Manufacturers SUV production in Europe
 

Even if the market for SUVs (and crossovers) has continued to grow in Europe for a dozen years, the production of SUVs (and crossovers) marked a pause in 2013 (as in 2009) due to clearance organised by manufacturers, a reduced sales price of large SUVs (eg Volkswagen) and the end of the life cycle of the segment leader (Nissan Qashqai) that will be replaced early 2014.


By manufacturer, the Volkswagen Group remains the European leader of SUV sales in 2013, almost on par with the Renault-Nissan group that maintained its position thanks to the good sale figures of the Dacia Duster and the arrival of the Renault Captur. Behind these two SUV leaders (650 000 units produced for each of them), follows far behind the Tata Group (Land Rover) which produced 350 000 units. Followed by BMW, Hyundai-Kia, PSA and Volvo.


By segment, we can see on the chart below that the SUV boom in Europe was possible thanks to a broadening towards segment C from 2007 to 2012 and then another towards segment B from 2010 to 2013, while segments D, E and F have been sluggish or on the decline. The offer has therefore focused in recent years on SUV segment B and C.


By model, we can observe thanks to the graph on the next page that out of the 30 models produced in Europe, the Nissan Qashqai, VW Tiguan, Nissan Juke and Land Rover Evoque represent a third of total European production of SUVs.


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In Europe segment A is expected to grow in 2014-2015-2016
 

Segment A is expected to increase during 2014-2015-2016 in Europe particularly depending on the arrival in the market of new products such as the Renault Twingo, Smart Fortwo, Citroen C1, Peugeot 108, Toyota Aygo and Ford Ka, but also thanks to the recovery (moderate) of French, Spanish and Italian markets.


"Premium" positioned carmakers consisting of the Fiat 500 and the Opel Adam is expected to grow slightly. Unless there are last minute changes, there should be no new competitors to these two vehicles for the period 2014-2015-2016, unless there is a new Smart Fortwo. The Audi (A0?) and BMW (Series 0?) could nevertheless position themselves on this segment, but for now no announcements have been made.


Thanks to the new product effect and the recovery of South European markets, segment A could regain a market share of 10% to 12% between 2014 and 2016 (without scrappage incentives), while the 12% peak in 2009 was achieved through these bonuses.


Since B-segment cars evolve in terms of size, prices and services, the usual buyers of this segment  could turn to segment A. In addition, EU regulations (consumption, pollution, access to urban centres ...) push consumers  towards  the small car market.


However, development of low cost ranges in segment B (example: Dacia Sandero) could limit the growth of cars from segment A. In fact for the price of a  segment A car, the potential buyer can acquire a simpler car with higher benefits (especially roominess).

 
14-02-9  
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Is 2013 the beginning of vehicle weight decrease?
 
The average weight of passenger cars vehicles produced in Europe (weight of vehicles weighted by the number of cars produced during a given year) has continuously increased from 1998 to 2012, except during the 2008-2010 crisis.

The evolution of weight of cars is the consequence of:
§ The mix of segments ( proportion of A, B,C, D, E and SUV segments).
During the 2008-2010 crisis, less high range vehicles were sold while a
stabilisation of B-vehicles occurred. After the crisis, B-segment decreased significantly.
§ The weight of cars in each segment. The average weight per segment has continuously increased from 1998 to 2012, except for SUV. The decrease of weight of SUV is the consequence on the market of smaller SUV.
The weight per square meter (square meters = length * width) of vehicles has continuously increased from 1998 to 2005 from 164 kg/M2 to 176 kg/M2, and then stabilised around 177 kg/M2 in the period 2006-2013.

- For more information, please refer to the complete Excel file including all European cars, with their dimensions, their weights and their quantities (included in Premium 2 level or which can be acquired by clicking here).

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2013 Worldwide production of the first 12 manufacturers
 
Inovev has listed the top 12 automotive groups based on their production volume (PC + LCV) worldwide in the first 10 months of 2013.

This ranking takes into account the Chinese production achieved for foreign manufacturers and not Chinese assemblers. For example, the production achieved by Shanghai-VW for Volkswagen has been accounted for Volkswagen and not for SAIC or that produced by Dongfeng-PSA for PSA is accounted for PSA and not for Dongfeng. The classification thus formed shows the dominance of the Toyota group ahead of the GM group, Volkswagen, Renault-Nissan and Hyundai-Kia, in the first five places.

One can note the presence of ten generalist manufacturers in the top ten and two premium manufacturers in 11th and 12th place (almost shoulder to shoulder).

By nationality, we note the presence of three Japanese automakers (Toyota, Honda, Suzuki), three German manufacturers (Volkswagen, BMW, Daimler), two American carmakers (GM, Ford), two French carmakers (Renault-Nissan PSA), a Korean carmaker (Hyundai-Kia) and an Italian carmaker (Fiat-Chrysler).

These twelve manufacturers account for 80% of the global car production in 2013.

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The U.S. market finished the year 2013 at 15 600 000 vehicles
 

The U.S. market ended the year 2013 with a volume of 15.6 million vehicles sold (PC + LCV), close to Inovev estimates (Estimated volume of early 2013 between 15.5 and 16 million units).


Despite a weak month of December 2013, all of 2013 showed strong growth (+7.5%), thanks to the first eight months of the year that were all positive and some months approached or exceeded an increase of 15% compared to the same month of the previous year.


Only September was negative, certainly because of the blocking of the country following the political conflict between Democrats and Republicans on the 2013 budget. The months of October and November have probably offset this gap.


The U.S. market in 2013 recorded its highest score since 2008, but the years between 1999 and 2007 were even better (more than 16 million units each year). However, it is likely that the U.S. market will regain these levels in 2014.


Compared to China, the U.S. market in 2013 remains far lower (China 2013 forecasts: more than 20 million PC + LCV). Compared to the European Union, the U.S. market in 2013 is considerably higher (EU forecast: less than 14 million PC + LCV).


The breakdown of registrations in the U.S. in 2013 was almost equal between PC and LCV (respectively 49.7% and 50.3%). In 2002-2007 LCVs largely outran PC while the trend became reversed between 2008 and 2012.


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