Inovev forecasts 75,000 units per year of the new Ioniq 5
The Hyundai-Kia group unveils the first model of its new brand Ioniq which will only offer Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs). The Ioniq 5 is a compact hatchback sedan but which moves away from the C segment to approach the D segment, as the model is 4.64 m long, the dimensions of a Jaguar I-Pace. These unusual proportions are the first originality of the model. This could be the originality of the brand, which next model (Ioniq 6 sedan) is expected for 2022 and the next (Ioniq 7 SUV) for 2024. This design differs a lot from Hyundai and Kia models, in order to target a new market, outside the current products proposed by the Korean group.

All Ioniq’smodels will be based on the E-GMP platform (Electric-Global Modular Platform). According to the carmaker, this platform makes possible to limit front and rear overhangs, and to equip the vehicles with a very long wheelbase which benefits cabin space.

The 218 hpIoniq 5's electric motor and 72.6 kWh batteries capacities provide a maximum range of 460 km under the WLTP cycle (according to the carmaker). The Korean carmaker aims to sell 70,000 units of this model worldwide in 2021 (including 25,000 in Korea) then 100,000 units in 2022 (including 35,000 in Korea).

The Ioniq 5 is produced at Hyundai's Ulsan plant in Korea, one of the largest plants in the world (production capacity: 1,500,000 vehicles per year). Its price in Korea is between 37,000 and 41,000 euros depending on the version, slightly lower than Volkswagen ID3 prices in Europe. European prices have not yet been announced.


    
 

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DiDi is developing its own BEV with BYD
In November 2020, DiDi Chuxing, the largest ride-hailing platform in China (equivalent to Uber in North America and Europe), which is said to have around 400 million monthly active users, unveiled the "D1", a BEV developed jointly with the Chinese carmaker BYD. BYD is in charge of the development and production of the model, but it is the first model developed on the initiative of a private tech service company.

The business model linked to D1 is different from what currently exists. The D1 is purchased by an operating company affiliated to DiDi, and the DiDi driver rents the D1 to the operating company for its use. User fees are calculated based on mileage.

DiDi's objective with this new partnership is to provide drivers and users with vehicles specially designed for car sharing services: seat with a specific design, steering wheel with a button dedicated to user orders and police emergency calls, sliding door on the right side, infotainment screens, etc ...

On the other hand, BYD is seeking to secure new sales channels through this partnership. However, if such a business model is successful, carmakers might only become subcontractors. In 2019, BYD's New Energy Vehicles (NEVs) sales reached approximately 230,000 units (including 219,000 passenger vehicles). DiDi's objective is to exceed 1 million vehicles available by 2025, which equals to four years of BYD sales (based on 2019 volumes). Such a volume is very attractive for an carmaker, so if this partnership is successful, it could be a turning point.

In China, several carmakers have developed their own ride-hailing platforms such as Xiangdao Chuxing (SAIC), Ruqi Chuxing (GAC), Huaxia Chuxing (BAIC) and Caocao Chuxing (Geely). However, compared to specialists as DiDi, these platforms have fewer users. Specialized ride-hailing platforms could therefore have a significant impact on the automotive industry in the future, if the “D1” model is successful.


    
 

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The share of foreign models produced among the eight major Chinese carmakers
What is the share of non-chinese models among the eight major Chinese carmakers?

SAIC produces cars under license for Volkswagen (38%) and GM (49%). SAIC own models (Roewe and MG) represent 13% of its production in 2020, against 7% in 2010 and 10% in 2015.

FAW produces cars under license for Volkswagen (48%) and Toyota (44%). FAW own models represent 8% of its production in 2020, compared to 15% in 2010 and 12% in 2015.

Dongfeng produces cars under license for Nissan (45%), Honda (33%), Kia (9%) and PSA (2%). Dongfeng own models represent 11% of its production in 2020, compared to 25% in 2010 and 15% in 2015.

Changan produces cars under license for Ford (18%), Mazda (14%) and Suzuki (2%). Changan own models represent 66% of its production in 2020, compared to 57% in 2010 and 47% in 2015.

Beijing produces cars under license for Mercedes (49%), Hyundai (34%) and Mitsubishi (6%). Beijing own models represent 11% of its production in 2020, compared to 14% in 2010 and 12% in 2015.

GAC produces cars under license for Honda (66%) and FCA (4%). GAC own models represent 30% of its production in 2020, against 7% in 2010 and 24% in 2015.

Brilliance produces licensed cars only for BMW (81%). Brilliance own models represent 19% of its production in 2020, compared to 77% in 2010 and 36% in 2015.

Chery produces cars under license only for Jaguar Land-Rover (8%) and since 2016.


    
 

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Inovev forecasts 400,000 units per year of the new Honda HRV
Honda has unveiled the new generation of its B-segment SUV, the HRV, which succeeds the current generation marketed between 2014 and 2021, known as Vezel in Japan or XRV in China.

This model has had some success worldwide, selling more than 2.6 million units in seven years, or 375,000 units per year, spread over six different production plants (China, Mexico , Japan, India, Brazil, Argentina), the most important of which is the Chinese plant which produced nearly half of them in 2020. Inovev forecasts 400,000 sales per year of the new Honda HRV.

The new generation of the Honda HRV radically changes its body shape, presenting a simpler and more consensual line than the previous generation with rounded lines, typical of the Honda style of five or ten years ago.

Previously offered in petrol and diesel versions, the HRV is also making its mutation by adopting an hybrid engine (e-HEV) already seen on the Jazz, Insight and CRV. In Europe, for example, it will only be marketed as an hybrid version based on a 1.5-liter petrol engine with 130 hp. This strategy is part of Honda's policy to electrify its entire lineup by 2025, like many carmakers.

The new Honda HRV competes in Europe with the Renault Captur, Peugeot 2008, Opel Mokka, Citroën C3 Aircross, Volkswagen T-Cross, Skoda Kamiq, Seat Arona, Fiat 500 X, Ford Puma, Hyundai Kona and Kia Stonic.


    
 

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Inovev forecasts 450,000 units per year of the new Mercedes C-Class
Mercedes has unveiled the new generation of its D-segment sedan, the C-Class, of which 2.5 million units of the last generation were built between 2014-2021 (and 10.5 million have been produced since 1982). Only the E-Class achieves an even greater volume at Mercedes (16 million units since 1953). But today, traditional sedans are struggling, stuck between the success of SUVs and the gradual emergence of BEVs. This is why the replacement of the C-Class is crucial for the Stuttgart brand. The model competes with the Audi A4, BMW 3 Series, Volvo S60 / V60 and Alfa-Romeo Giulia.

The new generation is longer (4.75 m) and wider (1.82 m) and benefits from a longer wheelbase (2.87 m). Its engines are now all electrified,as the 1.5-liter petrol engines with 170 hp and 204 hp, 2.0-liter 258 hp and 2.0-liter diesel engines with 163 hp, 200 hp and 265 hp benefit from micro-hybridization(48 V). A plug-in hybrid (PHEV) version based on the 1.5-liter 204 hp petrol is scheduled for next summer. Large 3-liter and 4-liter engines will not be renewed.

The new C-Class will be produced in Bremen (Germany), Beijing (China) and East London (South Africa), but will no longer be produced in Tuscaloosa (USA), as demand has become insufficient in the North American market.

The production of the old C-Class had plunged sharply in 2019 and 2020, dropping from 523,000 units per year to 342,000, not only because of the Covid-19 but also because of the launch of its competitor the BMW 3 Series in 2018. The new generation will try to boost sales of the C-Class which should approach 450,000 units per year according to Inovev.


    
 

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