PC+LCV production in Europe by engine
European production reached 12.45 million PC+LCVs in 2021 compared to 12.97 million units in 2020, representing a 4% decrease year-on-year. Germany suffered particularly (-10%) but remains the leading producer country in Europe ahead of Spain and France. Poland (-10%), Slovenia (-16%) and Great Britain (-6%) also suffered, suffering from the shutdown of the Honda factory (Swindon) and Brexit, which increased prices. of its vehicles. By engine, internal combustion vehicles represented 10.60 million units produced in Europe in 2021 (85% of the total). BEVs accounted for 802,926 units (6.5%), PHEVs 766,849 units (6%) and HEVs 288,785 units (2.5%). These vehicles saw their production increase by 67% compared to 2020, while thermal vehicles saw their production fall by 10%. Inovev projects a steady increase in production of BEV+PHEV vehicles until at least 2030, with the volume expected to be 5 million units by then (Inovev's baseline scenario). The BEV+PHEV market should also represent 5 million units in Europe. It should be noted that in the reference scenario of Inovev, it is estimated that the number of exports of this type of vehicles to the outside should be comparable to that of imported vehicles of this type.

In 2021, European exports of BEV+PHEV represented around 100,000 units (including 65,000 in the USA, 25,000 in Korea, 10,000 in Japan) while Europe imported around 400,000 units (including 200,000 from USA, 100,000 from China, 100,000 from Korea) but imports are expected to decline sharply with the start-up of the Tesla factory in Berlin, which will replace the American factory.

Germany will remain the leading European producer of BEV +PHEV over the next few years. In Inovev's reference scenario, France will not produce 2 million electrified vehicles in 2030 (government target), but rather half.


 
    
 

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Inovev plans 50,000 units per year of the new Alfa-Romeo Tonale SUV
Alfa-Roméo, the Italian sports subsidiary of the Stellantis group, presented its new mid-range SUV (C segment) which is in the manufacturer's range below the Stelvio (D segment) which is based on the Alga Julia. In reality, the Tonale takes over from the Alfa Giulietta sedan which was in the C segment and which ceased production at the end of last year. With sedan sales declining and SUV sales rising, it's no surprise to see a manufacturer replacing a sedan with an SUV.

The Alfa-Roméo Tonale is a front-wheel drive that competes with premium C-segment SUVs like the Mercedes GLA, BMW X2, Audi Q3 Sportback, Volvo XC40 and Lexus UX.

The Tonale, which is 4.52 m long, shares its platform with the Jeep Compass, and does not adopt the new Stellantis platforms which will be inaugurated next year on the future Peugeot 3008 and 5008, because the model was already in the process of being finalization at the time when PSA and FCA were independent and competing groups. Compared to the Stelvio, the Tonale is 17 centimeters shorter but it is 12 centimeters longer than the Jeep Compass.

The Tonale will be equipped with a 1.5-liter petrol engine with 130 hp or 160 hp combined with a 48 V electrical system (HEV-Mild), a 1.6-liter diesel engine with 130 hp and a plug-in hybrid 275 hp based on the 1.3 liter and which provides four-wheel drive. The Tonale will be manufactured at the Italian site in Pomigliano at the rate of 50,000 units per year according to Inovev. This factory is the historic site of Alfa-Romeos in the C segment from the Alfasud (1971-1984) to the 147 (2000-2010).


    
 

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The global automotive market (sales) increased by 3.5% in 2021 (2/2)
The global automotive market (VP+LCV), which increased by 3.5% in 2021, remains down 9.5% compared to 2019. The six leading markets are China (33% of the global market), the United States States (19% of the world market), Europe 29 countries (17% of the world market), Japan (6% of the world market), India (5% of the world market) and Brazil (3% of the world market worldwide). These six markets represent 83% of the global market in 2021.

