Number of Chinese OEMs should move gradually from 46 to 23
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Number of Chinese OEMs should move gradually from 46 to 23
- By 2016, China had 46 domestic manufacturers producing VP, VUL, trucks and buses. According to the president of Changan (the first independent Chinese manufacturer, with 1.38 million vehicles produced in 2016), only half of Chinese manufacturers will survive by 2022, due to increased competition in China and abroad, and to shifting consumer demand (connectivity, electronics, electric power, autonomous driving, etc.).
- These challenges will, according to Changan's president, represent increasing financial and technological difficulties, which many Chinese manufacturers will not be able to overcome, even with the help of the Chinese government, and even with the prospect of a continually growing Chinese market.
- According to him, only 23 Chinese manufacturers will remain in 2022. It is clear that major manufacturers such as Changan, Beijing (BAIC), Dongfeng (DFM), Geely, Great Wall, FAW, Chery, Anhui (JAC) SAIC, GAC, BYD and Brilliance will continue to exist and increase their market share without necessarily merging between themselves (this makes 12 manufacturers). The most threatened will be the smallest manufacturers, and those who already struggle to survive today in a tight competitive environment. Some of them will have to associate or merge, but it seems very unlikely today that any will come under the control of foreign manufacturers, as the Chinese government will not hesitate to block any such agreements.
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European exports to the USA and China reached a plateau in 2016
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European exports to the USA and China reached a plateau in 2016
European exports of vehicles to the United States and China reached a plateau in 2016. Indeed:
1/ in the USA, the volume of European exports of vehicles, which had fallen to 650 000 units at the height of the economic and financial crisis of 2009, had increased steadily since then, reaching 1 000 000 units in 2014 and nearly 1,100,000 units in 2015, following the evolution of the US market as a whole. The year 2016 marks a stagnation of these exports, in line with a sluggish US market. According to Inovev, exports are forecast to decline in 2017, for the first time since 2009, due to the US market decline (-3% in the first 7 months of the year) and the transfer of production of the Audi Q5 and VW Tiguan from Germany to Mexico.
2/ In China, the volume of European exports of vehicles increased significantly between 2005 and 2015, from less than 100 000 units to 600 000 units, but the year 2016 marked a halt in this increase, due to the less dynamic Chinese market in which independent Chinese manufacturers are increasing their market share, and the gradually shifting production of German models from Germany to China (Audi, BMW, Mercedes). According to Inovev, these exports are expected to decline in 2017 for the first time since 2005, due to a Chinese market expected to continue to slow and a market share of independent manufacturers expected to continue to rise.
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Inovev predicts production of 50 000 Mercedes X Class per year
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Inovev predicts production of 50 000 Mercedes X Class per year
- Mercedes unveils its first medium-sized pickup, the X-Class derived from the Nissan Navara and Renault Alaskan, which is a result of cooperation between the Daimler and Renault-Nissan groups. It will be manufactured on the same production sites as these two models, namely the Nissan site in Barcelona (Spain) for the vehicles sold in Europe and the Renault site in Cordoba (Argentina) for those sold in South America.
- The Mercedes X-Class will not be marketed in North America, where medium-sized pickups have a small market share compared to large pickups like the Ford F-Series, Chevrolet Silverado or Dodge Ram.
- Other markets could be explored later by Mercedes, such as Africa (mainly South Africa), where Peugeot has just gained a foothold in the pick-up market, Australia or New Zealand.
- At launch, the Class X will feature two Nissan diesel engines: a 2.3 turbo developing 163hp and a 2.3 bi-turbo developing 190hp. In 2018, the range will be enriched by an original Mercedes V6 diesel 3.0 developing 258ch. This model will compete with the Volkswagen Amarok pickup now equipped with a V6 diesel engine developing 204hp and 225hp.
- Inovev expects a production volume of 20,000 X Class per year in Spain, 20,000 in Argentina and 10,000 in South Africa, for a total of 50,000 units in a global market of 2 million medium-sized pick-ups per year.
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Renault creates a second JV in China with Brilliance
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Renault creates a second JV in China with Brilliance
- Already partnering with China's Dongfeng for the manufacture of passenger cars in Wuhan, China, Renault will create another joint venture (JV) with another Chinese manufacturer, Brilliance. It will manufacture and market light commercial vehicles primarily in China.
- Brilliance manufactures and markets passenger cars in partnership with German BMW, but it also has a subsidiary that manufactures small commercial vehicles (Shenyang Brilliance Jinbei Automobile) that is totally foreign to the agreement between Brilliance and BMW. Renault will have a 49% interest in the new JV, while Brilliance will retain 51%. According to the press release issued today, Renault aims to become a major player in the LCV market in China, a market estimated at 3 million units per year In 2016.
- Shenyang Brilliance Jinbei Automobile sold 62,673 vehicles in China and 43,178 units in the first half of 2017, representing 2% of the Chinese LCV market. The road will be long for Renault, with the help of Brilliance, to become a major player in the LCV market in China, but the agreement signed this month marks the beginning of a new opportunity for Renault to progress on the Chinese market, on which Renault arrived later than all other major western manufacturers. The objective of Renault is to sell 800,000 vehicles in China in 2020, in partnership with both Dongfeng and Brilliance.
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Inovev predicts production of 40 000 new Audi A8 per year
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Inovev predicts production of 40 000 new Audi A8 per year
- Audi unveiled the new generation of the A8 limousine, which remains one of the best-selling cars in the F-segment, behind the Mercedes S-Class and BMW 7-Series.
- The new A8 is renewed one year after the Audi A4 and A5 and a year before the new Audi A6 and A7 which are due to be unveiled in 2018, like the new Audi A1. The Audi A3 will be renewed in 2019.
- The new A8 is, as previously, available in a long wheelbase version and is still manufactured at the Neckarsulm site (Germany), alongside the Audi A6 and A7. It is still not manufactured in China ( and probably never will be ).
- Its engines are still 6 cylinders (V6 3.0 gasoline TFSI of 340ch and 3.0 diesel of 285ch), 8 cylinders (V8 4.0 gasoline TFSI of 460ch and 4.0 diesel of 430ch) and 12 cylinders (W12 6.0 gasoline TFSI of 540ch). A hybrid Plug-In version called Audi e-tron is expected to complete the range in 2018. It will have a V6 3.0 gasoline TFSI engine, with an autonomy of 50 km in electric mode, with induction recharge, so with no need of any connection.
- The new A8 replaces a model dating from 2010, which sold 214,000 vehicles in seven years (an average of 30,000 units per year). Inovev predicts production of 40,000 units a year for the new Audi A8.
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