Inovev forecasts 100,000 units per year of the new Toyota Aygo Cross
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Inovev forecasts 100,000 units per year of the new Toyota Aygo Cross
- Toyota has unveiled the new generation of its city car Aygo (A-segment sedan) at a time when most carmakers are abandoning this type of model. This new Aygo is renamed Aygo Cross, which places it in the SUV category, below the Yaris Cross (B-segment SUV), CHR (C-segment SUV), Corolla Cross (C-segment SUV) and RAV4 ( D-segment SUV) which currently makes up the Toyota SUV range in Europe. The Aygo Cross will be sold only in Europe.
- This is the first Aygo not to be dubbed Peugeot and Citroën versions, since the Stellantis group ended this year the association with Toyota in small cars, continuing this association in LCVs (Toyota ProAce and ProAce City).
- The Aygo Cross is based on the NGA-B platform of the Yaris and Yaris Cross, its dimensions being 24cm smaller than the Yaris but 23cm larger than the old Aygo. The total length is now 3.70 m.
- The height also gains 5 cm, SUV requires, but the engine remains the 1.0 petrol 3 cylinders offered on the old version. There will be no diesel, electric or hybrid version (like on the Yaris and Yaris Cross), officially for cost reasons.
- The new Toyota Aygo Cross, which will now represent the Japanese automaker's entry level in Europe, will be assembled at the Czech Kolin site, like the previous Aygo, at a rate of 100,000 units per year according to Inovev.
- Remember that part of the Toyota Yaris will be manufactured on this site from this fall, replacing the Citroën C1 and Peugeot 108, with the aim of relieving the French factory of Onnaing which manufactures both the Yaris and the Yaris. Cross.
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Inovev forecasts 20,000 units per year of the Subaru Solterra
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Inovev forecasts 20,000 units per year of the Subaru Solterra
- Subaru unveiled its first 100% electric model, the Solterra SUV, derived from the Toyota BZ4X presented a few weeks earlier. The agreement between the two carmakers on the sharing of electric vehicles is thus concretized today with the launch of these two models. With Toyota announcing seven new all-electric vehicles under the name BZ ("Beyond Zero") by 2025, it is possible that Subaru will follow suit and successively launch its own versions of these seven models.
- For Subaru, the entry into the electric market will allow it to relaunch its sales at a time when this brand is losing influence around the world (its production decreased from 1.1 million units in 2017 to 750,000 in 2021) and at a time when each carmaker must be able to rethink its range to meet the environmental constraints imposed by the European Commission, but also by other political bodies around the world (China, California, etc.)
- The Solterra, which globally takes over the body and platform of the Toyota BZ4X, measures 4.69 m long and 1.86 m wide. Available in traction, it has a 204 hp electric motor, while the four-wheel drive version (studied in collaboration with Toyota) has a 217 hp electric motor. The battery offers a capacity of 71.5 kWh allowing a range of between 460 km (4WD) and 500 km (FWD). These characteristics are identical to those of the Toyota BZ4X.
- Sales targets for the Subaru Solterra are unknown, but Inovev expects 10,000 sales per year at the start of their career and then 20,000 sales per year in the middle of their career.
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30% of European BEVs are produced in Germany, and half of HEVs in France
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30% of European BEVs are produced in Germany, and half of HEVs in France
- Among the 525,743 battery electric vehicles (BEVs) produced in the first nine months of 2021 (compared to 253,733 over the first nine months of 2020), Germany produces 154,818 units (compared to 52,743 over nine months 2020) , or nearly 29.5% of the European production of BEVs. It is ahead of France (80,544 units; 15% of European production), Slovakia (65,258 units; 12.4%), the Czech Republic (58,162 units; 11%), Spain (44,182 units; 8,4%) and Great Britain (39,414 units; 7,5%). The most produced models were the Volkswagen ID3 (51,841 units), Renault Zoé (46,672 units) and Volkswagen ID4 (37,400 units). The Volkswagen group alone represents 39% of the BEVs produced in Europe.
