In Europe segment A is expected to grow in 2014-2015-2016

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In Europe segment A is expected to grow in 2014-2015-2016
 

- Segment A is expected to increase during 2014-2015-2016 in Europe particularly depending on the arrival in the market of new products such as the Renault Twingo, Smart Fortwo, Citroen C1, Peugeot 108, Toyota Aygo and Ford Ka, but also thanks to the recovery (moderate) of French, Spanish and Italian markets.


- "Premium" positioned carmakers consisting of the Fiat 500 and the Opel Adam is expected to grow slightly. Unless there are last minute changes, there should be no new competitors to these two vehicles for the period 2014-2015-2016, unless there is a new Smart Fortwo. The Audi (A0?) and BMW (Series 0?) could nevertheless position themselves on this segment, but for now no announcements have been made.


- Thanks to the new product effect and the recovery of South European markets, segment A could regain a market share of 10% to 12% between 2014 and 2016 (without scrappage incentives), while the 12% peak in 2009 was achieved through these bonuses.


- Since B-segment cars evolve in terms of size, prices and services, the usual buyers of this segment  could turn to segment A. In addition, EU regulations (consumption, pollution, access to urban centres ...) push consumers  towards  the small car market.


- However, development of low cost ranges in segment B (example: Dacia Sandero) could limit the growth of cars from segment A. In fact for the price of a  segment A car, the potential buyer can acquire a simpler car with higher benefits (especially roominess).

 
14-02-9  
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2013 Worldwide production of the first 12 manufacturers

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2013 Worldwide production of the first 12 manufacturers
 
- Inovev has listed the top 12 automotive groups based on their production volume (PC + LCV) worldwide in the first 10 months of 2013.

- This ranking takes into account the Chinese production achieved for foreign manufacturers and not Chinese assemblers. For example, the production achieved by Shanghai-VW for Volkswagen has been accounted for Volkswagen and not for SAIC or that produced by Dongfeng-PSA for PSA is accounted for PSA and not for Dongfeng. The classification thus formed shows the dominance of the Toyota group ahead of the GM group, Volkswagen, Renault-Nissan and Hyundai-Kia, in the first five places.

- One can note the presence of ten generalist manufacturers in the top ten and two premium manufacturers in 11th and 12th place (almost shoulder to shoulder).

- By nationality, we note the presence of three Japanese automakers (Toyota, Honda, Suzuki), three German manufacturers (Volkswagen, BMW, Daimler), two American carmakers (GM, Ford), two French carmakers (Renault-Nissan PSA), a Korean carmaker (Hyundai-Kia) and an Italian carmaker (Fiat-Chrysler).

- These twelve manufacturers account for 80% of the global car production in 2013.

14-02-8  
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The U.S. market finished the year 2013 at 15 600 000 vehicles

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The U.S. market finished the year 2013 at 15 600 000 vehicles
 

- The U.S. market ended the year 2013 with a volume of 15.6 million vehicles sold (PC + LCV), close to Inovev estimates (Estimated volume of early 2013 between 15.5 and 16 million units).


- Despite a weak month of December 2013, all of 2013 showed strong growth (+7.5%), thanks to the first eight months of the year that were all positive and some months approached or exceeded an increase of 15% compared to the same month of the previous year.


- Only September was negative, certainly because of the blocking of the country following the political conflict between Democrats and Republicans on the 2013 budget. The months of October and November have probably offset this gap.


- The U.S. market in 2013 recorded its highest score since 2008, but the years between 1999 and 2007 were even better (more than 16 million units each year). However, it is likely that the U.S. market will regain these levels in 2014.


- Compared to China, the U.S. market in 2013 remains far lower (China 2013 forecasts: more than 20 million PC + LCV). Compared to the European Union, the U.S. market in 2013 is considerably higher (EU forecast: less than 14 million PC + LCV).


- The breakdown of registrations in the U.S. in 2013 was almost equal between PC and LCV (respectively 49.7% and 50.3%). In 2002-2007 LCVs largely outran PC while the trend became reversed between 2008 and 2012.


14-02-7  
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Is 2013 the beginning of vehicle weight decrease?

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Is 2013 the beginning of vehicle weight decrease?
 
- The average weight of passenger cars vehicles produced in Europe (weight of vehicles weighted by the number of cars produced during a given year) has continuously increased from 1998 to 2012, except during the 2008-2010 crisis.

- The evolution of weight of cars is the consequence of:
§ The mix of segments ( proportion of A, B,C, D, E and SUV segments).
During the 2008-2010 crisis, less high range vehicles were sold while a stabilisation of B-vehicles occurred. After the crisis, B-segment decreased significantly.
§ The weight of cars in each segment. The average weight per segment has continuously increased from 1998 to 2012, except for SUV. The decrease of weight of SUV is the consequence on the market of smaller SUV.
The weight per square meter (square meters = length * width) of vehicles has continuously increased from 1998 to 2005 from 164 kg/M2 to 176 kg/M2, and then stabilised around 177 kg/M2 in the period 2006-2013.

- For more information, please refer to the complete Excel file including all European cars, with their dimensions, their weights and their quantities (included in Premium 2 level or which can be acquired by clicking here).

14-02-6  
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Between 2014 and 2018 Spain should be the great European winner

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Between 2014 and 2018 Spain should be the great European winner
 
- Thanks to the arrival of models mostly from abroad, the Spanish automobile production should return to its record before crisis levels starting from 2017-2018 and thus outrun France and Britain.

- The Spanish automobile production has experienced a period of sharp decline between 2008 and 2013 due to the economic crisis in Spain which has significantly reduced the volume of the local market, but also due to a European market decline, coupled with the competition of Eastern European countries.

- The first sign of this recovery was undoubtedly the arrival in 2011 of the Audi Q3 on the assembly plant of Seat Martorell . The Ford C-Max also arrived in 2010 at the Valencia plant but this merely compensated for the departure of the Focus to the Saarlouis plant in Germany, the same way the Kuga compensated the production loss in 2012 due to the departure of the Fiesta to Cologne in Germany.

- The arrival at Vigo of the Citroen C-Elysee and Peugeot 301 in 2012 showed that Spain can position itself as a cheap manufacture. In 2013, Spain welcomed the production of the Renault Captur and Ford Transit Connect. In 2014, Spain will host the production of the Citroën C4 Cactus, Ford Mondeo, Opel Mokka, Nissan Almera, Seat SUV these models will not be replacing any end-of-cycle models in Spain. Finally, in 2015 and 2016, Spain will host the production of a future C segment SUV , the Ford Galaxy, S-Max and Citroen C3 Picasso that won't be replacing any vehicles currently produced in Spain but will be added to existing models. Thus, the Spanish car production can only develop strongly. 

14-02-4  
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