The American market shrinks by 22.5% in the first half of 2020
The American car market (USA) for passenger cars and light trucks (considered as passenger cars in Europe and China) fell by 22.5% over the first 6 months of 2020, compared to -21.9% over the first 5 months and -20% over the first 4 months, compared to the same period in 2019. The improvement of the American market is therefore still not foreseeable. 

Still positive in February 2020 (+ 10.3%), as it was not yet affected by the coronavirus crisis, this market rolled into the red from March 2020 (-36.9%) and this trend was amplified in April (-46.1%) before returning to a smaller drop in May (-28.7%) and in June (-25.3%).

Who were the carmakers most affected during this Covid-19 crisis in the United States? Tesla sees its sales almost doubling when the declines of GM (-21.6%), Ford (-23.1%) and Chrysler (-25.9%) are almost equal to the decline in the market as a whole. But we also note the relatively “good performance” of the Korean group Hyundai-Kia (-16.2%) which achieves a much better performance than the Japanese, German and British groups.


    
 

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Inovev forecasts 150,000 units per year of the new VW Caddy
Volkswagen has unveiled the new generation of its compact utility Caddy, which will continue to be marketed as a passenger transport version (under the name of ludospace) or as a light utility vehicle. This vehicle competes with the Renault Kangoo (which will be renewed this summer), Citroën Berlingo, Peugeot Partner, Opel Combo, Fiat Doblo, Mercedes Citan, Ford Transit Courier and Connect.

Each year, between 140,000 and 160,000 units of the Volkswagen Caddy are sold, half of which are passenger transport versions which serve as a more economical variant of the more expensive Volkswagen Touran. Today, it sells twice as many Caddy as Touran, the latter is expected to disappear without a successor. MPVs are indeed on the way out, while passenger transport derivative versions of the utility vehicles (like the Dacia Dokker) continue to sell well.

The new Volkswagen Caddy therefore sees its cabin space increasing thanks to a length augmented by 9 cm (4.51 m), a width by 6 cm (1.86 m) and a wheelbase by 7 cm (2.76 m) ). Like the Kangoo, Berlingo and Partner, an extended version (4.86 m) is available.

The new Caddy uses the MQB platform as the new Golf. Its engines are: 1.0 TSI petrol with 116 hp, 1.4 TGI natural gas with 110 hp and 2.0 TDI diesel with 102 hp and 122 hp. The new Caddy will continue to be produced at the Volkswagen site in Poznan (Poland) at the rate of 150,000 units per year according to Inovev.


    
 

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Fiat will rebuild its range with its own platforms
For several years, the Fiat brand has focused on the A segment, with two model families, one consisting of the 500 and the other consisting of the Panda. The Italian brand, once one of the first in Europe in terms of sales, has gradually abandoned the F-segment (Fiat 130), the E-segment (Fiat Croma), the D-segment (Fiat Tempra) and the B-segment (Fiat Punto). ). Fiat had a significant market share in most of these segments, especially in the B. In the C-segment, the Fiat Tipo has a small market share compared to the Volkswagen Golf, Ford Focus, Peugeot 308, Renault Megane and Opel Astra . So there remains the A-segment with the Fiat 500 and Panda, even if the 500L and 500X derivatives are rather to be considered as B-segment models due to their dimensions (but whose market share is very low compared to the old Punto).

According to Fiat, the Panda will become a family, just like the 500 (500, 500C, 500 Electric, 500L, 500X). In addition, the Panda family will return to the B-segment in 2022, in order to note compete the 500, (the 500L and 500X are planned to disappear). The future Panda will be based on the Centoventi concept and will be available in an electric version, like the 500.

The wish of the Fiat management is also to apply the Centoventi concept to the C and D segments. The Fiat range will thus be completely rebuilt after its partial destruction under the Marchionne era.

It is only after this new generation of 500 and Panda that the PSA and Fiat groups will share their platforms and engines, that is to say after 2022.


    
 

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The Chinese market is down 22.5% in the first half of 2020
The Chinese market of passenger car fell 22.5% in the first 6 months of 2020, whereas it fell by -27.5% in the first 5 months and
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35.5% in the first 4 months , compared to the same period of 2019. The market is improving because the month of June was positive (+ 2.1%) like the month of May (+ 7.2%), the first positive month since 2018. We can therefore say that the coronavirus crisis seems to have passed in China and that future months will be on the rise.

However, Inovev indicates that the catching up of missed sales in February and March 2020 will not take place, the market should remain slightly down for the full year, probably between -7.5% and -12, 5%. The Chinese government is forecasting a 10% drop in the market over the year as a whole. To end 2020 at -10%, a second semester at + 12.5% would be needed, which does not seem impossible, given the results recorded in May and June.

It is to remind that the month of March posted a drop of 48.4% and the month of February a drop of 81.7% during the peak of the coronavirus crisis. April was back to the level of April of last year.

China was the first major nation affected by the pandemic to restart and return to a level of sales comparable to that of 2019 as of May 2020, which is not at all the case for the European and American markets which will remain in negative throughout the year. China's weight in terms of world registrations will therefore be greater after the crisis than before the crisis.


    
 

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The Japanese market shrinks by 20.1% in the first half of 2020
The Japanese automobile market for passenger cars fell 20.1% in the first 6 months of 2020, compared to the first half of 2019, due to the coronavirus crisis. The Japanese auto market had already suffered a decline of 14.1% in the first four months of 2020 compared to the same period of 2019.

The month of June recorded a decline of 22.6%, which was still significant, but well below the drop of 46.7% in May and 30.4% in April. The months of January, February and March were much better with decreases of -12.1%, -9.8% and -8.9% respectively. The first three months of 2020 took advantage of the fact that lockdown had not yet taken place, for the population, for factories for dealerships in Japan.

As for imports, they have not played a significant role since for the past thirty years, the share of imports in Japan has fluctuated between 5.5% and 6.5% and therefore remain today at a very low level. Japan is one of the countries where the percentage of imports remains the lowest.

The Japanese market decline is expected to be around 10% to 15% for the year as a whole.


    
 

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