Current European car production still far from 2010-2019 figures
Current European car production (30 countries = EU + UK + Switzerland + Norway) is still far from the 2010-2019 figures. In 2024, it will have barely exceeded 14.0 million passenger cars + light commercial vehicles, which is certainly a higher volume than in 2020 (13.4 million units), 2021 (13.0 million units) or 2022 (13.1 million units) but lower than in 2023 (14.4 million units) and above all much lower than during the years 2010-2019 which recorded annual production volumes of between 15.5 and 18.5 million units.
 
Even 2009 was better, with 14.8 million units , which was a very poor figure for the time, since 19 million units had been exceeded (just) in 2007, after having been around 18 million units per year in previous years (1998-2006). Even adding two offshoring countries outside Europe, Turkey and Morocco, the volume of passenger car + light commercial vehicle production for the years 2020-2024 remains lower than those of the years 2010-2019 and those of 1998-2008.
 
The reason for this situation is undoubtedly due to the saturation of European markets (very high car ownership rate), limiting growth, changing behaviors (less interest in owning a vehicle among young urban dwellers), the development of alternatives (shared mobility, public transport), the lifespan of vehicles (cars are more durable which slows down the renewal of the fleet), but also the sharp increase in the price of cars since the Covid crisis in 2020.
 
There is therefore little hope that car production in Europe will return to its 2010-2019 levels , even if the establishment of Chinese car factories could replace a significant part of China's car imports and represent an estimated volume of 2.5% of European production in 2030.
Production of the VW Group's B-segment BEVs will ultimately be split between two Spanish sites
The Volkswagen Group's plan to consolidate all its fully electric B-segment cars at the Martorell site in Spain, the historic home of the Spanish brand Seat, by 2026 has been modified.
 
This project presupposed the end of the Seat brand, since most of the models of this brand are produced at the Martorell site, the Terracoproduced at the German site of Wolfsburg having been eliminated and the Atecaproduced at the Czech site of Kvasiny having only a few months left to live.
 
This project is modified in that the Seat Ibiza, Arona and Leon, as well as the Cupra Leon and Formentor, will continue to be produced in Martorell in 2026 and possibly even beyond that date. On the other hand, the Audi A1, which is also produced at this site, is scheduled to disappear in 2026, without being replaced.
 
As a result, production of the Volkswagen Group's 100% electric B-segment cars will be spread across two different sites: Martorell and Pamplona.
 
The Martorell site will house the 100% electric Volkswagen ID2 and CupraRaval, in addition to the Seat Ibiza, Seat Arona, Seat Leon, Cupra Leon, and CupraFormentor. Martorell's production capacity: 470,000 vehicles per year.
 
The Pamplona site (which will no longer manufacture the VW Polo in 2024) will house the 100% electric Volkswagen ID2X and Skoda Epiq, in addition to the Volkswagen Taigo and T-Cross. Pamplona's production capacity: 350,000 vehicles per year.
IAA Mobility Munich 2025: Xpeng will display some models at the Munich Motor Show
The Chinese carmakerXpeng (which has signed a partnership agreement with the Volkswagen group) will be present at the Munich Motor Show.
 
The carmaker's range currently consists of the following models:
• Xpeng Mona M03 (battery electric D-segment sedan) = 86,351 sales in the first half of 2025
• Xpeng P7 (battery electric D-segment sedan) = 1,166 sales
• Xpeng P7+ (battery electric D-segment sedan) = 44,578 sales
• Xpeng G6 (battery electric D-segment SUV) = 37,571 sales
• Xpeng G7 (battery electric D-segment SUV) = 573 sales
• Xpeng G9 (battery electric D-segment SUV) = 15,981 sales
• Xpeng X9 (battery electric D-segment MPV) = 10,969 sales
 
TOTAL = 197,189 sales in the World in the first half of 2025. This makes it a small carmaker in China.
The European BEV+PHEV fleet will represent around 15 million units in 2025
Inovev has estimated the European vehicle fleet (30 countries = EU + United Kingdom + Switzerland + Norway) of plug-in passenger cars (BEV+PHEV) in 2025 , based on sales of these models over the last ten years (2014-2024) and adding those made during the first half of 2025 (for the sake of simplification, withdrawals from the market of these vehicles have not been taken into account, as they are not significant for the present analysis). According to this calculation, the BEV+PHEV fleet in Europe would represent 15.1 million units out of more than 250 million passenger cars, compared to 31.4 million BEV-PHEVs in China and 6.4 million BEV-PHEVs in the United States. The rest of the world is estimated at around 3 million BEV-PHEV units (including 0.7 million in Japan).
 
Germany is well ahead of all other European countries, with 3.7 million BEV+PHEVs, ahead of the United Kingdom (2.3 million units), France (2.1 million units) and Norway (1 million units). These four leading countries in alternative plug-in powertrains represent 61% of the BEV+PHEV fleet in Europe by June 30, 2025. Sweden (0.9 million) and the Netherlands (0.85 million) are the next two countries, adding 12% to the 61% just mentioned, which means that six countries alone represent three-quarters of the European BEV+PHEV fleet.
 
In other words, 24 countries represent only a quarter of the European BEV+PHEV fleet , which should worry the politicians who implemented the directive concerning the objective of 100% plug-in cars sold in Europe by 2035. In total, BEV+PHEVs do not yet reach 7% of the European passenger car fleet and 25.5% of the European market in the first half of 2025 (including 17% BEVs and 8.5% PHEVs, i.e. twice as many BEVs as PHEVs). Out of a European fleet of 15.1 million BEV+PHEVs, the number of BEVs is estimated at 9.35 million units and the number of PHEVs at 5.75 million units.
IAA Mobility Munich 2025: Volvo: EX60 and Polestar range
Slovakia is probably the European country that currently has the most assembly plants (Bratislava, Nitra, Trnava, Zilina) in relation to its population (5.5 million inhabitants). A fifth plant is currently being built, with a production capacity of 250,000 vehicles per year. This is the Volvo plant in Košice, which will produce the future battery electric Volvo EX60 and Polestar 7 models from 2028 (Polestar being a subsidiary of Volvo that produces its own vehicles in China and the United States).
 
The Volvo EX60 will be the battery electric version of the future XC60 SUV (D segment) expected in 2026. It will complete Volvo's EX range, currently composed of the EX30, EX40 and EX90. It will be based on the new SPA3 platform which will integrate advanced technologies such as the assisted driving system.
 
The Polestar 7, the first electric vehicle produced by Polestar in Europe, will be an SUV derived from the Volvo EX60 and will therefore share the SPA3 platform, its batteries and its motors with the EX60 SUV. There is no doubt that producing this model in Europe will strengthen the presence and awareness of the Polestar brand.
 
Currently, the Polestar range consists of the Polestar 2 (D-segment sedan), Polestar 3 (E-segment SUV) and Polestar 4 (E-segment SUV), all with battery electric powertrains.
 
A Polestar 5 sedan (E-segment sedan) is planned for fall 2025. The Polestar 7 SUV (D-segment SUV) is expected to launch in 2026, with part of the production moving from China to Slovakia in 2028.
 
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