How the European automotive industry will remain the world leader

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How the European automotive industry will remain the world leader

- A meeting of European Ministers of Industry is scheduled for December 10 in Brussels to coordinate the actions to be taken to tackle the crisis on the European  soil.

- Commissioner Tajani has proposed an action plan including on innovation, the opening of foreign markets and anticipation of restructuring. In order to prepare the December meeting, he announced discussions  with unions and manufacturers. The Commissioner wants to encourage the use of the European Social Fund for the retraining of employees who lost their jobs, by investing in actions for conversion and training. For innovation, he wants to increase by 1 billion euros the EU funding envelope to support research and development, that would rise to 2 billion euros for the period 2014-2020.

- "We must anticipate what will happen in 2050, with nearly 2.5 billion cars in the world. We need to develop electric cars, hydrogen or hybrid, "urged MrTajani.  He also said that he agrees with carmakers who urge the Commission to impose stricter conditions for free trade agreements in preparation with United States, China and India. In Europe, the automotive industry accounts for 12 million jobs, contributes for 70 billion euros in the trade balance and annually invests around 28 billion euros in R & D.


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Renault has released its 2013-2016 product plan

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Renault has released its 2013-2016 product plan
- Renault is expected to launch the facelifted Fluence in March 2013, market the small SUV Captur (based on  Clio) in July and reshape the Kangoo in October of the same year.

- Renault should then launch a "mini Twingo" designed in partnership with Daimler in March 2014, the restyled Scénic III in September and Mégane IV in December of the same year.

- An off-road recreation ("baby Koleos") based on the Megane IV in December 2015 and the new Alpine in March 2016 should be launched afterwards.

- Conversely, some projects are on hold due to the crisis. Laguna IV would not be replaced before 2016 and the Scenic IV launch has been postponed from late 2014 to late 2015.

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Renault confirms its commitment to Spain

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Renault confirms its commitment to Spain
- Renault announced the company’s new 2014-2016 Industrial Plan on 21st November 2012:
“Renault has decided to assign the Palencia plant with two new vehicle platforms, one a derivative of the other, and shared with Nissan. The new platforms cover four vehicle bodies in all, annual production of which will total up to 280,000 units.”
- From our information, the “two new vehicle platforms, one a derivative of the other” would be the new Megane (220 000 units/year) with its derivative SUV (Baby Koleos, 60 000 units/year). The four vehicle bodies would relate to 3 versions of the new Megane (sedan, estate, coupe) and the SUV version.
- The carmaker has also confirmed the “launch phase production of a small B-vehicle” (Captur) at Valladolid plant.
- After several years of strong decrease, particularly of French and American companies, automotive production in Spain will increase again in the next years (see Inovev’s forecast here underneath).
- Both French and American carmakers are launching new models.

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5 carmakers account for over 50% of global sales

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5 carmakers account for over 50% of global sales

- According to the German Institute for Automotive Research CAR, the top 5 global manufacturers (Toyota, Volkswagen, General Motors, Renault-Nissan and Hyundai-Kia) would sell a total of 42.6 million vehicles in 2012, representing a global market share of 53.1%.

- In 2011, these five manufacturers had sold 39.1 million vehicles, representing a global market share of 53.3%.
In 2010, these five manufacturers had sold 37 million vehicles, representing a global market share of 52.5%.

- In addition, the Institute also believes that the CAR Korean Hyundai-Kia is the manufacturer who has the greatest room for improvement and could become the first global automotive group in 2020, thus barring the Volkswagen target to become the first manufacturer World from 2018.


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The worldwide automotive fleet might double from now to 2035

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The worldwide automotive fleet might double from now to 2035
- According to the International Energy Agency (IEA):
•The number of vehicles on the roads in the world might double from 870 million units currently to 1.7 billion units in 2035, driven by growth in emerging countries.
•The  motorization rate of  China, which is already the second automotive market after Europe, might increase from 40 cars per 1 000 inhabitants in 2010 to 310 cars in 2035. Its fleet, which currently account for 60 million vehicles, might exceed the 400 million units at this horizon. The number of cars in India might  increase from 15 million units currently to 160 million units in 2035.
•In terms of motorizations, the Agency states that internal combustion engine vehicles will continue to dominate the market for light vehicles until 2035. At this horizon, electric vehicles might represent 4% of sales, hybrids 21% i.e. a quarter of the market altogether. In 2011, only 40,000 electric vehicles were sold in the world.
- From the point of view of Inovev however, these figures must be treated with caution, because they are based on a continuity of mobility modes. And breaking scenarii are quite possible in the next 20 years.

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  1. Chery and Jaguar Land Rover start a joint venture plant in Changshu
  2. Brakes on alliance GM/PSA
  3. Renault wants to increase the competitiveness of its plants in Europe
  4. Toyota sold 4.6 millions of hybrid vehicles since 1997
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