Plug-in vehicles (BEV + PHEV) sales: Top 15 by group
Inovev has compiled the figures of the top 15 leading groups in the category of plug-in vehicles (BEV+PHEV) which is becoming increasingly important on the global market. Inovev took the year 2015 as the basis for the calculations. What do we see?

Tesla has managed to outrun its rival groups, after the launch of the Model 3, with nearly 500,000 electric cars sold worldwide in 2020, but the Volkswagen group has achieved a spectacular breakthrough in two years, thanks to its ID3 models and ID4. Battery electric and plug-in hybrid engines are becoming widespread among all brands of the German group and across all ranges, so that 420,000 of these vehicles were sold in 2020 by the Volkswagen group. In third position but detached (230,000 sales), the Renault-Nissan group has not consolidated its leadership position in this category that it had before 2017. In fourth position, the GM group (215,000 sales) mainly benefits the success of its small electric WulingHongGuang which is sold in China. BYD is in an even more uncomfortable situation than Renault-Nissan, as this carmaker was in the top-two, and now fell to eighth place in 2020 due to competition. BMW, Hyundai-Kia and Daimler are now ahead of BYD.

Over the first 4 months of 2021, few changes, but we note a strong dropout from Renault-Nissan which falls to ninth place, even being overtaken by the Stellantis group which is increasing the launches of BEV and PHEV.


    
 

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Fiat Tipo replacement will be based on the EMP2 platform
While the Fiat Panda will be replaced in the coming months by a sedan which will remind the design of the Centoventi concept (2019) and which will move from segment A to segment B, therefore succeeding both to the Panda and the Punto, the Fiat Tipo will be replaced by a C-segment sedan but this time based on the EMP2 platform. Indeed, the replacement of Panda and Punto was studied before the merger between PSA and FCA, while the replacement of Tipo had only been at the beginning of the project.

After the merger in January 2021 and the creation of the Stellantis group, we saw the appearance of the new generation of the Peugeot 308 and the new generation of the Opel Astra based on the EMP2 platform, which will appear next fall. There is therefore no longer any doubt that Fiat will replace its Tipo with a model similar to these two sedans Peugeot 308 and Opel Astra, probably in 2023.

The future Fiat Tipo will be the brand's first car to adopt ex-PSA platform and engines, but certainly not the last. Indeed, new Fiat on the CMP platform (segment A and B) could be developed and launched before 2025.

The Fiat range is being completely rebuilt, this having been one of the motivations for the merger of PSA and FCA , because FCA suffered from having an old and restricted range. The plans for new generations of Alfa-Romeo Giulietta and Lancia Delta are still pending, but nothing would prevent the Stellantis group from launching (at a lower cost) these sedans on the EMP2 platform in a more or less near future.


    
 

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Worldwide registrations of light vehicles over the first five months of 2021
Global light vehicle (PC + LUV) registrations for the first five months of 2021 point to an increase of 33.3% compared to the first five months of 2020 but a decrease of 5.1% compared to the first five months of 2019. The comparison with 2019 is more significant because the year 2020 was strongly disrupted by the Covid-19 crisis, which resulted in the closure of automobile factories and dealerships.

This 5.1% drop from 2019 could mean that at the end of 2021 we could reach the level of vehicle registrations of 2019. It will however not offset the missed sales in 2020 and the postponement of purchases which were numerous last year. It should be noted that sales of passenger cars (PC) fell by 8% over the first five months of 2021, while sales of light utility vehicles  increased by 7.3%, reflecting a clear difference in the demand for these two types of vehicles. It seems that companies that buy light utility vehicles had needs or opportunities to renew vehicles while individuals (or companies) preferred to postpone their projects or extend their leasing contracts.

Among the major markets, those which managed to do better in 2021 than in 2019 are China (+ 5.9%), Australia (+ 4.6%), Russia (+ 3.6%), the United States (+ 2.6%) and South Korea (+ 2.5%).

On the other hand, Japan (-8.9%), South Africa (-10.0%), Canada (-13.3%), India (-14.5%), Brazil ( -17.8%), Mexico (-19.5%) and especially Europe (-22.5%) are still very far from the figures recorded in 2019.


    
 

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Inovev forecasts 650,000 units per year of the new Honda Civic
Honda decided to replace in 2021 its C-segment sedan, the Civic, after only five years of marketing, as it had been launched in September 2016. The Japanese carmaker is used to a fast replacement of its models, in particular the Civic which is in its eleventh generation since 1972, which makes a renewal every four and a half years.

This model traditionally has an international vocation as it is marketed as well in Japan as in China, in Europe or in the United States, and it will be for the first time only available in full hybrid version (HEV), like the Jazz, CRV and HRV.

Like all the other carmakers, Honda intends to electrify its entire range of vehicles, but this electrification goes for the Japanese carmaker through the “mild hybrid” and the “full hybrid” but not yet by the “Plug-In hybrid” (PHEV) and very little by the battery electric as only one Honda model is now available with this technology (Honda E).

The new Honda Civic will be marketed worldwide from September 2021, and it will be the first to no longer be produced in Europe since the Swindon plant that produced it for European demand closed in July 2021. The Honda Civic sold in Europe will therefore be imported from a non-European plant. Inovev forecasts a production volume of 650,000 units per year of the new Honda Civic (compared to 620,000 in 2020) which will continue to be produced in China, Canada, the USA and Brazil.


    
 

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Global automobile production of light vehicles over the first five months of 2021 (1/2)
The volume of global production of light vehicles (PCs + LUVs) over the first five months of 2021 shows an increase of 35.5% compared to the first five months of 2020 but a decrease of 12% compared to the first five months of 2019. The comparison with 2019 is more significant because the year 2020 was strongly disrupted by the Covid-19 crisis which resulted in the closure of automobile factories and dealerships.

This drop of 12% compared to 2019 is greater than that for registrations (-5.1%), proving that stocks continue to decrease in 2021, like in 2020. To avoid excessively long delivery times, some carmakers drive part of their customers to recent used vehicles.

It should be noted that the production of passenger cars (PCs) fell by 14.9% over the first five months of 2021 while the production of light utility vehicles (LUVs) increased by 0.7%, reflecting a clear difference in the demand for these two types of vehicles. LUVs represent 21.7% of global production in 2021, compared to 20.8% in 2020 and 19% in 2019, with SUVs and minivans being integrated into passenger cars.

China's share of global automotive production continues to increase, rising from 31% over 4 months 2021 to 33% over 5 months 2021. This growth comes at the expense of Europe and Japan.


    
 

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