Germany: 2021 market and production forecasts
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Germany: 2021 market and production forecasts
- The German light vehicles market - Passenger Cars (PC) + Light Utility Vehicles (LUV) - reached 3,185,399 units in 2020, down 18.6% compared to 2019, which is a reasonable performance as most European countries recorded figures much lower, the European average being around 23.5%.
- For passenger cars (PCs), with 2,917,678 units sold, the German market returned in 2020 to the 2010 level, a year following the financial crisis of 2008-2009. At this time, the volume of registrations had not exceeded 2,916,000 units.
- Again in the passenger car market in 2020, the Volkswagen group remains largely the leader with 1,061,627 units (36.4% market share), far ahead of the Daimler (319,236 units; 10.9%) and BMW groups (285,120 units; 9.8%). Next are the Renault-Nissan groups (255,772 units; 8.8%) and PSA (253,343 units; 8.7%) almost tied.
- 2021 should be a year of transition in Europe, with a slow and gradual exit from the situation known in 2020. This will a priori induce a moderate recovery in sales. The German market for light vehicles could therefore represent 3,464,549 units, up 9% compared to 2020.
- For the production forecast in 2021, Germany would grow from 3.68 million light vehicles in 2020 to 4.38 million in 2021, which represents an increase of 19% in one year. This increase is mainly explained by the increase in Europe and global markets and therefore exports. The production lines located in Germany will also see the arrival of new models, such as the Opel Astra, the DS 4 or the Volkswagen ID5. However, the overall production volume will be far from reaching in 2021 the volume of 2019 and previous years.
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France: 2021 market and production forecasts
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France: 2021 market and production forecasts
- The French light vehicles market - Passenger Cars (PC) + Light Utility Vehicles (LUV) - reached 2,052,501 units in 2020, down 23.8% compared to 2019, a performance in line with the European average, which is situated at around 23.5%.
- For passenger cars, with 1,650,000 units in 2020, the French market returns to the 1975 level, the year following the first oil shock. At this time, the volume of registrations had not exceeded 1,500,000 units.
- Again, in the passenger car market in 2020, the PSA group remains the leader with 530,634 units (32.2% market share) ahead of the Renault-Nissan group (450,534 units; 27.3%). Next are the Volkswagen groups (204,813 units; 12.4%), Toyota (95,640 units; 5.8%), Hyundai-Kia (73,640 units; 4.5%), BMW (67,399 units; 4.1 %), Ford (55,222 units; 3.4%), and Daimler (54,265 units; 3.3%).
- 2021 should be a year of transition in Europe, with a slow and gradual exit from the situation known in 2020. This will a priori induce a moderate recovery in sales. Thus the French market for light vehicles could represent 2,211,085 units, an increase of 8% compared to 2020.
- For production forecasts in 2021, France would increase from 1.32 million light vehicles in 2020 to 1.75 million in 2021, which represents an increase of 32.6% in one year but after a fall of more than 40 % in 2020, partly due to relocations (Peugeot 2008, Peugeot 208, Renault Clio, Opel Grandland). In 2021, new models will arrive on French production lines, such as the Opel Mokka or the new generations of the Peugeot 308, Renault Kangoo or Mercedes T Class (ex-Citan).
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Great Britain: 2021 market and production forecasts
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Great Britain: 2021 market and production forecasts
- The UK light vehicles market - Passenger Cars (PC) + Light Utility Vehicles (LUV) - reached 1,923,721 units in 2020, down 28.1% compared to 2019, which is a very poor performance as most European countries recorded much better figures, the European average being around 23.5%.
- For passenger cars, with 1,630,000 units, the UK market is back in 2020 to the 70s level. And for the first time in more than 40 years, the UK passenger car market is lower in volume than the French market in 2020.
- Again in the passenger car market in 2020, the Volkswagen group remains largely the leader with 374,738 units (23.0% market share), far ahead of the PSA groups (183,068 units; 11, 2%), BMW (161,585 units; 9.9%) and Ford (152,777 units; 9.4%). Following are the Renault-Nissan groups (142,771 units; 8.8%) and Hyundai-Kia (118,044 units; 7.2%).
