The decline of diesel offset by a rise in gasoline in Europe
- 说明
The decline of diesel offset by a rise in gasoline in Europe
- The market share of diesel in the European Union fell from 50.2% of new car registrations in the first half of 2016 to 46.3% in the first half of 2017, resulting in more than 150,000 diesel cars less.
- This decline was largely offset by an increase in sales of gasoline cars, the market share of hybrid and electric cars remaining very low, around 4% of the market (2.4% of hybrids non-rechargeable, 0.8% rechargeable hybrids and 0.8% 100% electric). Propane and natural gas vehicles account for less than 1.5% of the market share.
- Gasoline cars now account for 48.5% of passenger car registrations in the EU compared to 45.8% last year, which translates into over 300,000 additional gasoline cars.
- Manufacturers warn that the transfer to gasoline engines, with higher CO2 emissions, will pose an additional challenge to achieve future CO2 reduction targets.
- According to them, a sudden change from diesel to gasoline will lead to an increase in CO2 emissions, since the market share of electric engines remains low. They therefore recommend to keep a significant share of diesel cars in new vehicle registrations while waiting for the massive increase of alternative energy cars.
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Renault brand will sell hybrid vehicles
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Renault brand will sell hybrid vehicles
- Among the alternative energy engines, the Renault-Nissan group has so far favored the electric motor, becoming, in a short time, the world's largest manufacturer of electric cars, thanks mainly to the Renault Zoe, Renault Kangoo ZE, Nissan Leaf and Nissan e-NV200.
- With the acquisition of Mitsubishi in 2017, the Renault-Nissan group now has a plug-in hybrid vehicle in its range (Mitsubishi Outlander), of which nearly 11,000 have been sold worldwide in the first half of 2017. This type of engine will now be applied on Renault and Nissan models.
- Hybridization seems, according to Carlos Ghosn, a response adapted to the programmed reduction of diesel which will become more expensive due to the cost of future anti-pollution standards, and which is already undergoing a clear decline in Europe, its principal market (46.3% of the market in the first half of 2017 compared with 50.2% in the first half of 2016), mainly due to the Dieselgate scandal, and the increasingly strict measures, in force or announced, concerning diesel vehicles in cities.
- Thus in 2022, Renault will have more than one diesel engine (1600) instead of three today (1500, 1600, 2000). The thermal engines will represent 50% of the range, while the hybrid engines (12 new models) will represent 30% and the all-electric engines (8 new models) 20%.
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China is establishing a quota of electrified vehicles for OEMs producing in the country
- 说明
China is establishing a quota of electrified vehicles for OEMs producing in the country
- China has confirmed that car manufacturers will have a mandatory quota for production and sales of alternative energy vehicles (mainly hybrid and electric) starting in 2019, one year later than originally planned. This quota project was unveiled by the Chinese government in June 2017, and was to be implemented from 2018.
- Although postponed by one year, the principle of these quotas remains unchanged. Each alternative-energy vehicle produced and sold in China will represent a number of credits (higher for electric models than for hybrid models) and each manufacturer will have to accumulate 10% of credits on total sales in 2019, then 12% in 2020 and so on.
- OEMs who do not meet these quotas will have to buy excess credits from other manufacturers or pay fines. Clearly, this policy requires manufacturers in China to produce more and more hybrid and electric vehicles (nearly 10% of their sales in 2019, 12% in 2020, 20% in 2025 and 30% in 2030).
- High-volume manufacturers, such as Volkswagen and GM, will be particularly vulnerable to these new quotas,, as they will have to produce nearly 400,000 hybrid or electric vehicles by 2020 and three times more by 2030.
- Initially, the carmakers should have had an 8% quota on their sales in 2018, but the car industry has managed to postpone the quota application date by one year.
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The US market remains negative over the first nine months of 2017
- 说明
The US market remains negative over the first nine months of 2017
- The US automotive market recovered well in September 2017 (+ 6.3%) but it remains slightly negative on the cumulative first nine months of 2017 (-1.7%).
- Deliveries were made mainly in the light trucks category (pick-up trucks, SUVs, minivans). They increased by 14.7% in September (whereas they had increased by only 3.7% over the fist 8-month period of 2017).
- Deliveries in the passenger car category continued to decline in September (-6.4%), but improved compared to the first 8-month period of 2017 (-12.0%).
- Over the first nine months of 2017, light trucks accounted for 64% of sales in the US market, compared with 60% for the same period in 2016. At the same time, passenger car sales fell from 40% to 36% of sales.
- It is difficult to say today whether the US market will be up or down over the whole year, as the last three months will be decisive. Indeed, they could either follow the September trend or return to the pace observed in the first eight months.
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Hyundai-Kia Product Plan
- 说明
Hyundai-Kia Product Plan
- The Hyundai-Kia Group has announced its Plan for the period 2018-2021.
- In addition to the restyling of existing models and the new Genesis innovations (which is the subject of a specific analysis by Inovev), the group is announcing nine new models over the period, including four under the Hyundai brand and five the Kia brand. Most of these are replacements of existing models.
- Most of these new models-five- will be SUVs , while there are only two new sedans, a new coupe and a new minivan.
- At Hyundai, the focus will be on renewing the Tucson SUVs (2021) and Santa Fe (2018). The latter should be more distinct from the Tucson. The Sonata sedan and the Veloster coupe will be renewed in 2019 and 2018.
- At Kia, the Sportage will not be renewed until 2022, but the emphasis will be on renewing the Soul (2018) and Sorento (2020). The Telluride, which is expected to feature the brand's SUV range, will be launched in 2019. It is expected to take over the line of the concept of the same name presented at the Detroit Motor Show in January 2016. The Sedona MPV (Carnival in some markets) will be renewed in 2021. The Kia Forte (Cerato, K3, Cee'd in some markets) will be the only sedan of the brand to be renewed during this period (2019). The current generation is from 2012.
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