Renault Sets Up Operations in Pakistan
The Pakistani market is experiencing the evolution of emerging markets in general, that is to say, in zigzags (a succession of positive and negative years). However, if one observes its evolution over a decade, we can see that the Pakistani market has gone from a level of about 150,000 units to a level around 200,000 units. Thus, in 2016, this market recorded 211,000 sales (vs.  229,000 in 2015).

The Pakistani market is supplied almost exclusively by local production (215,000 units in 2016, compared to 230,000 in 2015). Three Japanese manufacturers account for 98% of production and sales: Suzuki, Toyota and Honda. The models produced are mainly segment A and B, as in India.

Renault announced this month that it was going to set up operations in Pakistan, judging that  this country, with its  large population (200 million inhabitants) and a very low car ownership rate (around 16 units per 1,000 inhabitants) has very strong potential (Renault  expects 10% per year market  growth ).

The vehicle assembly will take place in a brand new factory located in Karachi, through an association with Dubai-based Al-Futtaim. Sales of cars under the Renault brand will begin in 2019. Given Pakistan’s current market, the models produced could well be the (A segment) Kwid  which is successful in India.


17-27-2   
 

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The end of B-segment and C-segment minivans ?
The development of B-segment SUVs has gradually put an end to the production of segment B minivans in Europe: the Renault Captur has ousted the Renault Modus in 2013, the Fiat 500X has ousted the Fiat Idea and Lancia Musa in 2014, the Opel Crossland has ousted the Opel Meriva in 2017, the Citroën C3 Aircross has ousted the Citroën C3 Picasso in 2017, and the Ford Ecosport has ousted the Ford B-Max in 2017. In 2018, the Hyundai iX20 and Kia Venga will most certainly be ousted by the recent Hyundai Kona and Kia Stonic B-segment SUVs.

In Europe, the production of segment B minivans went from 600 000 units in 2005 to 200 000 in 2017 (-67% in 12 years), while that of segment B SUVs increased from 0 to 1,400,000 units over the same period.

By 2020, segment B MPVs will probably have completely disappeared. The question now is whether the same thing will happen for C-segment minivans.

These vehicles are also declining sharply, as their production in Europe fell from 1,500,000 units in 2005 to 750,000 units in 2017 (-50% in 12 years), while that of segment C SUVs has risen from 0 to 2,300,000 units. The decline in C-segment MPVs seems inevitable but, according to Inovev, not over the next three years. If it does take place, it should happen around 2025-2030.


17-27-1   
 

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Nissan Product Plan for the North American Market
Excluding the restyling of existing models, the Nissan group (Nissan, Infiniti) has announced that it will launch 13 new models in the North American market between 2018 and 2021, including five SUVs and five sedans.

This Product Plan does not include the renewed Rogue SUV in 2014 or the Rogue Sport (Qashqai) launched in 2017 that will not be renewed until 2022, or the recently renewed Kicks, Micra, Maxima, Titan, or Leaf.

- The Product Plan includes 8 new Nissan models and 5 new Infiniti models. It covers a volume of 1.35 million vehicles produced per year in the NAFTA zone (United States, Canada, Mexico) or 1.75 million including the Rogue and Rogue Sport.

- Note that Nissan does not manufacture vehicles in Canada.

This volume of 1.75 million is to be put into perspective with the 1.85 million Nissan vehicles produced in 2016 , and the 1.8 million produced in 2017. The difference comes from the non-replacement of the Nissan Tsuru manufactured in Mexico.

- In terms of sales, Nissan sold 2.1 million vehicles in 2016 on the NAFTA zone and 2.05 million in 2017, which means that the automaker does not import vehicles from Japan, but instead exports vehicles  to outside the NAFTA zone (between 100,000 and 250,000 vehicles per year). As a result, Nissan will have a hard time producing more in the US , as wished by  US President Donald Trump.


17-26-10   
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Toyota Product Plan for the North American Market
Excluding the restyling of existing models, the Toyota Group (Toyota, Lexus) has announced that it will launch 14 new models in the North American market between 2018 and 2021, including five SUVs and five sedans.

This Product Plan does not include the Camry sedan renewed in 2017, which remains one of the best-selling sedans in this market, as well as one of the most produced (400,000 units per year).

The Product Plan includes 8 new Toyota models and 6 new Lexus models. It covers a volume of 1.6 million vehicles produced per year in the NAFTA zone (United States, Canada, Mexico) or 2.2 million including the Camry renewed in 2017 and the Tacoma pickup renewed in 2015 (which will not be renewed until 2022). This volume of 2.2 million is to be put in perspective with the 2.1 million Toyota vehicles produced in 2016 in this zone and the 2.06 million produced in 2017.

- In terms of sales, Toyota sold 2.77 million vehicles in 2016 on the NAFTA zone and 2.66 million in 2017, which means that the automaker imports from Japan some 600,000 vehicles a year, but imported 800,000 vehicles. in 2009, 1 million in 2008 and even 1.3 million in 2007, which means that Toyota has sharply reduced the gap between sales and production in the NAFTA zone in recent years. The wish of President Donald Trump to see Japanese builders produce more in the United States is therefore already partly fulfilled.


17-26-9   
17-26-9b   

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Alfa-Romeo will launch a second SUV in 2018 and a third in 2019
The Alfa-Romeo brand (a subsidiary of the Fiat-Chrysler Group), which now has only one SUV in its range (the D-segment Stelvio), has announced that it will launch two new SUVs, one C segment (based on the Jeep Compass platform) in 2018 and the other E-segment (based on the Maserati Ghibli platform) in 2019. The Alfa-Romeo C-segment SUV will therefore be a variant of the Jeep Compass, while that in E segment will be a variant of the Maserati Levante.

- All manufacturers are aggressively developing SUVs in several segments, with this type of vehicle accounting for almost one in three European sales. Jaguar, Maserati, Bentley, and Alfa-Romeo were the last to enter this market.

Alfa-Roméo started very late in this market, since the Stelvio began its career less than a year ago. 11,582 units were sold in the first nine months of 2017 (of which 10,501 in Europe, 633 in the United States and 285 in China). The Alfa-Romeo Stelvio is 4.68m long, 1.86m wide and 1.65m high. It is therefore likely that the future segment C SUV will measure about 4.50m and the segment E about 4.90m.

These two new models will probably be produced on Italian soil, which should allow local production to increase volume significantly. Indeed, according to Inovev, the three SUVs of Alfa-Romeo should sell a total of 100,000 annual units, out of a total of one million vehicles made in Italy.


17-26-6   

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