PSA plans to produce up to 400,000 vehicles in Mulhouse in 2021
The PSA group has announced that it will increase the production capacity of the Mulhouse plant, from 300,000 units per year today to 400,000 units in 2021.

This factory, which was built in the early 1960s initially to produce the Peugeot 204 launched in 1965, has today become one of the largest factories of the PSA group. The Mulhouse plant produced 277,000 vehicles in 2016 and will probably manufacture as much in 2017, given the volume announced for the first nine months of the year (205,000 units). This factory currently  manufactures the Peugeot 2008, Citroën C4 and DS 4.

The factory's production program for the years 2018-2021 shows the arrival of future generations of Peugeot 508 and Citroën C5, as well as the future DS 4, DS 4 Crossback, DS 7 Crossback and DS 9. However, the Mulhouse plant would lose the production of Peugeot 2008 (transferred to Vigo in Spain) and Citroën C4 (transferred to Villaverde in Spain).

Inovev predicts that 200,000 vehicles will be produced in Mulhouse in 2021, if PSA sticks to their announced manufacturing program. To date it is not known which additional models could be built in Mulhouse to saturate production to 400,000 units per year. Could the next generation Opel Insignia be manufactured on this site, which would de facto condemn the Rüsselsheim site in Germany? Another possibility could be for the future Peugeot 308 on this site (in full or in part).


17-25-3   

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Global car ownership rates by region in 2017
Developed countries continue to have the highest rates of motorization (number of vehicles per 1,000 inhabitants), but the demographic impact of some developing countries is growing. According to the Association of European Automobile Manufacturers (ACEA), car ownership rates are now 660 per 1,000 inhabitants in North America, 570 per 1,000 in the European Union, 550 per 1,000 in  Japan, Australia, and South Korea, 280 per 1,000 in Russia and Turkey, 180 per 1,000 in South America, 150 per 1000 in China, 80 per 1,000 in India, and 45 per 1,000  in Africa.

While the number of vehicles is declining in the United States, it continues to grow in Europe. But the Chinese park is progressing faster. China's car ownership rate only has to reach 180 per 1,000 inhabitants (which should happen around 2021) for the number of vehicles in its car fleet to be equal to that of the European fleet.

Individual car ownership, even if it is a legitimate aspiration, is nonetheless problematic. First of all, oil resources, which are the basis of automotive society, are limited and will not be enough to supply the growing world car fleet over the next 50 years. Also, the combustion of this oil causes the emission of carbon dioxide which contributes strongly to pollution and global warming of the planet.


17-25-4   

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B segment SUVs ranking in Europe over the first 9 months of 2017
In an SUV market which represents 29.5% of the European market in 2017 (cumulative first 9 months), the B segment accounts for 27% of the SUV market.

- Last year, the B segment accounted for 29% of the SUV market. The B segment SUV market is therefore stagnant in 2017 compared to 2016, unlike the SUV market as a whole, which is growing strongly.

These observations show firstly that the growth of SUV sales in the European market is not weakening, on the contrary, and secondly, that within the SUV market,  B segment sales are stagnating in 2017, pending the arrival of new models in the segment. Indeed, over last year, new SUV launches were rather on the C segment.

Over the first 9 months of 2017, the leaders of the B segment SUVs in Europe are the Renault Captur (149,000 sales), Peugeot 2008 (135 000), Opel Mokka (131 000), Nissan Juke (70 000) and Fiat 500X (65,000).

Given the latest available figures, in 2018 B segment SUVs will probably represent a third of SUV sales in Europe after the arrival on the market of new Seat Arona, Opel Crossland, Citroën C3 Aircross, Kia Stonic, Hyundai Kona, and notably the VW T-Roc.


17-24-10   

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BMW to produce Mini in China in partnership with Great Wall
The BMW group has announced that it will produce Mini in China, in partnership with a Chinese manufacturer, as required by Chinese regulations. This partner will be Great Wall, which will be called for the first time to partner with a foreign manufacturer to produce cars under license.

Great Wall was one of the last major Chinese manufacturers not to work with a foreign manufacturer, Geely having acquired the Swedish brand Volvo, Changan having signed agreements with PSA (including to produce DS), Chery having signed agreements with Jaguar Land Rover (to produce vehicles locally) ...

What do Mini sales represent in China today? BMW (which is already in partnership with Brilliance to produce  BMW brand  cars in China) sold 30,638 Mini in China in 2015 and 30,352 units in 2016. It will probably sell 32,000 units in 2017, if we extrapolate from 21,775 sales made in the first 8 months of the year. This increase is due to the arrival of the new Countryman which has found a new clientele. As a result, Countryman's sales share in Mini's total sales increased from 27% in 2016 to 29% in 2017.

Although segment B is not leading sales in China, Great Wall could produce up to 50,000 Mini per year, adding to the 300,000 Mini manufactured in Europe each year.


17-24-9   

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PSA plans to produce 500,000 vehicles in Vigo and 500,000 in Sochaux in 2020
The PSA group has announced plans to produce 500,000 vehicles in Vigo and 500,000 vehicles at Sochaux in 2020, thus saturating the capacity of these two large factories.

- In 2016, 424,000 vehicles were produced in Vigo and 336,000 vehicles were produced in Sochaux.

In 2017, Inovev estimates the volume produced in Vigo at 415,000 units and the volume produced at Sochaux at 385,000 units. PSA intends to achieve the desired result, counting on:

       1. the success of the new Citroën Berlingo, Peugeot Partner and Opel Combo in Vigo (these models will be launched in 2018).
       2. the success of the new Citroën C4 Picasso and Grand Picasso in Vigo (these models will be launched in 2019).
       3. the success of the Peugeot 3008 and Opel Grandland C segment SUVs in Sochaux.

- It will be necessary nevertheless to :

        1. offset the transfer of the production of the Peugeot 301 and Citroën C-Elysée from Vigo to Kenitra (Morocco).
        2. compensate for the shutdown of the DS 5 at Sochaux.
        3. monitor the end of life of the Peugeot 308 in Sochaux (this model will be replaced in 2021).

Inovev, for its part, foresees 400,000 vehicles in Vigo in 2020 and 430,000 in Sochaux.


17-24-7   

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