China is one of the few countries to have progressed in 2021, the gap between China and its pursuers the United States and Europe has therefore increased last year. These last two markets could not exceed 15 million vehicle sales while China exceeded 25 million sales. The third level of market volume is represented by Japan, India and Brazil, a volume close to 5 million vehicles each. The gap between these three countries has narrowed considerably over the past ten years.

The next three countries are Korea, Russia and Canada which each represent 2% of the world market.

The first sales figures by manufacturer reveal that the Toyota group remained the world's leading manufacturer in 2021 (10.5 million vehicles sold) ahead of the Volkswagen group (8.9 million units), the Renault-Nissan group (7.7 million units), the Stellantis group (6.3 million units), the Hyundai-Kia group (6.2 million units), the GM group (6.0 million units), the Honda group (4.4 million units) and Ford group (3.7 million units). Compared to 2020, the GM group lost one place and the Stellantis group resulting from the merger of PSA and FCA took fourth place.


    
 

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The global automotive market (sales) increased by 3.5% in 2021 (1/2)
According to Inovev's calculations, the global vehicle market (PC+LCV) increased by 3.5% in 2021, which is lower than the forecasts put forward by Inovev in 2020 (6.5% 2021/2020 see Auto -Analysis 2020-28). According to manufacturers, the semiconductor crisis is responsible for this situation (after a year 2020 marked by the coronavirus crisis), but it is possible that the sharp increase in the average price of cars will slow down purchases and encourage potential customers to keep their vehicle longer. The second half of 2021 was significantly worse than the first half of 2021 (see curve below). Compared to 2019, the global automotive market (PC+LCV) is down 9.5%.

By country, China has held up better than any other country. The Chinese market (PC+LCV) increased by 3.8% in 2021 compared to 2020 and by 2.0% compared to 2019. The Indian automotive market (PC+LCV) increased by 28% in 2021 compared to to 2020 but fell by 1.5% compared to 2019. The US market (PC+LCV) increased by 3.7% in 2021 compared to 2020 but fell by 11.6% compared to 2019. The Russian market (PC+LCV) increased by 4.3% in 2021 compared to 2020 and fell by 5.3% compared to 2019. The Japanese car market (PC+LCV) fell by 3.3% in 2021 compared to 2020 and by 14.4% compared to 2019. The Brazilian automotive market (PC+LCV) increased by 3.0% in 2021 compared to 2020 but fell by 24.0% compared to 2019. The Korean vehicle market (VP+LCV) fell by 8.8% in 2021 compared to 2020 and by 4.3% compared to 2019. Finally, the European market (29 countries) fell by 1.5% in 2021 compared to 2020 and 25.5% compared to 2019.

For 2022, Inovev expects a 5% increase in global sales.


    
 

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Global automotive production increased by 3.5% in 2021
According to Inovev's calculations, global vehicle production (PC+LCV) increased by 3.5% in 2021, which is less than expected in 2020. According to manufacturers, the semiconductor crisis would be responsible for this situation (after a year 2020 marked by the coronavirus crisis), but it is possible that the sharp increase in the average price of cars will slow down purchases and encourage potential customers to keep their vehicle longer. Compared to 2019, global production (PC+LCV) is down 13%. The second half of 2021 was significantly worse than the first half of 2021, as the gap between sales volumes then increased compared to 2019 and even compared to 2020, but the month of December returned to the level of previous years, which bodes well for a gradual improvement in the situation.

China, which is one of the few countries to see its production increase in 2021 (+3.3%), represents 33% of global automotive production, ahead of Europe 29 countries (17%), the United States (12%) and Japan (10%). These four markets represent 72% of global automotive production, with disparities in flows, since China imports and exports few vehicles, compared to the volume of its production, while Europe exports and imports a significant amount. of vehicles, that the United States imports far more than it exports (despite the performance of Tesla, which exported 92,000 vehicles last year) and that Japan exports far more than it imports (this country exports half of its production while Japanese manufacturers already have many factories transplanted abroad).

For 2022, Inovev expects a 5% increase in global production.


    
 

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