The new EU-Mercosur agreement will not have immediate effects for European carmakers
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The new EU-Mercosur agreement will not have immediate effects for European carmakers
- The current agreement between the Mercosur countries (Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Paraguay) and the European Union was signed in June 2019 and completed in July 2020. In December 2024, Mercosur and the EU reached a political agreement on a modified version of the previous agreement, which must be ratified by EU members.
- This agreement confirms the gradual elimination of customs tariffs on thermal vehicles from Europe over a period of 15 years with a transitional period of 7 years accompanied by a quota of 50,000 vehicles exported per year. The elimination of tariffs on fully electric cars will be gradual over a longer period of 18 years but with an immediate reduction of 10% (from 35% to 25%). For European carmakers, this agreement will therefore not have significant immediate effects but will be done over the long term, as taxes are reduced. This should therefore not disrupt the position of the players currently in place and the market shares of each. Eventually, Chinese carmakers have the capacity to offer disruptive products and to have an aggressive commercial policy, which could take shares from other carmakers. This trend has started to be noticeable since 2023 with an increase in the share of Chinese carmakers to the detriment of European ones.
- The Mercosur vehicle market is around three million units each year: 3 million in 2024, compared to 2.74 million in 2023, 2.53 million in 2022, 2.51 million in 2021, 2.42 million in 2020, 3.25 million in 2019 and 3.39 million in 2018. Of this total, European carmakers accounted for 51% of total sales in Mercosur, compared to 52% in 2023 and 53% in 2022.
- Imports mainly concern premium vehicles that only a minority of Mercosur customers can afford. Indeed, the majority of cars produced in Brazil and Argentina (Uruguay and Paraguay do not produce cars) are more than sufficient to meet the demand of Mercosur customers. Furthermore, the agreement with the EU will not change the situation because the local clientele that can buy luxury cars is not expandable.
The Stellantis group has announced their products planning for Italian plants
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The Stellantis group has announced their products planning for Italian plants
- The Italian government had issued protests against the Stellantis automobile group last year, because it had observed that the successive launches of the group's European models concerned production sites outside Italy, even when they were models of Italian brands. Thus, the Fiat 600 and the Alfa-Romeo Junior are produced in Poland, the new Lancia Ypsilon is assembled in Spain and the Fiat Grande Panda in Serbia.
- The Stellantis group made new announcements last December, with the future launches of its models that would be assembled on Italian soil between 2025 and 2030.
- Compared to the carmaker's previous announcements, it is confirmed that the Fiat 500 e will have a replacement in 2030 again assembled at Mirafiori, based on the STLA Small platform or on the Smart Car platform used by the Grande Panda. New Alfa-Romeos will be launched in 2025, 2026 and 2026. These will use the STLA Large platform and will be assembled at the Cassino site.
- A new Fiat Panda will be launched in 2030 and assembled in Pomigliano, alongside a future Lancia Delta on the STLA Small platform. Finally, the Ducato light utility vehicles and re-branded versions will be renewed in 2027, with the same platform as today. As for Maserati, it seems that its future lies in a sale to Ferrari.
- The Stellantis group seems to be walk out on the all-electric policy, since all these models will be available on full electric, thermal or MHEV versions.
A second Chinese B-segment model arrives in Europe: the Dongfeng NAMMI Box
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A second Chinese B-segment model arrives in Europe: the Dongfeng NAMMI Box
- After the NIO Firefly, a second Chinese B-segment model is coming to Europe in 2025, the battery electric Dongfeng Box. The Box (named 01 in China), marketed in China under the NAMMI brand of the Dongfeng group, is a 4.03 m long, 1.81 m wide and 1.57 m high sedan, based on the S3 platform of Dongfeng's Quantum architecture. Its wheelbase is 2.66 m.
- The model is equipped with a 95 hp (70 kW) electric motor coupled to a 42.3 kWh LFP battery allowing a range of 310 km according to the CTLC cycle. Sales in Europe will begin in January 2025, although 130 pre-production units were sold there last December. With a very modern design, this model will try to establish itself on the European market, competing the Renault 5 E-Tech, Citroën e-C3, Peugeot e-208, Opel e-Corsa, Fiat Grande Panda-e and the NIO Firefly which is in the same category.
