The Opel Vivaro will be renewed on a PSA platform in 2019
PSA will not have waited until 2024 to replace the Opel Vivaro, currently on a Renault Trafic base, since a new generation Vivaro, based on the Citroën Jumpy and Peugeot Expert, is announced for 2019. The new Opel Vivaro EMP2 platform will be launched just five years after the launch of the previous generation, which is very short for a utility vehicle. So we are witnessing a game of musical chairs in LCV that has transformed the Fiat Scudo on a PSA base to a Talento on a Renault base, and Opel Vivaro based on Renault to a Vivaro based on PSA. The Opel Movano will remain the only Opel utility vehicle to be based on a Renault model (Master) but it is not sure that this situation will last for many years. The new generation of Movano could be derived from the Citroën Jumper and Peugeot Boxer, thus from the Fiat Ducato.

At the same time, PSA announces that the capacity of the Luton plant (100,000 units per year) will be better utilized (72,000 units produced in 2017) by adding Citroen Jumpy and Peugeot Expert (13,000 sales in the United Kingdom in 2017), which will relieve the Valenciennes plant which, according to PSA, will reach its saturation level in 2020 if the LCV market continues to grow at the same rate as in recent years.

For PSA, this means finding additional capacity to continue to benefit from the growth of the LCV market in Europe. PSA sold 476,500 LCVs in 2017, for a market share of 23% of LCV sales.


18-10-8   
 

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European capacity utilization by automotive manufacturer in 2017
The utilization rate of European factories reached 85% in 2017. But the distribution by manufacturers is very contrasted.

The automakers who have most exploited their current capabilities have been the Daimler, Toyota and Tata groups that are meeting or exceeding the 100% utilization rate of their European plants in 2017. In addition, Daimler has its Mercedes Citan and Smart Forfour manufactured in Renault factories (Maubeuge and Novo Mesto), Toyota has its Proace manufactured in a PSA factory (Valenciennes) and Tata has its Jaguar E-Paces manufactured in a Magna factory (Graz).

Daimler will have to find new capacity in the next three years to meet the demand (following the renewal and expansion of the class A, Class B, CLA, GLA, GLB range).

The Hyundai-Kia, BMW and Renault-Nissan groups have utilization rates between 88% and 92%, which is above the overall average. Renault-Nissan improved its score compared to last year (rise in rates of the Nissan Micra). BMW is doing worse than last year as the manufacturer now has new capabilities in Born, the Netherlands.

The PSA, Volkswagen, Ford and Geely groups are doing worse than the average (rate between 77% and 82%), but PSA improves its score compared to last year. VW suffered from dieselgate, while Ford mismanaged the transition between old and new Fiesta. Honda, FCA and Suzuki groups have the lowest rates (between 53% and 68%).


18-10-9   
 

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Baojun to become GM's best-selling brand in China
GM is now present in China under five different brands: Buick, Chevrolet, Cadillac, Baojun and Wuling. The Baojun brand, from Wuling, is quite new since it was created in 2011. But it is on the verge of becoming the best-selling brand of the GM group. The success of Baojun is based on two factors: one linked to the low price of its models and the other linked to the fact that this brand is considered a Chinese brand, which becomes an increasingly  important asset when one observes the growth of the market share of Chinese brands in China. Today, 42% of the market is occupied by Chinese manufacturers (36% for passenger cars alone, not counting Baojun, which is counted in the GM group).

In the first two months of 2018, Baojun occupied 4.4% of the Chinese market (4.6% for Buick) against 4.1% in 2017 (4.9% for Buick). In 2017, for the first time, this brand placed two models in the top 15: the 510 SUV (sixth) and the 730 minivan (fourteenth). In the first two months of 2018, the Baojun 510 has even become the best-selling model in China.

The success of the Baojun brand is nevertheless at the expense of the Wuling brand that sells only minivans. It is also at the expense of the Chevrolet brand that was the cheapest brand ( outside of Wuling) of the GM group in China before the arrival of the Baojun brand.


18-10-5   
 

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Smart plans to halt sales of its thermic models in 2020
Smart has announced that it plans to stop sales of its Fortwo and Forfour thermal engine models by 2020. Only the electric versions will remain in the  catalog of the Daimler group's subsidiary. This strategy returns to the original concept for the brand, devised by Nicolas Hayek, at the origin of the Smart For two project. Until today, several manufacturers have announced the end of sales of their diesel cars (none having taken the risk of announcing the cessation of sales of their diesel commercial vehicles) but none of them had gone so far as to announce the stop of sales of their gasoline models.

The bet for Smart is risky because the electric versions are only 5% of the production volume of the brand in 2017 (6,700 units sold out of a total of 135,000 units) and according to the first figures for the first quarter of 2018, the proportion of Smart models in electric versions would not exceed 15% this year.

At this rate, this proportion could represent 25% of sales in 2019 and 35% in 2020, which is already a good result, but not 100%. It is therefore necessary to apprehend Smart's announcement as a sales target that will be difficult to achieve because stopping Smart's thermal models will not necessarily lead to a transfer of customers to the brand's electric models. In this case, a decline in Smart production would seem inevitable.


18-10-7   
 

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Inovev forecasts production of 80,000-100,000 XT4s per year
Cadillac unveiled its new compact SUV (C-segment) at the 2018 New York Auto Show, the XT4. This model complements the brand's SUV lineup, such as the XT5 (D-segment) or the Escalade (E-segment).

With this XT4, Cadillac ventures into the C segment for the first time, with a model that remains at the top of the segment with its 4.60m length and 1.88m width.

These dimensions are explained by the fact that it is based on the E2XX platform, designed for D / E segment sedans.

It is indeed this platform that we find under the bodies of Chevrolet Malibu, Buick Lacrosse, Buick Regal or Opel Insignia.

This new Cadillac SUV competes not only with the recently renewed Toyota RAV4 (4.60m) and Honda CRV (4.60m), which both have very high sales in the United States, but also with the Lincoln MKC (4.55m) and the Lexus NX (4.63m) and which are even more direct competitors because of being Premium brands.

Like the Lincoln MKC, its most direct competitor, the Cadillac XT4 is equipped with a 4-cylinder engine: a 2.0l  developing 237hp. Inovev estimates the production of XT4 at 80,000-100,000 units a year.


18-10-6   
 

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