The Chinese Electrical and Rechargeable Hybrid (VEB+VEHR) market could be boosted by low priced cars
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The Chinese Electrical and Rechargeable Hybrid (VEB+VEHR) market could be boosted by low priced cars
- The market for electric and rechargeable hybrid (BEV + RHEV) passenger cars and light commercial vehicles (PC and LCV) in China is down 5% in the first quarter of 2017 compared to the first quarter of 2016, although it had increased by 53% in 2016 compared to 2015: 507 000 units relative to 331 000 one year earlier. It was in fact the strong tax incentives to purchase this type of vehicle that boosted the Chinese market in fiscal year 2016, and in early 2017, the reduction of the tax incentive had the inverse effect on sales. In any case, sales of BEV and RHEV represented less than 2% of the total Chinese market in 2016.
- The Shanghai Fair held in April 2017 showcased many BEV + RHEV concept vehicles. The Chinese government has stated their objective to have 3 million BEV + RHEV (called NEV - New Vehicles in China) sold per year from 2025. To achieve this goal, the government is examining the possibility of setting production quotas of BEV + RHEV for each OEM producing in China or importing more than 50 000 vehicles (quotas of 8% in 2018, 10% in 2019 and 12% in 2020). This quota project is currently under negotiation and could be delayed by 1 year, given the large gap to bridge (today BEV and RHEV are only 2% of the automobile market in China).
- Today, the BEV + RHEV leader in China is BYD who sold 100,000 units locally in 2016. On the European carmakers side, both the Volkswagen and Renault-Nissan groups plan to enter the BEV and RHEV market in China by proposing models at low prices.
- Volkswagen is expected to begin production of a low-cost 100% electric car (BEV ) in joint venture with Chinese manufacturer JAC in 2018. The German manufacturer plans to sell 400,000 units by 2020 (nearly 10% of its sales in China) and 1.5 million by 2025 (nearly 30% of its sales in China). One understands the effort that Volkswagen will have to provide to reach 400 000 sales in 2020, 4 times more vehicles than what BYD sells today, and 1.5 million in 2025.
- Renault-Nissan, meanwhile, is expected to launch a low-cost 100% electric vehicle (BEV ) in 2019, in joint venture with Chinese manufacturer Dongfeng. To optimize costs, the choice of the platform would be based on that of the KWID (A) segment, produced today in India. This architecture would be electrified and adapted to Chinese customer expectations. The model would be released under the Renault, Nissan and Dongfeng brands. Renault-Nissan's objective would be to sell the model at around 10,000 euros, which is almost two times less expensive than the competitors' electric cars currently on the Chinese market. No sales target has been communicated by the Franco-Japanese group.
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FCA Diesel Vehicles Sales Plummet in the United States
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FCA Diesel Vehicles Sales Plummet in the United States
- As is Volkswagen, the Fiat-Chrysler Group (FCA) is accused by the US Environmental Agency (EPA) of concealing software that falsifies the measurement of emissions of polluting gases in more than 100,000 diesel vehicles (PC + LCV) sold in the United States in 2015 and 2016.
- In 2016, FCA sold only three models featuring diesel engines: the Dodge Ram pick-up, the Jeep Grand Cherokee and the Dodge Promaster. The EPA and the California Air Resources Board (CARB) are in discussions with FCA on the matter and must decide whether or not to allow the manufacturer to sell diesel models in 2017 .
- The Dodge Ram pick-up with diesel engines sold 57,220 units in 2015 (12% of the model's total sales), 58,859 in 2016 (11% of model sales) but only 652 units in the first quarter 2017 (0.5% of model sales).
- The Jeep Grand Cherokee with diesel engines sold 3,790 units in 2015( 2% of the model's sales,) 4,253 units in 2016 (2% of the model's sales) and only 725 units in the first quarter of 2017 (ie 1% of the model's sales).
- The diesel-powered Dodge Promaster sold 252 units in 2015 (less than 1% of total model sales), 397 units in 2016 (less than 1% of total model sales) and 100 units in the first quarter of 2017 (1% of model sales).
- The diesel share in the sales of three vehicles is actually very low. Therefore, expectations on the EPA and CARB decision have no visible impact on the sales of these three models.
