Global sales of light vehicles fall 7.4% in 2021 compared to 2019
Global registrations of light vehicles (passenger cars – PCs and light utility vehicles - LUVs) over the first eight months of 2021 show an increase of 16.8% compared to the first eight months of 2020 (year affected by the coronavirus crisis) but a decrease of 7,4% compared to the first eight months of 2019. The volume reached 50 million vehicles, against 43 million in 2020 and 54 million in 2019.

The gap between 2021 and 2019 has therefore not yet been closed and it is unlikely that it will be the case before the end of the year. It is to remind that the 2019 year had already been itself down compared to 2018, and the year 2018 had also been down compared to 2017.

Regarding passenger cars sales, they increased by 16.4% over the first eight months of 2021 compared to the first eight months of 2020, and decreased by 9.8% compared to the first eight months of 2019.

Regarding LUVs sales, they increased by 18.5% over the first eight months of 2021 compared to the first eight months of 2020, and increased by 2.6% compared to the first eight months of 2019.

What is quite striking when we look at the monthly sales curve for 2021 is a drop in sales from May compared to monthly sales for 2019, which is amplified until the month of August. It is seems that the chips shortage is partly responsible for this dropout but it is also perhaps a decrease in demand in developed markets which would be linked both to the uncertain economic environment but also to the policy of reducing car emissions, which would push potential customers to postpone the purchase of new vehicles and to keep their current vehicles longer.


    
 

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In 2020, BEVs gets 6.1% of coaches and buses sales in Europe
The market share in Europe for passenger cars (PCs) with electrified engines, or xEVs (BEV + HEV + PHEV), reached 15.3% of the total market in 2020, broken down into 6.2% for BEVs, 5.2% for PHEVs and 3.9% for HEVs.

The share of these electrified engines is surprisingly equivalent for coaches and buses. In 2020, the share of electrified engines reached 15,6%, broken down into 6.1% BEV and 9.5% HEV+PHEV. In addition, 11.4% of buses and coaches are running on natural gas. With a total of 27%, this proportion of alternative engines (xEVs + natural gas) is the highest among all vehicles (passenger cars, LUVs, trucks and buses). In 2019, this share of alternative engines did not exceed 23%.

Diesel engines still represent the vast majority of engines running coaches and buses, reaching 72.9% of the market share in 2020. Despite this large share - but lower than for heavy utility vehicles - diesel engines are steadily declining with the arrival of alternative engines. The gasoline engine remains extremely marginal since it does not exceed 0.1% of the market share of coaches and buses.

Compared to 2019, the number of BEVs (2,272 units) increased by 30.3%, HEVs-PHEVs (2,860 units) by 38.8%, while the number of diesel (26,196 units) decreased by 29.5%, gasoline engines (6 units) by 53.8%, while natural gas engines (3,447 units) increased by 21.1%. The European coaches and buses market represented 34,781 units in 2020 against 43,799 units in 2019.


    
 

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Nissan sales in Europe are back to 2008 level
Nissan's sales in Europe are back to pre-Qashqai levels. Indeed, before the launch of the Qashqai in 2007, the Japanese carmaker's sales in Europe represented between 2% and 3% of the market, its market share falling to 2% just before the arrival of the brand's compact SUV.

Nissan was one of the pioneers of the compact SUV in Europe, having marginalised the Almera and Primera sedans in a few months, and developed a new market that had not been exploited until then, except perhaps by Suzuki.

The Qashqai revived Nissan sales in 2008, and helped by the launch of the Juke (a new SUV even more compact than the Qashqai) in 2010, the Japanese carmaker's market share climbed to 4% in 2015, or a share that doubled compared to 2007. Unfortunately, the too late replacement of the Qashqai and Juke caused Nissan's sales to plunge again from 2018 and the Japanese carmaker's market share in Europe fell to almost 2% in 2020, a level comparable to the period before Qashqai.

Nissan's sales volume in Europe fell from 560,000 units in 2017 to 280,000 in 2020, a fall of 50% in three years. In addition to the late replacement of the Qashqai and Juke, we can also consider that competition has developed a lot during this period in the compact SUV category, and Nissan SUVs do not really have any additional advantages to face its competitors, which was not the case with Qashqai in 2008.


    
 

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Fiat has become a marginal player in the Polish market
Having been one of the most important carmaker in Poland, both in terms of sales and production with its two companies FSO and FSM, Fiat has continued market share since the beginning of the 2000s, meaning since the end of the Cinquecento (1991-1998) and Seicento (1998-2007) which had succeeded in their time to the small 126 P (1972-1991) which had submerged the market Polish in the 70s and 80s.

Fiat missed its conversion by abandoning its D-segment, C-segment and then B-segment cars, with the sudden end of the Punto. Consequently, demand gradually shifted to models from other general brands, mainly Skoda (11.5% of the market) and Toyota (16.5% of the market) which are today the two most popular brands in Poland. As for Fiat, its market share gradually decreased from 28% of the Polish market in the early 2000s to 2% in 2020, while the Fiat 500 is still produced in Poland (in Tichy) but exported at 98% outside Poland, in European markets. Also, the Lancia Ypsilon is still assembled in Poland (Tichy) and 100% exported to one country: Italy.

Fiat's share in the Polish automobile production is therefore not reflected in Polish registrations, as Fiat represents 31% of the Polish automobile production in 2020, and even 42% with Lancia, and only 2% of registrations in this country. Stellantis may have plans to relaunch the Fiat brand in the Polish market, especially as the decline in Fiat sales seems to have been halted for two years in this market.


    
 

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The Stellantis group to reassign the Gliwice plant to LUV production
After the announcement of the Stellantis group concerning the new assignment of the British Ellesmere Port plant which will stop producing the Opel Astra at the end of 2021 and start producing light utility vehicles of the N1-1 segment, as the Citroën Berlingo, Peugeot Partner, Opel Combo and Vauxhall Combo in their battery electric versions, the automotive group has announced the new assignment of the Polish factory in Gliwice which will also cease producing the Opel Astra at the end of the year 2021. The Opel Astra was produced until now in these two plants, while the new Opel Astra presented at the Munich Motor Show will be only produced at the German site in Rüsselsheim, alongside the new DS 4 and the Opel Insignia.

The Gliwice plant will now be used to produce light utility vehicles of the N1-3 segment, such as the Fiat Ducato, Citroën Jumper, Peugeot Boxer and Opel/Vauxhall Movano. These vehicles were until now assembled in the Italian plant of Val di Sangro, except the Movano which has just been renewed (they were previously produced by Renault at the French site of Batilly). From 2022, the Gliwice plant will produce 100,000 of these vehicles each year.

The Val di Sangro plant, which has a production capacity of 250,000 vehicles per year, was saturated in recent years, and the arrival of Movano would have amplified this phenomenon. With the announcement to transfer 75,000 of these vehicles to Gliwice each year and to produce 25,000 Movano on this plant (which has a production capacity of 200,000 vehicles per year), the Val di Sangro site will be able to recover a normal rhythm. Also, the Gliwice plant will see its production capacity cut in half, but this decision was preferred to a shutdown of the plant.


    
 

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