Inovev publishes around 300 market auto analyses per year. 
Two analyses are provided free of charge twice a month.
Here below you can view the titles, extracts and thumbnails relating to the 2 current analyses.
Upon registration, you can download the two full analyses  
(i.e. around 50 free analyses per year as they are renewed twice a month).

 
 
 
 
  • 24 6月 2024
    24-14-10
    The Strategic Automotive Industry Contract (CSF in French) for 2024-2027 was signed on May 6, 2024, in particular by the government and the PFA (organization representing carmakers and their supply chain). This contract sets a sales target of 900,000 battery electric light vehicles in 2027: 800,000 passenger cars (PC) and 100,000 light utility vehicles (LUV). See axis 4 (page 20) of the strategic contract for the automotive sector signed on May 6, 2024, downloadable at the address below (in French only): https://www.conseil-national-industrie.gouv.fr/files_cni /files/csf/Automobile/1835-strategic-contract-of-the-automobile-sector-light-vehicles-and-heavy-vehicles-2024-2027.pdf
     
    This sales objective is very ambitious. In 2023, 298,127 battery electric passenger cars were sold in France (16.8% of the French PC market at a level of 1,774,772 PCs) and 25,315 battery electric light utility vehicles (5.6% of the French market at a level of 378,040 LUVs). Inovev's forecasts for the French market for 2027 are 2,244,000 PC+LUV. Taking this market level into account, the government's objectives of BEVs for 2027 result in a market share of 40% of the PC+LUV marketBattery electric passenger cars sales would be multiplied by 2.7 in 4 years (annual growth rate: 30%) and battery electric light utility vehicles sales multiplied by 4 in 4 years (annual growth rate of 40%).
     
    The signed strategic contract does not indicate how to achieve this objective. But we can assume that the arrival on the market of battery electric models at moderate prices is one of the factors which could accelerate the growth of BEV sales, these future launches being made by European carmakers, but also Japanese, Korean and especially Chinese, the latter being renowned for offering electric models at low prices. This objective will be all the more achievable if subsidies for BEVs continue at least until 2027, because we have seen the impact of stopping subsidies in Germany.
     
    Note that the Inovev reference scenario shows a level of 900,000 sales only in 2030, and not in 2027 (see curve below)
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  • 12 6月 2024
    24-13-4
    Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) imported from China (Chinese brands and European brands) represented around 25% of the BEV market in France during the first half of 2023 and around 30% during the second half of 2023 until October. Then the announcement of additional criteria to benefit from the ecological bonus for Battery Electric Vehicles produced outside Europe created an opportunistic effect in November and December 2023. Indeed, the French market share of BEVs imported from China suddenly increased to 37% in November and 36% in December. After this period, we should therefore expect a compensatory effect at the time of application of the new criteria of the ecological bonus during the last weeks of December, i.e. a significant drop in sales of BEVs imported from China in 2024, or at least during the first half of 2024.
     
    This is exactly what happened. The French market share of BEVs imported from China thus fell to 28% in January 2024, then 17% in February 2024, 11% in March 2024 and 7% in April 2024. The new ecological bonus has therefore had a real impact on sales of BEVs imported from China in 2024 in France. But we see that it is the Dacia Spring, a French car, which has suffered the most from this new ecological bonus, undoubtedly because the 5,000 euros of bonus removed represents 25% of its price (20,000 euros), i.e. much more than for an MG or a Tesla.
     
    In terms of volume, BEVs imported from China which were around 6,000-7,000 units per month in August-September-October 2023 increased to 11,000-13,000 units per month in November-December 2023 before collapsing to 5,500 units in January 2024, 4,300 in February 2024, 3,800 in March 2024 and 1,660 in April 2024. At the same time, sales of BEVs produced in European countries increased, as Chinese BEVs customers shifted to other BEVs available on the market, in an overall French market remaining stable.
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