Diesel fell to 36% of the European market in 2018
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Diesel fell to 36% of the European market in 2018
- The dieselisation rate in the European passenger car market fell sharply again in 2018. It dropped from 45% in 2017 to 36% last year, while it was still at 50% in 2016 and the forecast for 2018 was 40%. It is therefore possible that this rate may fall to 30% in 2019.
- It should be recalled that the diesel rate reached its peak in 2011, just after the 2008-2009 financial crisis, with a rate of 56% of the European market, after having recorded a rate of 44% in 2003, 40% in 2002, 36% in 2001 and 32% in 2000.
- The current radical drop in demand (encouraged by the various European governments) continues to lead to a shift in the mix of engines manufactured for models sold in Europe, the most dieselised continent in the world. Manufacturers must gradually replace most of their diesel engine assembly lines with gasoline engine assembly lines.
- The transfer of diesel engines to hybrid or electric engines remains marginal (even if it is increasing every year), since they are only at 7.3% of the European market in 2018, of which 2% are electric.
- The transfer was/is therefore mainly made to petrol engines, which accounted for 56.7% of the European market in 2018 (compared with 50.3% in 2017). The most dieselized vehicles remain high-end sedans and large SUVs.
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The global automotive market (PC+LCV ) by manufacturer in 2018
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The global automotive market (PC+LCV ) by manufacturer in 2018
- The global automotive market (passenger car and light commercial vehicle) declined by 0.3% in 2018, mainly due to the significant decline in the world's largest market, China. By manufacturer, the Renault-Nissan group (+1.4%) remains the world's leading manufacturer of light vehicles (PC+LCV ), ahead of the Volkswagen (+0.9%) and Toyota (+2%) groups. In 2018, these three manufacturers remained above the 10 million vehicles sold worldwide.
- The two American automakers GM and Ford each lost one million sales in 2018 and continue to lose influence globally. The million sales lost by GM is mainly due to the sale of its Opel/Vauxhall subsidiary to the PSA group. The PSA group (+6.8%) could have increased sales by one million (through the acquisition of Opel/Vauxhall) but its sales in Iran (-21.7%) were impacted by the severe economic sanctions imposed by the United States in 2018. The million sales lost by Ford is mainly due to a 50% drop in China.
- The ranking of the top 14 manufacturers remains the same in 2018 compared to 2017, but from 15th place onwards, there are several changes, particularly concerning Chinese brands which, victims of the overall decline in the Chinese market, are being out-distanced by the Indian group Tata Motors (+15.7%). It should be noted that BAIC (+10.0%) and SAIC (+20.0%) outperformed Chery and BYD (stable).
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続きを読む... The global automotive market (PC+LCV ) by manufacturer in 2018
BMW Group 2018 World Market Review
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BMW Group 2018 World Market Review
- The BMW Group (BMW, Mini, Rolls-Royce) has published its sales figures for 2018. Its worldwide sales amount to 2.49 million vehicles, an increase of 1.1% compared to 2017. BMW remains the world's eleventh largest light vehicle manufacturer (PC+LCV), behind PSA and Suzuki, but ahead of Daimler and Geely.
- The BMW Group's worldwide sales in 2018 can be broken down as follows:
1. Europe is its largest market, with 1.098 million vehicles, or 44% of its worldwide sales.
2. China is its second largest market, with 640,000 vehicles, 26% of its worldwide sales.
3. The United States is its third largest market, with 355,000 vehicles, 14% of its worldwide sales.
- These three markets make up 84% of the BMW Group's global sales in 2018, which are divided into 2.125 million BMW vehicles, 362,000 Mini vehicles and 4,000 Rolls-Royce vehicles.
- The BMW Group's best-selling models in 2018 are the 5 Series (335,000 units), 3 Series (320,000 units), Mini (290,000 units) and BMW X1 (258,000 units).
- By group, BMW remains the world's leading manufacturer in the Premium category in 2018, but by brand, it is Mercedes, with 2.31 million light vehicles. Audi is third with 1.81 million units.
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Geely Group 2018 World Market Review
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Geely Group 2018 World Market Review
- The Geely group (Geely, Volvo, Lotus, Lynk & Co, Polestar) has published its sales figures for 2018. Its worldwide sales amount to 2.14 million vehicles, an increase of 17.5% compared to 2017.
- The group, which remains China's leading manufacturer, maintains its thirteenth place in the world, behind BMW and Daimler, but is gradually moving closer to these two manufacturers. The Geely group's worldwide sales in 2018 can be broken down as follows:
1. China is its largest market, with 1.7 million vehicles (including 170,000 Volvo vehicles), or 79% of its global sales.
2. Europe is its second largest market, with 320,000 vehicles (only Volvo vehicles), or 15% of its worldwide sales.
3. The USA is its third largest market, with 100,000 vehicles (only Volvo vehicles), or 5% of its worldwide sales.
- These three markets account for 99% of the Geely Group's global sales in 2018, which include 1.38 million Geely vehicles, 642,000 Volvo vehicles, 120,000 Lynk & Co vehicles and 1,000 Lotus vehicles.
- The group's best-selling models in 2018 are the Geely Bo Yue (280,000 units), Geely Emgrand (247,000 units), Volvo XC60 (226,000 units), Geely Emgrand GS (158,000 units) and Geely Emgrand GL (149,000 units).
- The Lynk&Co brand, which was created in 2016 but started selling in 2017, is expected to be imported into Europe and the United States from 2020. The British brand Lotus was acquired from the Proton group in 2017.
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Peugeot and Renault 2018 in Iran Review
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Peugeot and Renault 2018 in Iran Review
- The Iranian automobile market declined by 32.9% in 2018 (960,000 units compared to 1.43 million in 2017) following the economic sanctions imposed by the US administration in 2018. As a result, the objectives of the two French brands present in Iran, Peugeot and Renault, were frustrated in 2018 by these sanctions, which took effect in the second half of 2018.
- As a result, Peugeot did not reach the 500,000 sales expected and Renault did not reach the 200,000 sales expected. Instead, Peugeot sales decreased from 443,000 units in 2017 to 353,000 in 2018, and Renault sales decreased from 162,000 units in 2017 to 102,000 in 2018. This means that 150,000 sales were lost by these French brands in 2018 compared to 2017, and even 250,000 compared to their targets. The year 2019 is likely to be even worse, as economic sanctions will be taken into account throughout the year and not just for a half-year, as in 2018.
- The only brands that managed to increase their sales were Chinese brands such as JAC, Dongfeng, FAW, Changan, MG and Great Wall (which did not sell vehicles in 2017), thanks to very low prices. Hyundai and Mazda also improved for the same reasons. The economic sanctions introduced in the country have understandably encouraged Iranian customers to switch to low-cost models. In addition, Chinese manufacturers are not affected by economic sanctions against Iran, since the Chinese government does not follow US sanctions policy.
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