- 2021 should be a year of transition in Europe, with a slow and gradual exit from the situation known in 2020. This will a priori induce a moderate recovery in sales. The British light vehicles market could therefore represent 2,108,314 units, up 10% compared to 2020.
- For production forecasts in 2021, Britain would slightly decrease from 970,000 units in 2020 to 960,000 in 2021, which represents a drop of 1% in one year. This relative stabilization of production is mainly explained by the shutdown of production at the Honda plant in Swindon (Honda Civic transferred to Japan) and the PSA plant in Ellesmere Port (Opel Astra transferred to Germany) which will not offset the revival of production from other carmakers.
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Spain: 2021 market and production forecasts
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Spain: 2021 market and production forecasts
- The Spanish light vehicles market - Passenger Cars (PC) + Light Utility Vehicles (LUV) - reached 1,009,328 units in 2020, down 31.5% compared to 2019, which is one of the worst performances recorded in Europe last year, the European average being around 23.5%.
- For passenger cars, with 851,000 units sold, the Spanish market returned in 2020 to the 2014 level, the year following the financial crisis of 2008-2009. At this time, the volume of registrations had not exceeded 855,000 units.
- Again in the passenger car market in 2020, the Volkswagen group remains largely the leader with 198,592 units (23.3% market share), far ahead of the PSA groups (144,073 units; 16.9%) and Renault-Nissan (135,532 units; 15.9%). Next are the Hyundai-Kia (93,029 units; 10.9%) and Toyota (64,954 units; 7.6%) groups.
- 2021 should be a year of transition in Europe, with a slow and gradual exit from the situation known in 2020. This will a priori induce a moderate recovery in sales. The Spanish light vehicle market could thus represent 1,104,850 units, up 9% compared to 2020.
- For production forecasts in 2021, Spain would increase from 2.18 million in 2020 to 2.38 million in 2021, which represents an increase of 9.6% in one year. New models arrive in 2021 on Spanish plants, such as the Citroën C4 (the Peugeot 2008 having arrived in 2020). On the other hand, the announced shutdown of the Nissan plants in Avila and Barcelona, as well as the end of life of the Citroën C4 Cactus and C4 Space Tourer could slow down further growth in Spanish production. The situation is also stressed by the Ford plant in Valencia which will soon shut down the Mondeo, Galaxy, S-Max and Transit Connect (which will be transferred to another plant).
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Italy: 2021 market and production forecasts
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Italy: 2021 market and production forecasts
- The Italian light vehicles market - Passenger Cars (PC) + Light Utility Vehicles (LUV) - reached 1,531,496 units in 2020, down 27.2% compared to 2019, which is a rather poor performance as most European countries recorded much better figures, the European average being around 23.5%.
- For passenger cars, with 1,380,000 units, the Italian market returned in 2020 to the 2014 level, the year following the financial crisis of 2008-2009. At this time, the volume of registrations had not exceeded 1,360,000 units.
- Again in the passenger car market in 2020, the FCA group remains largely the leader with 331,120 units (24% market share), far ahead of the Volkswagen groups (230,470 units; 16.7% ) and PSA (204,502 units; 14.8%). Following are the Renault-Nissan groups (171,685 units; 12.4%) and Ford (89,558 units; 6.5%) largely behind.
- 2021 should be a year of transition in Europe, with a slow and gradual exit from the situation known in 2020. This will a priori induce a moderate recovery in sales. The Italian market for light vehicles could therefore represent 1,657,621 units, an increase of 8% compared to 2020.
- For the production forecast in 2021, Italy would increase from 730,000 units in 2020 to 800,000 in 2021, which represents an increase of 10% in one year. This increase in production will be due to the ramp-up of the electric Fiat 500 and the relaunch of the European markets in 2021, the historic place of sales for the FCA group. The arrival of the Alfa-RoméoTonale (C-segment SUV) could also boost the production in Italy at the end of the year.
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