Europe- 27: evolution by carmaker group and country control – 2000 to 2013
 

We have presented in a recent analysis the evolution of carmakers on the European market by brand from 2000 to 2013.


This document focuses on an analysis by group and by control group (country where the  final decisions are made) over the same period. For such an analysis, the Renault-Nissan alliance has a special positioning. Is it a group or an alliance? Renault is by far the first shareholder of Nissan (with 45 %) while Nissan owns 15% of Renault capital. It is therefore usual to consolidate the data of Renault group (Renault-Dacia-Samsung) and Nissan group (Nissan-Infiniti), in the same way as the number of vehicles produced in Chinese JV are consolidated into Western and Japanese groups. However, in order to get a precise idea of the situation, we have constructed two different views:

° one where we consider that Renault and Nissan are two different groups, with France as  Renault control country and Japan as Nissan control country (left view)

° a second one where Renault and Nissan are consolidated into one group and the corresponding control country is France (right view).


In both assumptions, Volkswagen group is far ahead of the second group. Volkswagen group has continuously increased its market share, from 18.5 % in 2000 to 25% in 2013, by maintaining its volume in Europe in spite of the crisis. The two French carmakers come in second and third position. But a big difference appears. PSA group has continuously declined since 2002. The Renault group (Renault and Dacia, excluding Nissan), on its side, has taken advantage of the strong increase of Dacia and the good performance in Europe of Nissan. The Renault-Nissan group is ahead of PSA since 2010 and has very well weathered the crisis with a market share increasing from 10,7% in 2006 to 12,1% in 2013 (but without not coming back to the 13;5% market share reached in 2000).


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The SUV market is growing strongly in China
 
The Chinese passenger car market for SUVs is experiencing strong growth, a growth similar to that of Europe. While in 2008 the share of SUVs in the market accounted for 6.6% of passenger cars, in 2013 it represents 16.4% (over the first 10 months). A share equal to that of  SUVs in Europe (16.5% in 2013) with an almost equivalent increase (the share of SUVs in Europe was 7.8% in 2008).

SUV is now the second most sold body type in China behind sedans (67% market share in 2013), overtaking the share of Mini-Vans previously very popular in China (-5.7% market share between 2008 and 2013).

100% Chinese manufacturers (excluding JV) are the first SUV vendors in China with a 40% market share. One can explain this share through the presence of many small manufacturers, whose SUV models are sold in small quantities.

However, in a top 20 carmakers (SUV market) dominated by the Hyundai-Kia group, half of the carmakers are 100% Chinese. These Chinese manufacturers produced nearly 30 000 SUV in the first 10 months of 2013, and the Chinese carmaker Great Wall is in second place just behind the Korean group.

Finally, the best-selling models this year are from segment C (VW Tiguan - Haval H6 - Hyundai ix35 ..) and segment D (Honda CR-V -
Audi Q5 - Toyota RAV4 ..). Despite the presence of Haval M in the top 5, the Mini SUV (segment B) is hardly present in the Chinese market. The presence of the Buick Encore and the Ford Ecosport coupled with the arrival of upcoming new models could like in Europe, increase the share of this segment.


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Europe- 27: evolution by carmaker brand – 2000 to 2013
 
In a European market in continuous decline since 2000, some brands have lost ground while other ones have gained market share.

One top winner is the Volkswagen group whose all the brands have achieved excellent performances from 2007 to the current year. The brand Volkswagen has maintained its volume in spite of the crisis, and therefore increased its market share, from around 11 % to more than 12%. The brand Skoda, has doubled its market share from 2 % in 2005 to 4 % in 2013. The brand Audi has increased its market share by 40 % from 2007 to the current year. Only the brand Seat has “only” maintained its 2.4% market share.

Another big winner is the Hyundai group whose both brands, Hyundai and KIA, have increased their sales significantly in a declining market.

Ford and Opel have continuously decreased from 2007. Fiat has a special position.  The big success of Fiat 500 lead the brand to a 7% market share in 2009  (same as in 2000) but it fell down again to 4.75 % in 2013 (same as in 2007).

The two French carmaker groups, PSA and Renault, present a different face. In PSA group, the Peugeot brand has continuously declined since 2002 while Citroen has less decreasedThe Renault brand has also strongly decreased. But in the same time, Dacia has strongly increased, as well as Nissan (both in Renault-Nissan group).

Toyota had increased very much in the year 2005 and 2006, approaching a 6 % market share but came back in 2013 to a 4% market share (same as in 2001).

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Conversely to Generalists, Premium carmakers have well weathered the crisis
 

The European market has strongly declined from 2007 to 2013.
This evolution is the consequence of two main factors:

° less users of cars, especially in dense populated zones of Europe where people turn to collective transportation ways and/or soft ways (bikes and motorbikes).

° less driven kilometers and consequently longer use time of vehicles


But we can differentiate very clearly the market of “Premium” cars from the market of “Generalist” (Non-Premium cars).
While the “Generalist” car market has continuously declined, the “Premium" market has
stabilised around 2 million vehicles per year. What is nevertheless surprising is that "Premium"  market has not increased in volume while European carmakers have widened significantly their offer of models.


- Consequently, the “ Premium” carmakers have been in better position to withstand the crisis. However only Audi could recover its pre-crisis level. And one “Generalist” carmaker brand, Volkswagen, has maintained its volume (with however a slowdown in 2013) and increase significantly its market share.

 

 
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Nissan unveiled the new Qashqai
 

Nissan has unveiled the new generation of crossover Qashqai,  to be manufactured in the UK Sunderland plant from early 2014.


Pioneer of compact crossovers (C segment), the Qashqai has become over the years one of the most produced and sold vehicle in Europe.


Considering the data of the first eight months of 2013, the Qashqai positions itself in eighth position (142,081 units ) in Europe, which represents the best performance of the model since its launch in 2007. For the full year 2013, it is expected to exceed 210,000 units sold in Europe (310,000 units are produced at total in 2013 in Sunderland (Inovev’s estimates)).


Currently, about 100,000 units are exported annually from Sunderland, to Ukraine, China, Japan and chiefly Russia (35 000 vehicles in 2013).


From 2014 or 2015 Nissan Qashqai for the Russian market will be produced locally in the Saint Petersburg, at 50 000 units per year. This site currently manufactures Nissan Teana and X -Trail .


The Qashqai is not sold in North America as Nissan chose Rogue ( American version of the future X -Trail ) as the vehicle best suited to this market.

 
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