- With the launch of the Box assembled in China, it intends to catch up with its competitors. What will the price of the Box be? Currently marketed in Switzerland, it is priced at 23,000 euros (compared to 10,000 euros in China).
- Dongfeng (DFM) is one of the largest Chinese carmakers thanks to its JVs production with Kia, Honda, Nissan and incidentally Stellantis, but still little developed at the level of its own brands (Aeolus, Dongfeng, NAMMI, e-Π, MATC, Voyah) which did not exceed 340,000 sales in China over the first 11 months of 2024, compared to 425,000 for Seres, 520,000 for FAW, 665,000 for GAC, 725,000 sales for SAIC, 935,000 for Great Wall, 1,525,000 for Changan, 2,185,000 for Chery, 2,215,000 for Geely or even 3,730,000 for BYD. Dongfeng therefore remains a small carmaker if we ignore its JVs production.
Volkswagen Group to cut production capacity by 734,000 vehicles per year in Germany
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Volkswagen Group to cut production capacity by 734,000 vehicles per year in Germany
- Last fall, the Volkswagen group announced that it had significant production overcapacity in Europe, particularly in Germany. In particular, it stated that it had been short of more than 500,000 sales each year since 2020 to saturate its production plants. Following these announcements, the closure of three or even four assembly plants in Germany has been expected. VW has finally avoided closing factories in Germany in favour of massive reductions of production capacities, which will result in the end of 35,000 job positions from the company between 2025 and 2030.
- The announced capacity reductions of 734,000 vehicles per year affect the sites of Wolfsburg (-400,000 units out of 800,000), Zwickau (-180,000 out of 360,000), Hanover (-100,000 out of 200,000), Dresden (-27,000 out of 27,000 at the end of 2025. The future of this factory has not yet been decided) and Osnabrück (-27,000 out of 27,000 – production until mid-2027, The future of this factory has not yet been decided).
- In terms of models, the Golf will be gradually transferred from Wolfsburg (Germany) to Puebla (Mexico) except for the new electric version which should be launched in 2028 to replace the ID3. The current VW ID3 and Cupra Born will be transferred from Zwickau (Germany) to Wolfsburg (Germany) alongside the VW Tiguan and Tayron. The VW ID4/ID5 will be transferred from Zwickau (Germany) to Emden (Germany) alongside the VW ID7 and ID7 Tourer. The VW Kombi and Transporter will be transferred from Hanover (Germany) to Kocaeli (Turkey) at Ford. The Dresden (Germany) and Osnabrück (Germany) plants will be converted for activities other than production, in 2025 for Dresden and in 2027 for Osnabrück (end of production of the VW T-Roc convertible). Zwickau will now only produce the Audi Q4 E-Tron. Hanover will now only produce the ID Buzz and Multivan.
Xiaomi launches its second model: the YU7 SUV
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Xiaomi launches its second model: the YU7 SUV
- Xiaomi has presented its second model, the YU7 SUV, which completes its offer, consisting so far of the SU7 sedan. This second model will double the sales of the very young brand, since Xiaomi plans to produce 150,000 units per year of this new model, which will be added to the 150,000 units planned each year of the SU7 sedan. Both models are assembled in factories belonging to the BAIC group and located in Beijing, Xiaomi does not have its own factory. The factory where the YU7 will be assembled began construction in August 2024 and is expected to be completed in July 2025, the date on which actual production of the YU7 SUV is expected to begin.
- The YU7 is a battery electric SUV (like the SU7 sedan) measuring 5.00 m long, 2.00 m wide and 1.60 m high, which places it more in the E segment. Its wheelbase is set at 3.00 m and its empty weight reaches 2,405 kilos.
- The YU7 is based on the same "Modena" platform as the SU7 sedan and has an electric motor of 295 hp (220 kW) in the 2-wheel drive version and two electric motors of 681 hp (508 kW) in the 4-wheel drive version. The NMC battery supplied by CATL has a capacity of 74 kWh, 94 kWh or 101 kWh depending on the version chosen by the customer. The carmaker announces a range of between 700 km and 800 km depending on the CTLC cycle and the battery.
- In terms of performance, the Xiaomi YU7 intends to position itself at the level of the fastest cars (253 km/h for the most powerful version). For the moment, there are no plans to export to Europe.
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