Volkswagen prepares to launch its ID2 electric model
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Volkswagen prepares to launch its ID2 electric model
- After the launch in 2020 of the 100% electric Volkswagen ID3 and ID4, of which 20,000 units have already been sold in Europe during the first 10 months of 2020 (their marketing began last July), the manufacturer is already preparing the launch of the ID2 scheduled for 2023. This 100% electric model based on the MEB platform, like the ID3 and ID4 of segment C, will be the size of a Polo and will therefore complete the range of IDs to segment B. The future ID2 will thus compete with the Renault Zoé, Peugeot e-208 and Opel e-Corsa which represent a good part of the sales of electric cars in Europe.
- It will be sold at a similar price, close to 30,000 euros, a Zoé being offered at 32,300 euros, an e-208 at 32,300 euros and an e-Corsa at 31,300 euros (excluding bonuses). According to our information, the future Volkswagen ID2 will be produced in Emden (Germany) from 2023, alongside its Seat and Skoda derivatives. This plant should also host the future A-segment Volkswagen ID1 which will replace the electric Up, as well as its derivatives Seat and Skoda which will replace the electric Mii and Citigo now manufactured in Bratislava. The future ID1 models and derivatives will be offered at a price close to 20,000 euros.
- Before the ID1 and ID2, the German manufacturer should launch the ID5 (segment D) in 2021 and the ID Buzz (Kombi) in 2022, still on the MEB platform. The range of electric cars of the Volkswagen group is therefore being built at high speed, since in 2023, there should be no less than a dozen different models in its European range, sold under the brands Volkswagen, Seat and Skoda. Audi and Porsche will also have their own models (see next article).
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Audi prepares to launch the Q4 e-tron and Q5 e-tron
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Audi prepares to launch the Q4 e-tron and Q5 e-tron
- Inovev has already presented the upcoming launch of the Q4 e-tron C-segment SUV, which, as its name suggests, will be located in the manufacturer's range between the Q3 and Q5. This model, which should see the light of day in 2021, will be based on the MEB platform and will probably be produced in one of the two Audi factories located in Germany (Ingolstadt and Neckarsulm). It will precede the launch in 2022 of the Q5 e-tronwhich has just been announced and which should logically be manufactured in Mexico, like its version with thermal engine. Given that the current price of the E-tron (which should have been called Q6 e-tron) is between 72,000 euros and 96,000 euros, and between 75,000 euros and 99,000 euros in its Sportback version, and that the Estimated price of the Q4 e-tron is around 60,000 euros, it can be deduced that the price of the Q5 e-tron could be between 65,000 euros and 75,000 euros, making it an expensive vehicle therefore unlikely to be sold in large quantities. The future Q5 e-tron will probably be offered as a standard version and as a Sportback version.
- Note that the future D-segment Audi Q5 e-tron will have its counterpart at Porsche, it is the future Macan in its electric version which should be launched in 2022. With the Porsche Taycan and its Audi E-tron GT counterpart, there should be six different 100% electric models from these two brands in 2023, not counting the Sportback versions.
- The Volkswagen group has taken great care to separate the 100% electric ranges of Volkswagen-Seat-Skoda from those of Audi-Porsche-Bentley. There will be no direct link between the two divisions regarding this type of models.
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The market share of BEVs and PHEVs in the various European countries
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The market share of BEVs and PHEVs in the various European countries
- Sales of electric and plug-in hybrid cars represented 9% of the European market over the first nine months of 2020, compared to 3.5% in 2019 and 2.5% in 2018.
- But the distribution of sales is very different from country to country. Already, the countries of Eastern Europe have bought little of this type of vehicle since their market share does not exceed 2%. In Western European countries, it is close to 10% (9.7%).
- The European countries which hold the largest market share of electric and plug-in hybrid cars are Norway with a record share of 70.8%, Sweden with a share of 27.9%, Finland with a share of 16.6 %, the Netherlands with a share of 15.8% and Denmark with a share of 13.0%. The Scandinavian countries are therefore the most demanding of this type of vehicle. Switzerland (11.8%), Portugal (11.5%), Germany (10.0%), France (9.5%) and Great Britain (9.0%) follow.
- These nine countries account for 85% of sales of electric and plug-in hybrid cars. The other twenty countries (including those located in Eastern Europe) therefore represent only 15% of sales of this type of model. The largest volumes are represented by Germany, France, Great Britain, Norway and Sweden. Smaller volumes are represented by Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Greece.
- It is possible that the expected growth in sales of electric and plug-in hybrid cars in the 2020s will remain concentrated in countries with high purchasing power as they do today, given the high price of this type of vehicle.
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Tesla begins production of Model Y in China
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Tesla begins production of Model Y in China
- The Californian manufacturer Tesla started producing cars in China from April 2020. The total number of cars manufactured over the whole year will exceed 100,000 units, since in the first ten months the manufacturer produced 93,000. units. We are more likely to approach the 130,000 units produced at the end of December, the vast majority of which being sold locally. The cars produced up to the end of October 2020 were all 100% electric-powered Model 3 sedans, which correspond well to the Chinese government's desire to encourage Chinese customers to buy electric cars. The Model 3 is a success in China as it has become in a few months the best-selling electric car on the Chinese market, ahead of manufacturers established in this market for several years, such as BYD or BAIC.
- Faced with this unexpected success, the Californian manufacturer is putting a second model into production in November 2020 at its Shanghai factory. This is the Model Y that can be considered as the SUV version of the Model 3 sedan. The electric SUV market has indeed been growing in China since last year, with the breakthrough of the MG ZS SUV in particular. which is also exported to Europe. For the Model 3, the capacity of the Shanghai plant had been set at 200,000 vehicles per year, and October 2020 saturated production capacity over a month, with a volume of 20,000 cars produced. With the arrival of the Model Y, the production capacity of the Shanghai plant will be doubled to 400,000 vehicles per year. Tesla wants at the same time to increase its leadership position in the electric car in China.
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The strategy of the future Stellantis group is taking shape
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The strategy of the future Stellantis group is taking shape
The plan to merge the PSA and FCA groups is on track. It should become reality in a few weeks, because the European Commission seems to want to give its agreement for the achievement of this merger of the two groups. In the meantime, the strategy of the future Stellantis group is becoming clearer:
1 / FCA would have committed to the production and marketing of future models on the basis of PSA platforms (CMP on A / B segments, EMP2 on C / D segments, EVMP for electrics in C / D segments).
2 / The future group should only use 4 main platforms in addition to utility vehicles (including Ram pick-ups), namely CMP, EMP2, EVMP platforms and a platform from FCA dedicated to large models.
3 / The Chrysler 300, Dodge Charger and Dodge Challenger will therefore be renewed, while the old FCA plan condemned these three models. Likewise, the Lancia brand would no longer be abandoned. The Ypsilon model would be renewed on a CMP platform.
4 / The two manufacturers are said to have undertaken to rationalize their catalog of commercial vehicles. The future Fiat Doblo would thus take over the bodywork of the Citroën Berlingo, Peugeot Partner and Opel Combo. The Fiorino would be abandoned. The Talento would take over the bodywork of the Citroën Jumpy, Peugeot Expert and Opel Vivaro.
5 / The acquisition of JLR (mentioned several times) would be carefully studied, even if it is not a priority for the Stellantis group.
It would nonetheless make it possible to have two Premium brands with strong sales potential and known internationally.
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