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World Market for Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) and Rechargeable Hybrids (HREV) in 2016
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World Market for Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) and Rechargeable Hybrids (HREV) in 2016
- In 2016, the market for battery-powered electric vehicles (PC + LCV) and hybrid rechargeable batteries (HREV) worldwide grew by almost 39% to 930,000 units, compared to 670,000 units in 2015 and 400,000 units in 2014.
- In 2016 507,000 units were sold in China (+ 53% compared to 2015), 223,000 for Europe (+ 18%), 159,000 for the USA (+ 38%) and 22,500 for Japan (stagnating).
- Of the 930,000 worldwide sales in 2016, the market for 100% electric vehicles accounts for two thirds, while the market for plug-in hybrid vehicles accounts for one-third.
- By brand, BYD dominates the market with 102,500 sales, ahead of Tesla (76,000), BMW (62,000), Nissan (56,500), BAIC (46,500), Volkswagen (37,500), Zotye (37,000), Chevrolet (32,000), Mitsubishi (32,000) and Renault (30,000). These ten brands alone account for 55% of sales of rechargeable electric and hybrid vehicles worldwide.
- The ten best selling models are: Nissan Leaf (51,852 units), Tesla Model S (50,944), BYD Tang (31,405), Chevrolet Volt (28,296), Mitsubishi Outlander (27,322), BMW i3(25,943), Tesla Model X (25,299), Renault Zoe (22,009), BYD Qin (21,868) and BYD e6 (20,610). These ten models account for 33% of sales of rechargeable electric and hybrid vehicles worldwide.
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The Most Produced C Segment Car in the World in 2016
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The Most Produced C Segment Car in the World in 2016
- The global market for C-segment cars was 23.70 million units in 2016, compared to 22.25 million in 2015 (an increase of 6.5%, while the all-segment market grew by almost 5%).
- The most produced C segment car in 2016 was the Toyota Corolla, which has disputed this title in recent years with the Volkswagen Golf and Ford Focus.
- The current Corolla (launched in 2013) is the 11th generation of a model whose origins go back to 1966. Since that date, more than 40 million Toyota Corolla have been produced worldwide. This is twice as much as the Volkswagen Beetle and 1.5 times more than the Volkswagen Golf. The Corolla is the best-selling car in history.
- The Toyota Corolla first conquered the Japanese market where it remained the most sold car for several decades (85,000 sales in 2016), and then became one of the best-selling cars in the United States ( 378,000 sales in 2016). Finally, in recent years it has also become one of the best-selling cars in China (324,000 sales in 2016) and Australia (40,000 sales in 2016). In Europe, the Corolla has been replaced by the Toyota Auris.
- The Toyota Corolla is now produced in Japan, USA, China, Canada, Brazil, Turkey and India.
- The main competitors of the Toyota Corolla worldwide are the C-segment sedans of general car manufacturers, such as Volkswagen Golf, Ford Focus, Opel Astra, Chevrolet Cruze and Honda Civic.
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The Most Produced B Segment Car in the World in 2016
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The Most Produced B Segment Car in the World in 2016
- The global market for B-segment vehicles represents 12.0 million units in 2016 compared to 12.5 million units in 2015.
- The most produced segment B car in 2016 was, as for several years, the Volkswagen Polo.
- The current generation (launched in 2009) is the fifth generation of the model whose origins go back to 1975 (at the time it was a rebadged Audi 50). The sixth generation is scheduled for the end of 2017.
- The Polo has gradually become one of the best-selling cars in Europe (300,000 sales in 2016), China (172,000 sales) and Russia (48,000 sales). It is also sold in India (22,000 sales) and in South Africa.
- 601,000 units were produced worldwide in 2016. The current production sites of the Volkswagen Polo are:
• Pamplona (Spain) produced 323,000 units in 2016.
• Shanghai (China) produced 178,000 units.
• Chakan (India) produced 52,000 units.
• Kalouga (Russia) produced 48,000 units.
- The competitors of the Volkswagen Polo are mainly segment B sedans of general manufacturers such as Ford Fiesta, Toyota Yaris, Renault Clio, Peugeot 208, Opel Corsa.
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