The European passenger and light utility vehicle market could fall by 3 to 4% in 2020
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The European passenger and light utility vehicle market could fall by 3 to 4% in 2020
- The European market (European Union + UK, Switzerland and Norway) of passenger cars and light utility vehicles (PC + LUV) experienced relative stability in 2019 compared to 2018 (+ 1.4%) at almost 18 million units. The PC market remained stable (+ 1% / 15.8 million units) while the LUV market experienced a growth (+ 3% / 2.19 million units).
- This stability of the European market in 2019 was not necessarily acquired at the end of the year, as in the first 3 quarters of the year, registrations of PC & LUV were down 2%. It was in fact the 4th quarter with a growth of almost 10%, which helped to contain the market decline. But this growth is just an epiphenomenon. The inclusion of the WLTP cycle in the calculation of the CO2 targets from March 2020 has indeed resulted in significant PC registrations at the end of 2019 (+ 21% in December 2019 compared to December 2018), except for UK, which experienced weak growth in December (+ 3%). Inovev estimates that anticipated PC registrations will be in the order of 500,000 units in 2019.
- It is precisely this anticipated volume that could be lacking in 2020, in an expected context of slowing consumption (source OECD). Added to this, the uncertain effects of UK confirmed departure from the European Union on one hand, and the trade tensions between the European Union and the United States which are expected to dawn on the other.
- For 2020, Inovev therefore forecasts a fall in the PC & LUV market of around 3% in a median scenario and by 4% in a low scenario. The PC market could drop by 5% while the LUV market would continue to grow by 2 to 3%.
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In Europe, the A segment might switch to Battery Electric Vehicles
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In Europe, the A segment might switch to Battery Electric Vehicles
- Toyota has announced that the next generation of the Aygo(A segment/sedan) scheduled for 2021 will shift from thermal to Battery Electric Vehicle (BEV).
- At the same time, Renault has announced that the future generation of the Twingo (A segment/sedan) planned for 2021 will also switch from thermal to BEV, using the Smart EQ Forfourplatform. which has been on the market since June 2017. We know that the Smart Forfour will be phased out in Europe in 2021, following the agreement between Daimler and Geely, which leaves the market open to Twingo. Since last September, the Smart range has only consisted of 100% electric versions. The thermal versions are no longer produced and their sales are only made using stocks. In addition, Renault plans to market the electric K-ZE in Europe under the Dacia brand from 2021.
- The PSA group plans to replace its Peugeot 108 and Citroën C1 A segment with small sedans or even small SUVs in BEV versions. Thus, a possible 1008 could succeed the 108.
- As for the Volkswagen group, we know that its small sedans of segment A (VW Up, Seat Mii, Skoda Citigo) are all recently switched to electric, and it will be the same for the new ID 1 (and rebranded versions of Seat and Skoda) planned for the beginning of the years 2020.
- The whole A segment thus switches to electric, which is logical since these models are mainly used in cities.
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Inovev forecasts 20,000 units a year for the new Audi E-Tron Sportback
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Inovev forecasts 20,000 units a year for the new Audi E-Tron Sportback
- It was recently reported in one of our Auto-Analyzes that the Audi E-Tron produced in Belgium in the plant of Forest (Brussels) started at a low production rate, as its sales will not exceed 20,000 units in 2019 while the carmaker’s target was set at 45,000 units per year.
- The launch of this first Audi BEV cannot predict the success of future VW group's BEVs (Battery Electric Vehicles). Indeed, the Audi E-Tron is a D segment SUV of a premium brand sold at a starting price of 85,000 euros, while the VW ID 3, which will be launched in 2020, is a C segment sedan from a mainstream brand, the first in Europe, with a price which will not exceed 40,000 euros. This model will therefore target at a wider market.
- Regarding the Audi E-Tron, the carmaker has announced a new coupe version (named Sportback) that will be added to the current E-Tron. Audi hopes to double the sales volume of E-Tron with two different bodies.
- The new E-Tron Sportback has the same technical characteristics as the standard E-Tron and will be produced in the same Belgian plant in Forest, at a rate of 20,000 to 25,000 units per year according to Inovev.
- Inovev believes that the E-Tron models will be able to get Audi closer to its initial goal of 45,000 units per year, as the two models are not targeted exactly the same customer base.
- As a reminder, the Audi E-Tron use the MLB platform and not yet the SEM platforms used on the Volkswagen ID.
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Read more... Inovev forecasts 20,000 units a year for the new Audi E-Tron Sportback
PSA stopped the production of Opel Mokka
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PSA stopped the production of Opel Mokka
- Following the agreement between PSA and GM that defined the date of Opel Mokka cessation of production by GM Korea, the assembly of this model stopped at the end of 2019.
- The model that will succeed this B segment compact SUV should be unveiled during the year 2020 with a production which should be located now on the French site of Poissy (at the planned rate of 150,000 units per year).
- This arrival of this model will allow the Poissy plant to operate at full capacity. Today this site has stopped the production of the DS3 and Peugeot 208, and only produce at low level the DS3 Crossback in its thermal and BEV versions. The new Peugeot 208 is indeed produced only in Slovakia and Morocco.
- The future Opel Mokka will no longer use the GM platform but will be based on the CMP platform, already used by the new Peugeot 208, Opel Corsa, the all-new Peugeot 2008 and the DS3 Crossback.
- The Mokka is therefore the fifth model removed from the Opel range this year, after the removal of Opel Adam, Opel Karl, Opel Cascada and Opel Zafira. All of these models were designed by GM and the two remaining Opel marketed and still designed by GM are the Opel Astra and Opel Insignia, whose replacement is expected in 2021 for the first and 2023 for the second.
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Aston-Martin unveiled its first SUV
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Aston-Martin unveiled its first SUV
- The British luxury firm Aston-Martin has unveiled its first SUV, named DBX. Until now, the firm of Gaydon only offered coupes and cabriolets, and a sedan, but never a SUV. It has therefore followed the strategy of its competitors such as Porsche, Maserati or Lamborghini, offering a luxury SUV, as this body sales continue to increase worldwide and represent 40% of the global market in 2019.
- Aston-Martin has built a plant, especially for this new model, with a production capacity of 10,000 vehicles a year in Saint Athan, Wales (United Kingdom). Aston-Martin plans to sell 10,000 units of the DBX each year, which will be added to the 4,000 coupes and cabriolets produced annually in Gaydon.
- The new Aston-Martin SUV (which is the first 5-seat model of the brand) will be marketed in Europe, North America and China, but all models will come out of the Saint Athan assembly lines.
- Its competitors are the Porsche Cayenne, Maserati Levante, Lamborghini Urus, and to some extent the Bentley Bentayga.
- 5.04 m length, 2.00 m wide and 1.68m high, the DBX is equipped with a gasoline twin turbo V8 4-liter engine of 550ch developed by Mercedes AMG. The weight of DBX is 2,245 kg.
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