Volkswagen hopes to sell 50,000 units per year of the new Tarok pickup truck
The compact pickup market is developing modestly but surely in Brazil. This drove Renault to launch the Duster Oroch in 2015, and Fiat the Toro in 2015. Volkswagen is now entering this market, the Amarok launched in 2010 being in the superior category like the Nissan Navara, Ford Ranger and Chevrolet S10.

In terms of volume, the Fiat Toro will achieve 70,000 sales in 2018 and the Renault Duster Oroch 35,000 sales, up from 2017. Volkswagen hopes to sell 50,000 Tarok pickups each year.

This model comes in the form of a four-door pickup (this is the most requested form now in this category of vehicles). Its engine is a 2-liter petrol that can run on alcohol (as is customary in Brazil), and develops 150hp.

Volkswagen is also planning to enter the full sized pick-up market soon, this time in North America, as these vehicles represent a significant volume of sales. However, it will be difficult to attack head-on the Chevrolet, Ford and Dodge Ram brands that enjoy a large and loyal customer base. And since imports of such vehicles are taxed at 25% in the United States, Volkswagen would consider using Ford USA for the design and manufacture of such a model. Already, a pickup truck derived from the VW Atlas (medium tonnage pickup) is scheduled for 2020.


    
 

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Renault confirms the arrival of new models in Maubeuge and Sandouville
Renault has confirmed the arrival of a third utility model on the Maubeuge site. This is the Nissan version derived from the Renault Kangoo and Mercedes Citan, which will be called NV250 and will be a distant descendant of Nissan Kubistar.

Renault has also confirmed the arrival on the Sandouville site of a Mitsubishi utility model based on Renault Trafic, which will compensate for the shutdown of the Opel Vivaro, since the new generation of the Vivaro (2019) will be derived from PSA rather than Renault  models.

Regarding the Nissan NV250 launched early 2019, it is a model based on the current Renault Kangoo rather than the new generation expected in late 2019. The Mercedes Citan will also keep its current body until next year.

In 2017, the Maubeuge site produced more than 164,000 vehicles (including 128,000 Kangoo and 36,000 Citan). With the addition of the Nissan NV250, production is expected to increase in 2019.

Regarding the Mitsubishi van (whose name is still unknown), it should be produced in Sandouville from the autumn of 2019, to be exported mainly to the Australian and New Zealand markets. It will complete the production of Trafic (107,000 units in 2017), the Nissan NV300 (9,000 units), the Fiat Talento (18,000 units) and compensate for the shutdown of Opel Vivaro (7,000 units), produced only at Luton (United Kingdom) from autumn 2019.


    
 

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New decline in European markets in October 2018
The introduction of the new WLTP standards that replace the old NEDC standards continues to disrupt the European market during the second half of 2018.

After the sharp rises recorded in July and August, due to over-registration or massive destocking of vehicles to old standards, the European passenger car market recorded a sharp drop in September (-23% for all of Western Europe) and a further, smaller drop in October (-7.5% for the whole of Western Europe).

As a result, over the first 10 months of 2018, the European passenger car market is growing by 1.5%, and the figures should be better in November and December. This means that the European market could record growth of between 2.0% and 3.0% over the year, which is in line with Inovev forecasts, which predicted 2.9% growth in 2018 at the beginning of summer.

It can be seen from the graphs below that some countries are doing better than others, especially France, which has the lowest sales declines in September and October, and this country is also posting the strongest sales growth in Western Europe for the 10 first months of 2018 (+ 5.7%) behind Spain (+ 10.0%) and the Netherlands (+ 8.1%), but ahead of the Germany, Belgium, Italy and the United Kingdom.


    
 

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GM and Ford fall behind in electric cars
While the Volkswagen, Daimler, BMW, Renault-Nissan and more recently PSA groups have announced their various projects in the field of electric cars (launch forecasts, creation of dedicated platforms, sales forecasts, etc. ...),  two US manufacturers  - GM and Ford - remain very discreet about their strategy in this area.

Highly disappointed with the commercial results of their respective electric and hybrid models, such as the Chevrolet Volt, Chevrolet Bolt, Ford Focus EV, Ford Fusion PHEV, GM and Ford groups felt encouraged by the Trump administration - which relaxed emissions and fuel consumption restrictions in the United States - to reduce their investment in new generation electric vehicles and to invest in large-sized combustion engine vehicles.

These two manufacturers may well miss the boat by ignoring new technologies, which could lead in the medium term to their marginalization (or even their disappearance) because global markets are now all oriented towards developing sales of electric vehicles.

Ford, aware of its delay in this area, is negotiating with the Volkswagen Group to try to equip its future models with VW electrical technology, which should lead to some compensation, notably around the role of Ford’s persistently fragile European subsidiary.


    
 

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Renault will probably not replace Espace and Talisman
The Renault Product Plan recently detailed in Inovev Auto-Analyses reveals that the Espace (D segment MPV) and Talisman (D segment sedan) will be restyled in 2019 but will not be replaced until 2023, while their launch dates back to 2014 for the former and to 2015 for the latter.

Inovev believes that these models will not be replaced, as their sales volume does not meet company objectives at all, and there is no reason to expect that their replacements would achieve better results.

In the first nine months of 2018, the Talisman sold 16,000 units (21,000 over the year as against 29,000 in 2017 and 54,000 in 2016), while the Espace  has not exceeded 10,000 sales (13,000 over the whole year against 18,000 in 2017 and 29,000 in 2016).

Both models should be sold until the end of their life cycle and will make way for the new generation of Renault electric cars which should start production in 2021 on the Douai site.

The Renault Scénic will remain on the Douai site, at least until 2023. Its sales reached 83,000  in the first nine months of 2018 (against 109,000 in 2017 and 80,000 in 2016), which augurs a volume of 110,000 to 112,000 units throughout the year.


    
 

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