The future Opel Movano will be produced at the PSA site in Gliwice
While the Opel Movano, based on the Renault Master, has just been restyled, mainly on the front part of the vehicle, the PSA group has announced that its replacement, which will be launched in two years' time, in 2021, will be based on the Peugeot Boxer and Citroën Jumper (and therefore on the Fiat Ducato) and that it will be produced not at the Italian Sevelsud site in Val di Sangro (whose capacities are saturated), but at the PSA Polish site in Gliwice.

Today, the Gliwice site manufactures a large part of the Opel Astra for the European market, but it could therefore gradually become a commercial vehicle production site, like the British Luton plant that manufactures the Opel Vivaro. This could explain why the PSA group had announced the transfer of part of the Opel Astra from the Ellesmere Port site in the United Kingdom to the German site in Rüsselsheim and not to the Polish site in Gliwice.

Given that the PSA group announces a production capacity of 100,000 commercial vehicles per year in Gliwice from 2021, and that the Opel Movano has never exceeded 25,000 sales per year during its long career, it is likely that the PSA group intends to produce part of the Citroën Jumper and Peugeot Boxer on this site, and perhaps also a Toyota version of these large SUVs, since the Toyota SUVs already on the European market, the ProAce (segment N1-2) and ProAce City (segment N1-1) are derived from PSA models. If this scenario is verified, the Opel Astra currently manufactured at the Gliwice site would have to be transferred to another site, probably to the German site in Rüsselsheim.


    
 

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The new Land Rover Defender will be produced at the Slovak site in Nitra

The new generation of the Land Rover Defender will be presented at the next Frankfurt Motor Show in September 2019. The manufacturer has indicated that this new model will not be produced at the Solihull site in the United Kingdom, but at the Slovak site in Nitra, which it opened at the end of last year.


Inovev had already indicated several years ago that the future Defender would be manufactured at the Nitra site and not at the Solihull site, mainly because of lower labour costs in Slovakia than in Great Britain. It is therefore not a consequence of Brexit, since this decision was taken well before the Brexit vote.


The Nitra plant currently manufactures Discovery, whose sales remain well below targets. This is one of the reasons for the current difficulties of the Jaguar Land Rover group, which belongs to the Indian group Tata Motors.


Other reasons for these difficulties are the drop in diesel car sales, the drop in demand in China and the United States, the massive investments made to renew and diversify the range shortly before the downturn in world markets, and the fear of the consequences of Brexit, which was postponed until the end of October 2019.


The Slovak site in Nitra has a production capacity of 150,000 vehicles per year, with the possibility of doubling this volume in the medium term to 300,000 vehicles per year, which could effectively mean the closure of the Solihull or Halewood plants. Already in 2019, the Jaguar Land Rover division will cut 10% of its workforce worldwide.



    
 

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Inovev forecasts 10,000 new Nissan NV250s per year
To counter the new Toyota ProAce City based on Citroën Berlingo, Peugeot Partner and Opel Combo, Nissan is responding by launching the NV250 based on the Renault Kangoo. At the same time, the two Japanese brands are investing in the N1-1 segment, which represents the most compact category of light commercial vehicles, with a model redesigned from another brand.

In the past, there was a Nissan light commercial vehicle derived from a Renault Kangoo, the Kubistar, marketed between 1997 and 2009, but this model had not been very successful. It was replaced in 2012 by the Nissan NV200, which no longer had anything to do with the Renault Kangoo, since it was a 100% Nissan model. As Inovev suggested several months ago, the Nissan NV200 will be replaced by the new Nissan NV250 derived from the second generation of the Renault Kangoo.

In fact, for some time there will only remain the electric version of the Nissan NV200 (e-NV200) since the new NV250 is not designed to be equipped with an electric motor, unlike the Renault Kangoo. This situation is quite incomprehensible, because the electric NV250 could have replaced the e-NV200 but this is the choice that was dictated by Nissan.

It is also surprising that the launch of the Nissan NV250 takes place one year before the launch of the third generation Renault Kangoo, which means that Nissan will keep the old bodywork while Renault will soon benefit from the new one.

The Nissan NV250, which is produced at the Renault Maubeuge site alongside the Renault Kangoo and Mercedes Citan, is equipped with the original Renault 1.5 DCI diesel engine. Inovev predicts 10,000 units per year of the new Nissan NV250.


    
 

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Chinese market decline by manufacturer
The Chinese passenger car market fell by 14.7% over the first four months of 2019 ( a loss of 1,180,000 units over this period). This market decline is even more significant than the one recorded in 2018 (-4.1%), which was the first decline in this market in more than twenty years.

When we look at the evolution of manufacturers' sales on the Chinese market during the first four months of 2019, we see that most of them show a decrease in their sales. Notable exceptions are Mercedes, BMW, Toyota, Honda, BYD and Great Wall, whose sales are increasing. When we now look at the evolution of manufacturers' Chinese market shares by nationality, we see that German, Japanese and Korean brands are increasing their market share while Chinese, American and French brands are reducing their market share.

German brands grew by 20.9% of the market to 22.5% in the first four months of 2019 (compared to the first four months of 2018), Japanese brands grew from 16.6% to 20.1%, Korean brands grew from 4.0% to 4.8%.

On the other hand, Chinese brands fell from 45.2% to 41.5%, American brands from 10.8% to 9.4%, French brands from 1.7% to 0.8%. From these observations, it seems that the decline in the Chinese market affects the cheapest models (Chinese brands) more, while the most expensive models (Mercedes, BMW, Audi) are not affected. The Chinese economic situation is therefore unfavourable to people with the lowest incomes.


    
 

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Smart will withdraw from the US market this summer
The Smart brand has been marketed in the United States since 2008. Its objective was to follow in the footsteps of the Fiat 500 and BMW Mini, which were then very successful (the Mini sold more than 50,000 units per year).

The Fortwo was the only Smart model marketed in the United States. It was a challenge because the Fortwo is an urban model with only two seats, while the Fiat 500 and Mini are four seats.

The Fortwo, which was exported from the French factory in Hambach, was a small success in 2008 (25,000 sales), particularly in New York City, but sales declined rapidly to 5,000 units in 2011. In the following years (2012-2014), Fortwo's sales increased to 10,000 units per year, but sales plummeted in 2015, despite the launch of the new generation, and sales fell to 6,000 units in 2016, 3,000 units in 2017 and only 1,276 units in 2018.

In the first quarter of 2019, sales did not exceed 316 units.

The Daimler Group, owner of the Smart brand, has therefore decided to stop marketing the Fortwo on the American market this summer. In total, nearly 100,000 Smart Fortwo cars were sold in the United States during the 2008-2019 period.

This model has not been able to establish itself on a market dominated by large vehicles (SUVs, pick-ups, minivans). The Fortwo did not meet market demand because it was too small. As far as city cars are concerned (niche vehicles in the USA), American customers have turned to the Fiat 500 and especially the BMW Mini, which are much stronger in terms of customer image enhancement.


    
 

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