Market balance USA 9 months 2022
After two very weak years in 2020 and 2021, the US automotive market (PC+LUV) is catching up in the second half of 2022, albeit only very modestly.

For example, the third quarter of 2022 shows a sales volume of 3.5 million units, compared to 3.4 million units in 2021 and 3.9 million units in 2020.

In 2020, the U.S. market recorded a volume of 14.5 million vehicles, with 6.4 million units in the first half of the year and 8.1 million units in the second half. The first half of the year had been severely affected by the Covid 19 crisis (closure of factories and car dealerships), which is why the first half of 2020 was so poor. As for the second half, sales missed in the first half were made up.

In 2021, the U.S. market recorded a volume of 15.1 million vehicles, with 8.3 million units in the first half of the year and 6.8 million units in the second half, as this period was affected by the semiconductor crisis, which caused a delay in the production and delivery of models. The second half of 2021 was therefore much lower in volume terms than the second half of 2020.

The first half of 2022 continued the pace of the second half of 2021 (6.8 million sales).

In the first nine months of 2022, the U.S. market is down 12.7% compared to the first nine months of 2021. 93% of these are internal combustion engine vehicles or HEVs, 6% BEVs and 1% PHEVs.


 
    
 

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Market balance China 9 months 2022
The Chinese automotive market (PC+LUV) is one of the few major markets to record significantly better sales figures in 2022 than in 2020 and 2021, especially from the third quarter onwards.

The third quarter of 2022 shows a sales volume of 6.6 million units, compared to 4.9 million units in the third quarter of 2021 and 5.5 million units in the third quarter of 2020, representing an increase of 35% in 2022 compared to 2021 and 20% compared to 2020.

The year 2020, as in other countries, had been marked by the Covid 19 crisis, which led to the closure of car factories and dealers, causing the market to decline by 6% compared to 2019.

The first half of 2020 had shown an extremely low number for China, with 7.8 million sales, which was partially made up by a decent second half (12.4 million units), with the full-year figure reaching 20.2 million units.

The year 2021 was a catch-up year, pretty much matching the pace of the second half of 2020 (21.5 million units, including 10.0 million in the first half and 11.5 million in the second half).

In the first half of 2022, this pace continued, interrupted by a temporary return of the Covid 19 crisis in April, resulting in a sales volume of 10.3 million in that half, roughly the same as in the first half of 2021.

By the end of September 2022, the Chinese market grew 14.5% year-on-year, with 74% of vehicles being internal combustion engine or HEVs, 20% BEVs and 6% PHEVs.


 
    
 

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Market balance India 9 months 2022
The Indian automotive market (PC+LUV) recovered some of its loss in 2022 after two weak years in 2020 and 2021, as registration volumes did not exceed 2.9 million units in 2020 and 3.7 million units in 2021, compared to 3.8 million units in 2019.

In the first half of 2022, 1.9 million units were registered, compared to 1.85 million in the first half of 2021 and 1.0 million in the first half of 2020, a small increase from the previous year and a doubling of volume compared to 2020. However, it is still behind the numbers achieved in the first half of 2019 (over 2 million units).

The year 2020 had been marked by the Covid 19 crisis, which caused the Indian market to slump in March, April and May due to the closure of factories and car dealerships. The Indian market had recovered well in the second half of 2020 (1.9 million sales) compared to the first half (1.0 million sales).

The year 2021 started at the same pace as the second half of 2020, but May crashed again due to the return of the Covid 19. The first half of 2021 ended with a volume of 1.9 million sales. The second half of the year continued that pace with 1.8 million sales.

In the first nine months of 2022, the Indian market grew by 5.5% compared to the first nine months of 2021, which is the best performance for a major global market after China. During this period, 99% were internal combustion engine vehicles or HEVs and 1% were BEVs.


 
    
 

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Market balance Japan 9 months 2022
The Japanese automotive market (PC+LUV) recorded very similar registration volumes in 2020, 2021 and 2022, despite the Covid 19 and semiconductor crises. It seems that Japanese manufacturers suffered less from the semiconductor crisis than European and American manufacturers.

In 2020, the registration volume reached 4.6 million units and 4.4 million units in 2021, so the impact of the crises was very small. However, a slight decline of 5% can be observed between 2020 and 2021.

The first half of 2020 accounted for 2.2 million units and the second half for 2.4 million units.

The first half of 2021 included 2.4 million units and the second half included 2.0 million units, with the second half weakening between September and December.

The first half of 2022 accounted for 2.1 million units, slightly less than in 2020 and 2021, but the third quarter returned to 2021 levels at 1.0 million units, compared with 1.2 million units in the third quarter of 2020.

The year could end with a volume of 4.2 million sales, which would represent a further decline of 5%, although the Japanese market will record a decline of 10% in the first nine months of 2022, in line with the decline in Europe and lower than the decline in the U.S. (-12.7%). During this period, 98% will be accounted for by vehicles with internal combustion engines or HEVs, 1% by BEVs and 1% by PHEVs.


 
    
 

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Inovev expects 75,000 units per year from the new Ford Mustang
The seventh generation Ford Mustang (coupe and convertible) has just been unveiled. It looks confusingly similar to the previous generation and has the same internal combustion engines. The manufacturer has announced that this will be the last version of the model with an internal combustion engine, which will be replaced by a 100% electric model by 2030 at the latest, like the Mustang Mach-E SUV launched in 2020, which is a Mustang in name only.

However, the Mustang Mach-E sold better than the 2022 Mustang, as 54,000 units were sold worldwide in the first nine months of 2022, compared to 47,000 internal combustion engine Mustangs.

The Ford Mustang (whose first generation dates back to 1964) remains, despite everything, -first: the only passenger car in the U.S. of the Ford Group, since all Ford and Lincoln sedans have disappeared there. -second: the best-selling car in the "Pony Cars" category, ahead of the Dodge Challenger and the Chevrolet Camaro, both of which, by the way, are scheduled to be discontinued by the end of the year.

So in 2023, the Ford Mustang will be the only pony car still in production, which Inovev says will allow it to improve its sales numbers, which were very low in 2020, 2021 and 2022. Inovev expects sales of 75,000 vehicles per year by 2030, but it is true that Pony Cars now represent a very small part of the U.S. market. Their sales have declined from 320,000 units in 2015 to 120,000 units in 2022. At a time when SUVs are ubiquitous and electric vehicles are growing steadily, pony cars are seeing their influence wane.


 
    
 

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