Inovev forecast 20,000 units per year of the new Nissan Townstar
The carmaker Nissan (a subsidiary of the Renault-Nissan group) has unveiled the replacement for its NV250 light utility vehicle which was based on the previous generation of the Renault Kangoo. The NV250 will not have lived long as it was launched in 2019. It is also surprising that the Japanese carmaker took so long to launch this model as the Renault version already existed since 2007 and the old Nissan Kubistar derived from the first generation of the Kangoo had been discontinued in 2009.

It is also surprising that the new Nissan Townstar takes name used on the old light utility vehicles lineup of the Japanese carmaker, such as the Kubistar, Cabstar, Primastar or Interstar. Nissan’s latest LUVs were indeed named NV200, NV250, NV300 and NV400. Nissan's strategy in Europe is still difficult to understand ...

The new Townstar replaces not only the NV250 but also the NV200 which was the pioneer in the battery electric LUV category and which was sold at 250,000 units in Europe since its launch in 2009, of which 40,000 were battery electric. The NV200 is disappearing because the plant in Barcelona that assemble it, will close in December 2021.

The Townstar will be produced in Maubeuge (France), alongside the very recent Renault Kangoo and Mercedes Citan. Unlike the NV250 (which was also produced at Maubeuge), the Townstar will have a 1.3l petrol engine or an electric motor already equipped for the Kangoo and Citan, but will not be equipped with diesel engines. Nissan wants to achieve a 3% share in LUV sales in Europe, or 60,000 sales divided into Townstar, NV300 and NV400. The Townstar share could therefore represent up to 30,000 annual sales according to Nissan. Rather, Inovev expects 20,000 annual sales.


    
 

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The VW group is still the leading carmaker in Europe over the 9 months of 2021
The Stellantis group was the leading seller of vehicles in Europe in the first quarter of 2021, ahead of the Volkswagen group, with 24% market share against 23% for the German carmaker. However, Volkswagen had already taken the lead in the European market in the first half of 2021.

It should nevertheless be noted that the cumulative sales of PSA and FCA had exceeded those of the Volkswagen group in previous years, except in 2020 when the German carmaker had suffered less from the Covid-19 crisis than its two competitors.

Over the January-September 2021 cumulative, the Volkswagen group kept its first place in sales in Europe, with 2,445,854 units, representing 24.6% of the European passenger car and light utility vehicle market (PC+LUV), while the Stellantis group did not exceeded 2,241,961 units, representing 22.6% of the European market.

The two European market leaders are well ahead of the Renault-Nissan groups (1,242,618 units, 12.5% market share), Hyundai-Kia (771,145 units, 7.8% market share), BMW ( 661,291 units, 6.7% market share), Toyota (634,200 units, 6.4% market share), Ford (591,851 units, 6.0% market share) and Daimler (572,761 units, 5.8% market share). With the lead the Volkswagen Group has taken over the Stellantis Group over the past nine months, it is highly likely that the German carmaker will remain the number one carmaker in Europe in terms of sales for the whole 2021 year.


    
 

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Global production of light vehicles down 7% from 2019
Global light vehicle production (passenger cars and light utility vehicles) over the first eight months of 2021 shows an increase of 16.7% compared to the first eight of 2020 but a decrease of 7% compared to the first eight months of 2019. The volume reached 51 million vehicles, compared to 44 million in 2020 and 55 million in 2019.

The delay to 2019 has therefore not yet been closed and it is unlikely that it will be before the end of the year. It is to remind that the year 2019 had already been itself down compared to 2018, and the year 2018 had also been down compared to 2017.

Regarding the production of passenger cars (PCs), it increased by 16.3% over the first eight months of 2021 compared to the first eight months of 2020, but decreased by 15.8% compared to the first eight months of 2019.

Regarding the production of light utility vehicles (LUVs) , it increased by 18.5% over the first eight months of 2021 compared to the first eight months of 2020, but decreased by 3.2% compared to the first eight months of 2019.

What is quite striking when we observe the curve of the monthly production in 2021, it is the drop in the production from the month of May compared to the monthly production in 2019, which was amplified until August. It is likely that the lack of semiconductors supply is partly responsible for this dropout but it is also perhaps a drop in demand in developed countries which would be linked to the uncertainty of the economic environment but also to the policy of reducing emissions from cars, which would push potential customers to delay the renewal of their cars and to keep their them longer.


    
 

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The VW Golf is the best-selling vehicle in Europe for the 9 months of 2021
While the Peugeot 208 had been the best-selling car in Europe in the first quarter of 2021, the Volkswagen Golf regained its traditional first place in the cumulative nine months of 2021. This model benefited from the fact that the Volkswagen ID3 and ID4 did not have failed to meet their sales targets - so far - with ID3 in 55th place and ID4 in 93rd place.

With 800,000 units sold over the first nine months of 2021, battery electric vehicles represent 8.9% of the European passenger car market against 7.7% over the first six months of 2021. Of the top twenty cars sold in Europe out of the first nine month of 2021, only the Tesla Model 3 (18th) is in this ranking and succeeded to become the best-selling car in Europe in September.

In the overall classification, the Golf is just ahead of the Toyota Yaris, which for the first time manages to climb to second place. Then came the Peugeot 208, the Opel Corsa (which completely outclassed its competitor the Ford Fiesta), the Renault Clio, the Peugeot 2008 and the extremely well placed Dacia Sandero. The Volkswagen T-Roc and Tiguan are in decline, while the Fiat 500 is progressing well, thanks to its electric version which now accounts for 20% of Fiat 500 sales.

The absence of Audi, BMW and Mercedes models in the top 20 shows that the purchasing power of European customers is not optimal.


    
 

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Inovev forecasts 75,000 units per year of the new Dacia Jogger
The Renault group unveiled at the 2021 Munich Motor Show the successor of the Dacia Lodgy (C-segment MPV). It takes the name of Dacia Jogger and is designed on the recent Dacia Sandero which is a great success in Europe. The Dacia Jogger is therefore based on the CMF-B platform shared with the Renault Clio and Dacia Sandero, while the Lodgy was based on an old platform, the Clio II platform, marketed between 1998 and 2005.

The Dacia Jogger adopts a more radical style than the Lodgy, coming a little closer to the SUV category, the MPV category now being ignored by customers. It can carry five or seven passengers depending on the version, like the Dacia Lodgy. But it is more spacious because longer by 6 centimeters (4.55 m against 4.49 m). It is also lower (1.63 m against 1.68 m).

The Dacia Jogger also succeeds to the Logan MCV station wagon as the carmaker has decided not to launch a station wagon on the basis of the new Logan, a model which will not be imported into Western Europe. This decision could promote the career of the Dacia Jogger which will have to attract both customers of the old Lodgy and those of the old Logan station wagon.

The Dacia Jogger will be equipped with the 3-cylinder turbo petrol of 999 cm3 fitted to the Dacia Sandero and Duster, but it will develop here 110 hp against 100 hp on the Duster and 90 hp on the Sandero. The model will also be available in an LPG version (ECO G100), but no diesel, or hybrid or full electric version scheduled. The Dacia Jogger will be produced in Pitesti in Romania, early 2022, alongside the Dacia Duster. Inovev forecasts 75,000 sales per year of the Dacia Jogger.


    
 

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