- Among the 528,532 plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs) produced over this period (compared to 262,276 in the first nine months of 2020), Germany produced 206,156 units (compared to 134,468 over nine months 2020), or 39% of the European production of PHEVs. It is ahead of Spain (76,725 units; 14,5%), France (43,715 units; 8,3%), Belgium (40,186 units; 7,6%), Sweden (33,834 units; 6,4%), the Czech Republic (31,949 units; 6%) and Slovakia (29,304 units; 5,5%). The most produced models were the Ford Kuga (30,265 units), BMW 3 Series (28,947 units) and Volvo XC40 (28,675 units). The Volkswagen group alone represents 29% of PHEVs produced in Europe.
- Among the 190,450 non-rechargeable hybrid vehicles (HEVs) produced over this period (compared to 124,144 over the first nine months of 2020), France produced 104,251 units (compared to 48,208 over nine months of 2020), i.e. nearly 55 % of the European production. It is ahead of Great Britain (84,112 units; 44%) and Spain (2,087 units; 1%). The most produced models were the Toyota Yaris (100,618 units) and Toyota Corolla (81,277 units). The Toyota group represents almost all HEVs produced in Europe with 97.5% of production.
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European production increases by 6.3% over the first 9 months of 2021
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European production increases by 6.3% over the first 9 months of 2021
- In the first 9 months of 2021, European (EU + Great Britain) production of light vehicles (PCs + LUVs) reached a volume of 10,076,343 units. It has therefore grown by only 6.3% during the first nine months of 2021 compared to the first nine months of 2020. Compared to the first nine months of 2019, European production is down by 25.7%.
- This sharp decline is not due solely to the semiconductor crisis, which despite the duration remains a cyclical crisis (it should continue beyond summer 2022). There are also structural causes, relating to a drop in Europe demand. It can be argued that the various announcements restricting access to the purchase of cars create uncertainty, can influence potential customers and encourage them to keep their current vehicle longer before replacing it: bonus-malus system, restrictions on traffic in big cities, promotion of new ways of individual transport, announcements concerning the end of diesel and the more distant end of thermal, and at a same time, a relatively dissuasive price of electric vehicles.
- It is possible that we will never come back to the level of registrations and production of the best years in Europe.
- It is also instructive to note that the growth in European production in 2021 compared to 2020 is due almost solely to the growth in the production of electrified vehicles (hybrids, plug-in hybrids and battery electric), as these represented 1,245,000 units produced over the nine months of 2021 (525,743 BEVs, 528,532 PHEVs and 190,450 HEVs) compared to 640,153 units over the nine months of 2020 (253,733 BEVs, 262,276 PHEVs and 124,144 HEVs), while production thermal vehicles remained stable (8,831,343 units in 2021 against 8,830,144 in 2020).
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Germany is the big loser in European growth in 2021
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Germany is the big loser in European growth in 2021
- While European production of light vehicles (PC and LUV) increased by only 6.3% in the first nine months of 2021 compared to the first nine months of 2020, while it had lost 25.7% in 2020 by Compared to 2019, Germany is the only country (along with Poland and Slovenia) not to experience growth this year. German production is down 3% in the first nine months of 2021 compared to the first nine months of 2020.
- There are many interpretations of this German production which is not progressing: if we put aside the semiconductor crisis which does not only affect German carmakers, perhaps this is the consequence of the forced electrification of vehicles imposed to carmaker in a country which is by far the main producer of thermal cars in Europe, and incidentally the main producer of electric and hybrid cars in Europe.
- In addition, Germany is one of the last major producing countries to relocate a significant part of its production, and it seems that the country suffers from this strategy (as France did several years ago), whether from Volkswagen (Spain, Portugal), Audi (Hungary, Mexico), BMW (Netherlands, Mexico) or Mercedes (Hungary, Mexico).
- Must be added the declining influence of the former German D-segment best selling sedans and the process of finalising the transfer of these models to China produced and sold locally.
- Finally, the declined influence of Ford and Opel in the German industrial system completes this analysis of the German automobile production.
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