quarter of 2023
- Partly thanks to the restocking of new vehicles carried out in 2022 (production surplus of 3.388 million units last year), global sales of new vehicles rose sharply in the first quarter of 2023, after a year 2022 that had seen global vehicle sales fall by 2%, achieving the lowest sales volume since 2011.
- According to Inovev's calculations, the market of new light vehicles (PC+LUV) increased by 9.8% in the first quarter of 2023 compared to the first quarter of 2022. Sales of passenger cars (PC) increased by 10,8% over this period and light utility vehicles (LUV) by 5.8%.
- If this growth rate is maintained until the end of the year, Inovev estimates that the global automotive market (PC+LUV) could reach a volume of 80 million units in 2023, compared to 73 million in 2022, 74, 5 million in 2021, 73.5 million in 2020 and 80 million in 2019. We would thus find the sales volume of 2019. The sales volume of 2019 was not the largest of the decade because the years 2016-2017-2018 saw higher sales volumes, in the order of 83 / 85 million units per year . We are therefore still far from the pre-crisis figures. But we could get closer.
- But it should be noted that it is not certain that this rhythm will be maintained between now and the end of the year, because many sales were made in the first quarter of 2023 according to orders placed in 2022.
The 25 best-selling SUVs in Europe in 2021 and 2022
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The 25 best-selling SUVs in Europe in 2021 and 2022
- Two Volkswagen models (T-Roc and Tiguan) take the top two spots in the European SUV market in 2022.
- The former Peugeot 2008 leader is relegated to third place, just ahead of the Tesla Model Y, which quadruples its sales in 2022 compared to 2021.
- Of the 25 best-selling SUVs in Europe in 2022, there are 13 European brand models, 4 Korean brand models, 5 Japanese brand models
and 3 American brand models.
and 3 American brand models.
Inovev forecasts 130,000 units per year in Europe of the VW ID7
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Inovev forecasts 130,000 units per year in Europe of the VW ID7
- Volkswagen has just unveiled its new battery electric sedan ID7 (D-segment) in April 2023. This model should replace the Passat sedan which has just been removed from VW product range. An ID7 break is planned for next year, which should replace the Passat break still available (at a price of 43,000 to 55,000 euros).
- The ID7 completes Volkswagen's electric range, which until now is built around the ID3, ID4, ID5, ID6 and ID Buzz. All these models are based on the MEB platform of the Volkswagen group (Volkswagen, Audi, Skoda, Seat, Cupra, Porsche, Bentley, Lamborghini) which is also used by Ford Europe for its range of electric cars under development.
- The ID7 receives a 210 kW electric motor and an 85 kWh battery pack which would allow it a range of 700 kilometers according to the WLTP cycle. A more affordable version with a 77 kWh battery would allow a range of 600 kilometers.
- The ID7 is a rival of the Tesla Model 3 but will achieve production volumes probably much lower than those of the Californian electric car. In 2022, 547,000 units of the Tesla Model 3 were produced (compared to 531,000 in 2021 and 404,000 in 2020), while Inovev expects 50,000 ID7s produced at the German site in Emden in 2025 and 130,000 in 2030.
- But it is likely that Volkswagen will decide to produce the ID7 in China and the United States in the short term, which could double its production volume. Everything will depend on the price of the ID7 which according to Inovev could be in a range between 60,000 and 70,000 euros if we refer to the prices charged by the carmaker for the ID4, ID5 and ID6. The Passat was priced 40,000 to 50,000 euros.
Inovev forecasts 250,000 units of the new Mini Cooper per year in the world
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Inovev forecasts 250,000 units of the new Mini Cooper per year in the world
- The Mini brand (a subsidiary of the BMW group) now includes two different models:
• The "Mini" model by itself (Mini One or Mini Hatch depending on the market) available as a 3/5 doors sedan and 5-doors station wagon (this station wagon version is called Clubman);
• The 5-doors SUV model referred to as "Countryman".
- The Mini brand has just unveiled the fifth generation of the Mini in a 3-doors sedan version. The body of the new model (code F66) remains practically the same but certain details make it possible to identify the new generation, such as the triangular taillights, a different tailgate shape or a redesigned grille. The launch of the fifth generation of Mini coincides with a new naming because the model is now called Cooper in all markets. The Mini brand therefore now includes 2 models: the Cooper model and the Countryman model. It seems that the 5-door sedan and 5-door Clubman will not be replaced. Two battery electric (BEV) versions of the Cooper will appear on the market, one with a 135 kW electric motor and the other with a 160 kW electric motor, both versions being equipped with a 54 kWh capacity battery.
- Importantly, the Mini Cooper BEV (only available in a three-doors version) will be produced exclusively in China with Great Wall (50-50 between BMW and Great Wall), while the combustion engine versions will be produced in England, in Oxford, as previously. Inovev forecasts 250,000 Mini Coopers per year, including 50,000 BEVs in 2025 then 100,000 in 2030 (compared to 43,000 in 2022).
- These figures do not include the 5-door Mini Countryman which should be renewed in November 2023 and will be available for the first time in BEV version. This new Countryman will be produced in Germany, in Leipzig.
- These figures also do not include the 5-door Mini Aceman which should be launched next year. This intermediate model (4.05 m long) between Mini Cooper (3.85 m long) and Mini Countryman (4.40 m long) will be a battery electric models made in China with Great Wall.
The Tesla Model Y becomes the best-selling model in Europe in Q1-2023
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The Tesla Model Y becomes the best-selling model in Europe in Q1-2023
- The Tesla Model Y SUV became the best-selling model in Europe in the first quarter of 2023. It is the first time that a battery electric model has been the European market leader. This is the first time that an American model has been the European market leader. It is also the first time that an SUV has been the European market leader. Finally, it is the first time that a Tesla has been the European market leader for a quarter.
- Between the first quarter of 2022 and the first quarter of 2023, sales of the Tesla Model Y in Europe were multiplied by 2.8 and the production of the model on a European site is one of the factor explaining this strong sales increase. Before the production in Berlin, Tesla deliveries were chaotic, mainly quarterly. The increase in sales of Tesla Model Y (+45,000 sales) more than offset the drop in Tesla Model 3 (-15,000 sales) on the European market.
- The Dacia Sandero is in second position on the European market and it is the antithesis of the Tesla Model Y. It is a model with a combustion engine (the Tesla is battery electric vehicle) at a low price (the Tesla is expensive). This is the first time that a Dacia model has risen to second place on the European market over a quarter.
- The former leader Volkswagen Golf, supplanted by the Volkswagen T-Roc (4th) and Tiguan (8th), is now ranked at the 9th place, well behind the Peugeot 208 (3rd) and Opel Corsa (5th). The Renault Clio is 6th followed by the Fiat 500 (7th). On the Top 25, there are 14 SUVs and 11 sedans. Over the first 3 months of 2023, BEV sales represent 13.5% of the European market.