Volkswagen leaves diesel in its B-segment models
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Volkswagen leaves diesel in its B-segment models
- We recently saw in one of our recent Auto-Analyses that carmakers were in the process of switching their A-segment cars from thermal engines to electric engines, diesel engines having disappeared for several years on this type of model.
- Today, we may be witnessing the scheduled end of diesel engines on B-segment cars.
- Volkswagen has just announced the end of production of Polo and T-Cross, in their diesel versions. These models will be available only with a 3-cylinder 1.0 TSI and a 4-cylinder 1.5 TSI petrol versions.
- Toyota has already phased out the diesel engine on its B-segment car, the Yaris, wich hybrid version is becoming the only proposition. Nissan has abandoned the diesel engine on its B-segment cars, the Micra and the Juke. Skoda had done the same with its B-segment car, the Fabia. The Honda Jazz is now available only as an hybrid version (gasoline + electric). The Hyundai i20 is available only as a petrol version, as is its for the Kia Rio. The Mazda 2 has followed the same path.
- The carmakers Renault, PSA and Ford continue for the moment to market B-segment cars equipped with a diesel engine, like BMW for its Mini, but their share is decreasing year by year, and recent Renault Clio hybrid, Peugeot 208 electric, Opel Corsa electric have been added to their product range, also with a view of a total disappearance of diesels in this segment.
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Europe overtakes China in battery electric and plug-in hybrid car sales
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Europe overtakes China in battery electric and plug-in hybrid car sales
- In the first half of 2020, 950,076 battery electric vehicles (BEV) and plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEV) were sold worldwide. This represents an increase of 4.1% when the global market fall by 26.2%.
- Europe has become the leading market in this category of vehicles during these first six months. Europe has indeed registered 401,231 BEV and PHEV, representing a market share of 7.9% against 3.5% in 2019. China has not exceeded 360,110 registrations, representing a market share of 4.6% compared to 5.5% in 2019.
- The United States and Japan continue to have little demand for this type of vehicle, with only 128,382 units and 14,500 units respectively (ie 2% and 1% of market share). China remained the leader in BEV and PHEV market from 2015 to 2019.
- By models, we note that in Europe the Renault Zoe took the lead in the ranking ahead of the Tesla Model 3, in the first half of 2020, while in China, the Tesla Model 3 is by far the leader in this market. It is to remind that this model has been produced in China since the beginning of 2020. We note the arrival of many new models in the Top 20, both in Europe in China, and we also observe a drop in sales of some Chinese models yet very well sold in 2019, whose customers have probably partly turned to the Tesla Model 3.
- The second 2020 semester will confirm or not this trend, because from now on, it is to soon to conclude any big changes, as markets were deeply disturbed by the coronavirus crisis and by the implementation of CO2 regulations, especially in Europe.
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The US truck market is dominated by the Daimler group
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The US truck market is dominated by the Daimler group
- The US heavy utility vehicle (HUV) market achieved a good growth between 2010 and 2019, going from 218,000 units in 2010, which was the market's low point after the 2008-2009 financial crisis, to 527,000 units in 2019, which represents an increase of 140% in nine years. The coronavirus crisis put an end to this growth with a 30% drop recorded in the first half of 2020 compared to the first half of 2019. Less than 182,000 units were sold over this period and the total over the year is likely to be at less than 400,000 units, but this will still be twice as many as in 2010.
- One group has dominated the US HUV market since 2010 and its market share continued to increase since that date: it is the Daimler group which is made up on the American market of the Freightliner and Western Star brands (the Sterling brand having been discontinued in 2010) with a market share of 30.6% in 2019.
- The second largest truck seller in the USA is the Paccar group, which is made up of the Kenworth and Peterbilt brands. Its market share reached 19.3% in 2019. This group also owns DAF trucks in Europe but DAFs are not sold in the USA.
- The third largest seller of heavy goods vehicles in the USA is the Ford group (15.1% of the market), now closely followed by the Navistar group (International brand) which has made a strong comeback since 2017. Its market share has reached 14.8% in 2019.
- The Volvo Trucks group (Volvo, Mack) is the last major truck seller in the USA. Its market share reached 8.9% in 2019. The other manufacturers are mainly imports (Isuzu, Hino).
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SUVs and pickups will represent 75% of the US market from 2021
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SUVs and pickups will represent 75% of the US market from 2021
- According to forecasts from carmakers based in North America, the US market is expected to decline by nearly 20% in 2020, due to the coronavirus crisis. By comparison, the US market fell by 18% in 2008 compared to 2007, due to the financial crisis, and had again fallen by 21% in 2009 compared to 2008, before resuming the path of growth, from 2010. It was not until 2014 that the American market returned to 2007 pre-crisis levels.
- In 2020, the coronavirus crisis will probably not cause a further decline in the US market in 2021 or a bankruptcy of GM or Chrysler as in 2009.
- But the coronavirus crisis had an unexpected consequence: carmakers, forced to make very significant savings in order not to crash, are focusing on their most profitable models, that is to say SUVs and pickups. Consequently, they giving up on the less profitable models or those which sell in small quantities, in particular the sedans. The Covid-19 therefore played a role of accelerator, because such decisions were already underway at a good number of carmakers, especially the Americans.
- In this context, the market share of SUVs and pick-ups will inevitably continue to increase, so that we can expect a proportion of 75% of sales of SUVs and pick-ups in the USA from 2021, against a proportion of 25% of sedan sales. In the first half of 2020, the proportion is already 73% and 27% respectively (against 71% and 29% in 2019).
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Evolution of the passenger car market share in China according to their origin
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Evolution of the passenger car market share in China according to their origin
- The Chinese passenger car market has been mainly made up for the last fifteen years, of Chinese cars (Geely, Great Wall, Chery, Dongfeng, BYD, GAC, SAIC, etc.), German cars (Volkswagen, Audi, BMW , Mercedes, Porsche), Japanese (Toyota, Honda, Nissan, Mazda, Mitsubishi), American (Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, Ford, Lincoln), Korean (Hyundai, Kia) and at lower level French (Renault, Peugeot, Citroën).
- A significant change in the distribution by origin took place between 2017 and 2020 since:
1. Chinese brands that had managed to reach and exceed 40% of the market in 2017 gradually fell to 34.7% in 2020, a loss of more than 6% in four years.
2. German brands, which had fallen to 20.3% of the market in 2017, have made a spectacular comeback, now reaching 26.8% of the market, a gain of more than 6% in four years.
3. Japanese brands achieved a similar performance, going from 18.1% of the market in 2017 to 23.6% in four years, a gain of 5.5%. The other brands have all seen their market share decline.
4. American brands, on the other hand, lost ground, dropping from 11.5% to 9.0% of the market (-2.5% in four years).
5. Korean brands also lost market share, dropping from 5.1% to 4.4% of the market (-0.7% in four years).
6. French brands have almost disappeared, going from 2.1% to 0.3% of the market (-1.8% in four years).
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