Inovev foresees nearly 50 000 annual sales of the Renault Talisman in Europe

 

Mainstream producers have mostly abandoned segment E to focus on a segment that we could call "D +", which is actually a D segment whose dimensions and services cover the segments D and E. The market from mainstream producers of sedans from segments D / E (thus "D +") in 2014 are slightly higher than 2008 levels  (5.4 million units against 5.2 million) after strong growth between 2009 and 2014 (+28 , 6%), the global market has increased by 28% over this period.


The global market share of the Renault brand in this segment was 2.5% in 2005 and gradually decreased to 0.25% in 2014, i.e. ten times less. It should be noted that Renault is mainly present in Europe in this segment.


In an attempt to return to this market, Renault has launched the Talisman sedan, which replaces the Laguna (segment D) and the Latitude (segment E). The Talisman will compete in the market of large mainstream sedans like the Volkswagen Passat, Ford Mondeo, Opel Insignia, Peugeot 508 and Citroën C5 and the Skoda Superb, Hyundai i40 and Kia Optima. Inovev expects nearly 50 000 annual sales of the Talisman, not counting those that will be produced later in China for the local market.


It is expected to be marketed in November 2015, its production being focused on the Douai plant, alongside the recent Espace that shares the same platform, ie CMF-C / D. The new Renault Talisman has a length of 4,85m (+ 15cm compared to the Laguna and -5cm compared to the Latitude). The engines available on the Talisman will initially be those of the Espace, ie a TEC 1600cc petrol engine (150hp and 200hp) and a 1600cc diesel engine DCI (110hp to 160hp).

 

15-17-8  

 

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Which countries saw their production fall significantly in the first half of 2015?

 

In the first half of 2015, global production remained broadly unchanged (+ 0.5%) compared to the same period in 2014.


Some countries saw their production volume significantly back in the first half of 2015:

Canada (-11.0%): this country is undergoing a decade of production relocation to the United States but also due to Mexican competition.

Japan (-11.6%): the Japanese market is down 11% (market imports very few vehicles). And exports are stable.

Uzbekistan (-11.7%): Uzbekistan has lost nearly 20 000 sales to Russia, due to the collapse of this market.

Indonesia (-12.0%): the Indonesian market has declined and exports to Thailand down sharply.

Argentina (-14.1%): the local market has down 23% in the first half of 2015 and exports to Brazil are falling due to import restrictions and declining local market.

Brazil (-17.0%): the Brazilian market is down 20% in the first half of 2015.

Belgium (-21.3%): the closure of the Ford plant in Genk caused a drop of over 20% of Belgian production.

Belarus (-27.7%): exports to the Russian market have virtually stopped, following the situation of the Russian market.

Russia (-34.9%): the Russian market is in free fall, while imports also saw their volume collapse.

Ukraine (-94.4%): The events in the country have caused a collapse of local production. The production in 2015 was almost stopped, while the country produced 400 000 vehicles in 2008.

 

15-17-4  

 

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Which countries saw their production increase significantly in the first half of 2015?

 

In the first half of 2015, global production remained broadly unchanged (+ 0.5%) compared to the same period in 2014.

Some countries saw their production volume significantly increase during the first half of 2015:
-Netherlands (+ 139.5%) increase in production rates of the Mini produced in the Born plant since the summer of 2014.
-Slovenia (+ 125.2%) increase in production rates of new Renault Twingo and Smart Forfour produced in the factory in Novo Mesto.
-Italy (+ 30.8%) rise in production rates of Jeep Renegade and Fiat 500X produced in the factory in Melfi.
-Hungary (+ 28.8%) rise in production rates of Suzuki Vitara in the Esztergom factory.
-India (+ 26.8%) recovery in production thanks to a local market reboot and increased exports.
-Spain (+ 23.8%) rise in production rates and the Opel Mokka Corsa in Zaragoza, Ford Mondeo and Galaxy / S-Max in Valencia, Citroën C4 Cactus in Villaverde, Nissan Pulsar in Barcelona, Renault Kadjar in Palencia.
-Turkey (+ 16.8%) rise in production  rates of Hyundai i10 and i20, Ford Transit Custom and Courier, Toyota Corolla. The Turkish market will restart in 2015.
-Sweden (+ 16.0%) rise in production rates of the new XC90 SUV.
-Czech Republic (15.5%) rise in production  rates of urban vehicles: Toyota Aygo, Peugeot 108 and Citroen C1.
-Mexico (+ 9.6%) rise in production rates of Mazda factory (100 000 units produced against 0 a year earlier).
 

15-17-3  

 

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Inovev foresees a production volume of 45 000 units for the Alfa-Romeo Giulia

 

The market for premium D segment sedans increased by 33% between 2009 and 2014 to return to the levels reached in 2008 (1.6 million units), while the global market increased by 28% over this period. In parallel, the SUV market for segment D has also greatly expanded from 2 million units in 2008 to 3 million in 2014 (+ 50%). Europe remains the main market for premium sedans from segment D, with 560 000 sales in 2014 (+ 5% compared to 2013), against 360 000 in the United States (unchanged from 2013) and 330 000 for China (+ 10% compared to 2013).

It is in this segment that Alfa-Romeo launches the Giulia (code 952), which replaces the 159 (2005-2012). It is therefore positioned within the Alfa range above both the Mito (segment B) and the Giulietta (segment C). It primarily tackles the BMW 3 Series.

It is expected to be marketed early 2016. Its production will be concentrated in the Cassino site, alongside the Giulietta. This plant will soon receive the Alfa sedan from segment E (code 961) and the SUV (code 949). The Cassino site is becoming a site dedicated to the production of the Alfa Romeo.

Based on the C-EVO / CUSW rear wheel drive platform (like the Maserati Ghibli) the Giulia is expected to reach from 2016, a production volume of 40 000 to 45 000 units per year according to Inovev. The Group's ambitions are much higher than FCA, because it is aiming for an international success (Europe, USA, China) which will be difficult to achieve.
 

15-17-5  

 

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Production in France rose more than the UK in the 1st half 2015

 

Car production (PC + LUV) in France grew more than in the United Kingdom in the first half of 2015. France produced 1.035 million cars in the first half of 2015 against 1.0 million in the first half of 2014, representing an increase of 3,5%. For its part, the United Kingdom produced 0.834 million cars against 0.826 million cars a year earlier, representing an increase of only 1%.

France therefore continues to widen the gap started with the United Kingdom a year and a half ago, indeed, the gap was only of 10% between French production and UK production in 2013, it widened in 2014 to 17% and will approach 20% by the end of 2015.

Although the recovery of the European market (+ 8.2% in the first half) benefited both countries, specific factors were the cause of a greater increase in French production than that of the UK. In France, the arrival of the Renault Trafic in Sandouville and the rise in production rates of the Peugeot 308 had a greater offsetting than the decline of other older models. In England, the transfer of the Renault Trafic from Luton to Sandouville as well as a portion of the Mini production from Cowley to Born (Netherlands) has impacted local production. In addition, the fall in exports to Russia has far more disadvantaged British production since England was exporting to Russia up to 10 times as many vehicles than France was.

Even though an expected recovery of the Russian market in 2016-2017 could allow British production to grow, the projects discussed about opening plants in Slovakia (for the production of the future Land Rover Defender) and the USA (Jaguar and Land Rover) could be a hindrance to growth. In France, the additional capabilities available as well as the arrival of new models (Renault Talisman in 2015, Nissan Micra in 2016) will do more in favour of local production.

 

15-17-6  

 

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